[WWCD]

Now that's fading the public. I keep looking at that JAX game but my book has been at 13 and not budging. Everything but my balls tell me to play MIN as well.

Good luck. Hope you hit them all except the Titans!

[POOLSIDE]

WEEK FOUR

Tennessee Titans +8
I'm a fan of struggling teams starting new quarterbacks. It's worth a shot. This has backdoor cover written all over it.

New York Jets +2
The Jets are competent defensively and Detroit struggles outside the fast track. The Lions tend to be turnover and mistake prone on the road. Geno moved the ball well outside of the red zone last week against Chicago, I expect that to continue. They've gotta find a way to punch it in.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +9
Buying low and selling high. Bucs had ten days off to think about that Thursday abortion. Nine points is too much here, Pittsburgh doesn't thoroughly impress me.

Jacksonville Jaguars +14
This spread is too high. The Chargers play to the level of their competition. Bortles gives the Jags a new look.

Minnesota Vikings +3.5
Trap game of the week. Atlanta is not the same team outside the dome, Minnesota has a decent team. The Vikings defense can keep the Falcons in check, and the Falcons defense is eh.

[POOLSIDE]

Now that's fading the public. I keep looking at that JAX game but my book has been at 13 and not budging. Everything but my balls tell me to play MIN as well.

Good luck. Hope you hit them all except the Titans!

Haha yeah it's an ugly looking card this week. It's funny, as I'm betting each game individually I feel good about it. I go over the reasons I like that side and I think, yeah that's the smart pick. Then I step back and look at the entire card and I can't help but laugh. I don't have a playoff team anywhere in sight haha ugh.

Thanks and good luck to you as well. And yeah, if I'm gonna miss one I hope it's the Titans too!

[POOLSIDE]

WEEK FOUR

Dallas Cowboys/New Orleans Saints - one unit
Under 54.5 (-105)

[WWCD]

With u on the under. I cashed and put a little bit on DAL +3 as well.

[POOLSIDE]

With u on the under. I cashed and put a little bit on DAL +3 as well.

What a bizarre way to lose that bet. Why would the Cowboys, masters of blowing big leads, throw the ball on that last touchdown? You're in fg range. Run the ball. Either pick up a first down and run another couple minutes off the clock or don't and keep the clock running before kicking a fg. So strange. Would have been one thing if the Saints scored again, that happens. But like this? What?

[WWCD]

I think they were taking a shot to put themselves out of harms way and take the fg if it wasn't there.

NO couldn't stop anything last night LOL.

Last minute DAL bet made it not hurt so bad though. Ah well, next!

[POOLSIDE]

WEEK FOUR

Kansas City Chiefs - two units
+3.5 (-140)

Kansas City Chiefs/New England Patriots - one unit
UNDER 46 (-110)

[POOLSIDE]

WEEK FOUR

Kansas City Chiefs +3.5
This was weird for me. All the numbers say Chiefs, but I'm a Tom Brady fan. He's my dude, and he's gotten it done over the years. This smells like one of those games where the Patriots all of a sudden look like the Patriots again. That, and the assumption that Belicheck will neutralize an already docile Chiefs offense. These aren't enough to bet the game. The Broncos, in Denver, barely held off the Chiefs. The Pats, in a potentially world record loud Arrowhead, don't seem to pose the same threat.

Kansas City Chiefs/New England Patriots - UNDER 46
Chiefs/Broncos in Denver ended at 41. The Chiefs defense can contain the current New England offense, and vice versa. I don't see a shootout here.

[mitch51]

I was out of town, but while I was gone my wife and Jack the Chihuahua hit the Chiefs for two units. Even they knew. Especially Jack, he is kind of a dog specialist. I also thought this game would go under, but Jack isn't into totals.

[POOLSIDE]

WEEK FOUR
-.25 units (4-3 ATS)

2014 SEASON
+9.95 units (16-10 ATS)

[POOLSIDE]

I was out of town, but while I was gone my wife and Jack the Chihuahua hit the Chiefs for two units. Even they knew. Especially Jack, he is kind of a dog specialist. I also thought this game would go under, but Jack isn't into totals.

You're out of town and winning bets you didn't know you made. That sounds like a pretty sweet deal!

[POOLSIDE]

WEEK FIVE

GREEN BAY PACKERS - one unit
-9 (even)

[POOLSIDE]

WEEK FIVE

GREEN BAY PACKERS -9
Had Bridgewater not hurt himself, I would have laid off this game. However, that's not the case. I'm looking at either an injured rookie who hasn't practiced since he last played going into Lambeau on a short week, or I'm looking at Christian Ponder at Green Bay on a short week. Either way, I'm okay with this scenario. Vikings at home last week didn't exactly stop a Falcons offense that struggles on the road. Not sure how they're gonna slow down the Packers here. Plus, Christian Ponder. Also, the last time the Packers played at home, they staked the Jets to a 21 point lead and still almost covered this spread.

[mitch51]

We took GB -8, looking good so far. Just for one unit, though.

[POOLSIDE]

WEEK FIVE

Chicago Bears - one unit
+3 (-130)

Cleveland Browns - two units
+1 (-110)

St Louis Rams - half unit
+7 (-120)

Buffalo Bills - half unit
+7 (-125)

Baltimore Ravens - two units
+3.5 (-125)

Denver Broncos - three units
-7 (-130)

[POOLSIDE]

WEEK FIVE

CHICAGO BEARS +3
This is more a fade of Carolina than anything. They've got issues. Injuries, suspended players, lack of cohesion. The offense is nothing special, less so with injured Cam, and the defense has taken a plunge since last year. I'm not sure they'll score enough to keep up.

CLEVELAND BROWNS +1
I've said it a few times. I'm high on this Browns squad. Hoyer is solid and the supporting cast is too. They're two field goals away from being 3-0 against three teams that were .500 or better last season, and I don't believe it's a fluke. They've had two weeks to prepare for a Titans team that looks lost. Sharp money has been on Tennessee three weeks in a row, three losses. Locker is back, but A) who cares and B) how healthy is he? Don't know how much I can trust this team on the road, but this is a good spot for them.

ST LOUIS RAMS +7
Again, I'm not drinking the Philly kool aid. They didn't score a single offensive point last week at SF. I can't see them running away with this. I think it's back to reality.

BUFFALO BILLS +7
Detroit at home is potentially scary, but I think the quarterback switch pays off. Manuel was holding an otherwise solid football team back. Only a half unit because dumb Orton could show up, but all he really has to do here is make the safe pass. I think Buffalo runs the ball well against the Lions and slows the game down.

BALTIMORE RAVENS +3.5
The Ravens can win this game. 3.5 is too much to be giving in this spot. Indy is too comfortable right now. This feels like a three point game either way.

DENVER BRONCOS -7
This is a culmination of perfect circumstances. After two less than stellar home wins, the Broncos go into Seattle and lose in very respectable fashion. You're telling me I get Peyton Manning, in the regular season, coming off a loss AND coming off a bye, at home, against an overrated undefeated team starting their second string quarterback? Okay.

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

Wow were almost identical hope we both have killer weeks get some poolside!!!!

[SXRD71]

On Bears and broncos as well Bol!!

[POOLSIDE]

Alright guys, good luck to all of us!

[POOLSIDE]

WEEK FIVE
+3.2 units (5-2 ATS)

2014 SEASON
+13.15 units (21-12 ATS)

[POOLSIDE]

WEEK SIX

Miami Dolphins - two units
+3.5 (-135)

Minnesota Vikings - two units
-2 (-110)

Buffalo Bills - three units
+3 (-120)

Baltimore Ravens - one unit
-3.5 (-110)

San Diego Chargers - half unit
-7.5 (-105)

Seattle Seahawks - half unit
-9 (even)

New York Giants - one unit
+3 (-125)

[POOLSIDE]

WEEK SIX

MIAMI DOLPHINS +3.5
Home dogs in a hot and muggy 1pm game in Miami. Packers struggle when they can't run the football. Miami is solid against the run and pressures the quarterback. This could resemble that Lions game for the Packers offense. Tennehill can throw against this secondary.

MINNESOTA VIKINGS -2
I'm buying low and selling high. Vikings looked like garbage on Thursday. That was with Ponder. Teddy is back and I believe he'll make all the difference. Detroit is nowhere near as good away from the dome. Add in the extra rest and prep time for Minnesota, plus the fact that teams coming off Thursday blowout losses tend to recover well, and this becomes an auto bet. I liked this line even before Calvin Johnson was scratched.

BUFFALO BILLS +3.
The New England public perception roller coaster ride continues. They're gonna kill the Chiefs. They got destroyed by the Chiefs? They suck. They're done. It's over. End of an era. Trade Brady. The Bengals will slaughter them. They dismantled the Bengals? They're the best. Everything is back to normal in New England. They'll go into Buffalo and calmly destroy the Bills. Uh huh. The Bills have the best running back duo in football and they happen to enjoy a phenomenal home field advantage. The Patriots struggled here last season as double digit favorites, needing a last second come from behind fg to win. The Bills are solid defensively and just got better at the quarterback position.

BALTIMORE RAVENS -3.5
Nothing special here. I just think the Ravens are a better football team and that Tampa's home field advantage is completely non existent. The Bucs have been showing promise lately, but they had their hearts ripped out last week in New Orleans. I expect a hangover this week in front of their fans the people that come to this game.

SAN DIEGO CHARGERS -7.5
All signs point to Oakland. Every even mildly sharp bettor on this board has the Raiders. Huge home dog with a new head coach off a bye against a division rival they always play close blah blah blah blah blah blah. This Raiders team is as bad a football team as I've ever seen and I'm fading them for a tiny amount so I can at least capitalize a little on their ineptitude. They'll finish 0-16. Half a unit on the Chargers so that when they're up 28 in the third quarter, I don't have to wonder why I didn't bet it.

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS -9
Only a half unit because I don't like this line too much, but I'll take the Seahawks in Seattle whenever I can. Dallas has a history of covering big spreads, but I think they finally get exposed as the eight or nine win team they really are. They've started the season on a nice run, but this is a completely different caliber of football. This smells like one of those games where casual football fans have high hopes for the beloved Cowboys, but midway through the third quarter they start to finally understand what winning a Super Bowl requires.

NEW YORK GIANTS +3
I can't imagine Philly is going to special teams their way to another victory. They have issues on offense and the Giants are playing good football. I'm pretty sure the wrong team is favored here. Still, I gotta see it one more time from Eli.

[2daBank]

winless teams off a bye tend to do pretty well (would be better if they didnt cover that gm vs pats), you right tho there no good on the field case to be made for oak. situationally they seem like a ok play but ive never been 1 to pull the trigger w/o being able to come up with reasons they win on the field. all the situational stuff does for me here is keeps me off chargers..

i think pack will be able to run, of coarse i think fish run gm should dominate. not sure if it as low scoring as the det gm cause pack playing better now than they were then. low 20s for both teams seems right to me. im on under but i agree with the mia side as well..

i like minny also. or more to the point i like fading det..

ravens oline was frustrating last week, they did a really poor job of protecting Flucco and in return he played a miserable gm. hard to trust him on the road. nothing for me.

i wanna play bills bad. really like this team and they def look like the right side here. still feel like i should be getting +4 which never gonna happen. considering teasing them up and playing bills+8.5 un 51.

cant argue with seachickens. it be a huge change in culture if dal can go up here and not fall apart.

gmen my fav bet of the week. i def feel like wrong team favs in this 1..eli im sure will still have some hiccups but i doubt they come against this garbage secondary..

good looking card, hard to imagine you dont come out ahead with that slate of gms... gl today

[POOLSIDE]

winless teams off a bye tend to do pretty well (would be better if they didnt cover that gm vs pats), you right tho there no good on the field case to be made for oak. situationally they seem like a ok play but ive never been 1 to pull the trigger w/o being able to come up with reasons they win on the field. all the situational stuff does for me here is keeps me off chargers..

i think pack will be able to run, of coarse i think fish run gm should dominate. not sure if it as low scoring as the det gm cause pack playing better now than they were then. low 20s for both teams seems right to me. im on under but i agree with the mia side as well..

i like minny also. or more to the point i like fading det..

ravens oline was frustrating last week, they did a really poor job of protecting Flucco and in return he played a miserable gm. hard to trust him on the road. nothing for me.

i wanna play bills bad. really like this team and they def look like the right side here. still feel like i should be getting +4 which never gonna happen. considering teasing them up and playing bills+8.5 un 51.

cant argue with seachickens. it be a huge change in culture if dal can go up here and not fall apart.

gmen my fav bet of the week. i def feel like wrong team favs in this 1..eli im sure will still have some hiccups but i doubt they come against this garbage secondary..

good looking card, hard to imagine you dont come out ahead with that slate of gms... gl today

Thanks dude, I sure hope so. This is the second week in a row I've wanted to take Jacksonville, but I'm holding off ever since you referred to them as an ATS dumpster fire. I think Oakland is the same. Maybe the coaching change makes a difference (it can't be any worse, that's for sure) but I don't think there's a coach in the history of the sport that could suck four wins out of these bums. Maybe I'll eat my words and that's fine, it's a half a unit.

Also considering the over in Cle/Pit and Atl/Chi and the under in Mia/GB. Any thoughts? Haven't checked your thread yet this week but I'll pop in right now.

[2daBank]

Thanks dude, I sure hope so. This is the second week in a row I've wanted to take Jacksonville, but I'm holding off ever since you referred to them as an ATS dumpster fire. I think Oakland is the same. Maybe the coaching change makes a difference (it can't be any worse, that's for sure) but I don't think there's a coach in the history of the sport that could suck four wins out of these bums. Maybe I'll eat my words and that's fine, it's a half a unit.

Also considering the over in Cle/Pit and Atl/Chi and the under in Mia/GB. Any thoughts? Haven't checked your thread yet this week but I'll pop in right now.

played both the over in chi and under in mia.. got better numbers than current tho. id still play over in atl up to 56, id prob pass on under in mia unless i could get better than 47..i actually did small little parlay with jags ml this week, 1st time ive touched them all year. i dunno but titans nothing special and dealing with a lot of injuries. seems like if there ever a time for the dumpster fires it today, lol..

[mitch51]

We are straight flat bettors, we have learned the hard way. Or, we'd be betting the ranch on Buffalo.

[POOLSIDE]

WEEK SIX

Pittsburgh Steelers/Cleveland Browns - one unit
OVER 46.5 (-110)

Green Bay Packers/Miami Dolphins - one unit
UNDER 47 (-110)

Chicago Bears/Atlanta Falcons - one unit
OVER 55.5 (-110)

[POOLSIDE]

WEEK 6

Saint Louis Rams - three units
+4 (-110)

Saint Louis Rams - one unit
ML (+185)

[POOLSIDE]

Burial haha

WEEK SIX
-12.7 units (2-6 ATS) (0-3 TOTALS)

2014
+.45 units (23-18 ATS)

[POOLSIDE]

WEEK SEVEN

New York Jets - three units
+10 (-110)

[44 Mag]

WEEK SEVEN

New York Jets - three units
+10 (-110)

Well the good news is, you didn't take the Jets on the ML to win, like some .... on here. They might cover. BOL.

[POOLSIDE]

Well the good news is, you didn't take the Jets on the ML to win, like some .... on here. They might cover. BOL.

Thanks dude. That was the game I expected. Almost went bigger but was a little gun shy after last week. Oh well, I'll take it.

[POOLSIDE]

WEEK SEVEN

Jacksonville Jaguars - half unit
+6 (-110)

Baltimore Ravens - one unit
-7 (+105)

New Orleans Saints - two units
+1.5 (-110)

Kansas City Chiefs - three units
+4 (-120)

New York Giants - one unit
+7 (-130)

Oakland Raiders - half unit
+4 (-120)

[POOLSIDE]

WEEK SEVEN

Tennessee Titans - half unit
+6 (-105)