1. 11-09-14 06:50 PM #1
    stevenash
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    Juicy Sunday Night Football Prop I Like

    Because Matt Forte is my personal ATM when it comes to props.

    273213338-1 11/9/14 7:36pm $40.00 $64.00 Pending 11/9/14 8:25pm Props Football 3319 M.Forte scores a TD 1st half +160* vs M.Forte no TD scored 1st half

    Matt Forte score a first half TD +160.

    Why?
    Because Forte gets 90 percent of the red zone touches, he doesn't drop the ball, and he's a moose to take down,

    And, he gets 20 percent of the targets from Cutler too.
    Oh, did I mention Forte doesn't drop the ball, I belive I did.

    Here's some of the red zone stats.

    http://www.rotowire.com/football/red...014&range=Year

    I'm getting paid 8:5 on a prop that should be paying be 6:5 (in my humble computer geek opinion)
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  2. 11-09-14 06:55 PM #2
    d2bets
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    That's a terrible bet. Bears 1st half TT is about 10/10.5, so you'd figure maybe they score 1 TD. And now you're going to bank on that 1 being Forte?

    He's only had a 1st half TD in 2/8 games.

    Of course it could win, but I don't see any edge here at all. I'd want over +200 to consider it.
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  3. 11-09-14 06:58 PM #3
    Smoke
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    Dont like it steve
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  4. 11-09-14 07:07 PM #4
    Big Bear
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    Quote Originally Posted by d2bets View Post
    That's a terrible bet. Bears 1st half TT is about 10/10.5, so you'd figure maybe they score 1 TD. And now you're going to bank on that 1 being Forte?

    He's only had a 1st half TD in 2/8 games.

    Of course it could win, but I don't see any edge here at all. I'd want over +200 to consider it.
    this.
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  5. 11-09-14 07:10 PM #5
    tennis005
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    I did a special prop Matt Forte over 150 yds rush pass at +125
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  6. 11-09-14 07:16 PM #6
    stevenash
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    Tough crowd here.

    All good.

    If Bears get two or three red zone chances, they go to Forte.

    Let's see how it plays out, that is the reasoning for the wager.
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  7. 11-09-14 07:17 PM #7
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by tennis005 View Post
    I did a special prop Matt Forte over 150 yds rush pass at +125
    And I bet all in you are gay -180, but I don't mind laying the juice on that one.
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  8. 11-09-14 07:19 PM #8
    jtoler
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    Youre assuming theyre gonna be in the red zone 1st half hmm.
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  9. 11-09-14 07:21 PM #9
    jtoler
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    Ill take at +300.
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  10. 11-09-14 07:26 PM #10
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by jtoler View Post
    Youre assuming theyre gonna be in the red zone 1st half hmm.
    You do realize how good Green Bay's run defense is?

    http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/stats/t...g-type-defense

    Reincarnation of the 1985 Bears I tell you what
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