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NFL '14 Parlays
Every week I will pick 7 NFL spreads to parlay with the goal of hitting at least 2 this season. Anything more will be gravy and as long as I go 1-15 I'll make a nice profit. Essentially risking 1600 to win minimum 7k over 16 weeks. I'll have a lot of smaller 2 and 3 teamers that I'll keep track of here as well.
Wk1
SEATTLE -5.5 -110
NEW ORLEANS -3 EV
CLEVELAND +6.5 -110
OAKLAND +5.5 -110
CINCINNATI +2 -110
CHICAGO -6.5 -115
SAN FRANCISCO -5.5 -110
100.00 / 8213.90
Season Record: 0-0 (+0)
Been watching this since the OC issues at Tampa were reported. Along with Cams injury and the news the tampa OC will not be at the game today I decided to pull the trigger.
2team
Carolina +170
Under 37.5
50 to win 208
One more parlay this week for the Monday night double header. Horrible NY offense should keep it a low scoring game in the 24-10 range. Total for the second game too close to cap for me but SD should keep it close enough to cover and wouldn't surprise me if they take it straight up.
DETROIT -6-105
TOTAL u46½-110 (N.Y. GIANTS vrs DETROIT)
SAN DIEGO +3-125
50 to win 278
Picks record: 7-2 (+510)
Parlay record: 1-1 (+108)
Last edited by SharpAngles; 09-08-14 at 12:06 PM. Reason: Records
Starting early this week because I don't expect a lot of these numbers to be available very long.
PARLAY (7 TEAMS)
CAROLINA -3+105
ARIZONA PK-110
MINNESOTA +3-110
ATLANTA +5-110
SEATTLE -5.5-110
HOUSTON -3EV
SAN FRANCISCO -7-105
100.00 to win 9242.90
Picks record: 9-3 (+580)
Parlay record: 1-2 (+58)
Not very legit to have a picks record and say +580 considering you aren't bettin them as solo picks.. otherwise.. good jobOriginally Posted by SharpAngles
Thought it would be obvious if I liked the picks enough to parlay 7 together that I was betting them straight as well. Didn't want multiple threads to take care of and the main focus of posting this was tracking the parlays, but sorry for not being more clear.
For the record I bet 100 on each pick I post.
Already some promising line movement. Hope everyone got in on Arizona because I don't think that one will get anywhere near 0 points again
Baltimore comes out strong to make up for the embarrassing home loss Sunday and to keep from going down 2 games in the division. Big Ben will keep it close by the end of the game but the first half belongs to the Ravens.
PARLAY (2 TEAMS)
1H BALTIMORE -½-110
1H TOTAL u23-105
50.00/130.27
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Tailed for half the amount wagered. My book only gives -110 for u23. Good luck.
I see BetOnline is now at -115 so lets consider that a good sign. BOL
Solid thread I'll def keep an eye on picks ... Gl
Usually stay away from touching 0 with NFL teasers but was playing around and found a +7 that has the right odds for me to give it a shot. Not too confident in the Vikings pick so needed to diversify a bit. Odds available right now on Bovada but can't see all 4 at the same price tomorrow. Jets will probably be at 7 and I don't know how long Carolina and Chicago stay at those important numbers. Probably won't be too many teasers so I'll count this one and any future with the parlay record to keep it simple.
4team 7Point +200
Carolina +4
Tennesse +3.5
NY Jets +15
San Francisco PK
100.00 to win 200.00
Parlay record: 2-2 (+188)
Nice 200%+ ROI either way. BOL
Kicked in the teeth yesterday but today is a new day and I'm seeing some value for MNF. The full game is too close for me right now but the first half will be the typical Indy offensive slow start and a fast start for Philly to maintain their second half momentum from last week. The under is pretty close so I'm putting 2 units on the 1H ML and laying off putting any straight bets on the total.
PARLAY (2 TEAMS)
1H PHILADELPHIA +130
1H TOTAL u27.5 -120
50.00/160.85
Picks Record: 14-7 (+660)
Parlay record: 2-4 (-12)
Adding another one for the full game. I'm looking at a shoot out in the second half with the colts taking it by the end at home. Don't want to get pushed with the -3 so sticking to the safer ML. Have enough money riding on one game for my taste so not playing these as straight picks.
PARLAY (2 TEAMS)
INDIANAPOLIS -142
TOTAL o53.5 -103
100.00/238.88
Want a positive start going into Sunday so I've been watching this one close. Been hearing Jake Matthews is looking better, and is now likely to start Thursday. That will be the difference for Atlanta to score touchdowns and give the D some rest in between battling the sorry Tampa O. My only worry is Atlanta going over by themselves by the end. 50 straight on each this time.
PARLAY (4 TEAMS)
[NFL] ATLANTA -6½-105
[NFL] TOTAL u44½-105
(TAMPA BAY vrs ATLANTA)
[NFL] 1H ATLANTA -3½-105
[NFL] TOTAL u23-103
(1H TAMPA BAY vrs 1H ATLANTA)
50.00 / 683.00
Picks Record: 14-8 (+460)
Parlay record: 2-6 (-162)
Home favorites feast on Sunday with a road fav and home dog mixed in. Only exception will be Monday when Matt Forte makes up for his performance in Santa Clara. I dont know how long 5D will have houston at -1 so getting this in before they shift.
PARLAY (7 TEAMS)
[NFL] DETRIOT -1 -125
[NFL] MIAMI -4 -110
[NFL] HOUSTON -1 -120
[NFL] BUFFALO -1 -125
[NFL] JACKSONVILLE +7 -120
[NFL] CAROLINA -3 -120
[NFL] CHICAGO +2.5 +105
100.00 / 7713.70
Underrated Redskins D will keep the short rest Eagles in check. Kirk cousins will protect the ball and take advantage of a weak Philly D. I see the Redskins pounding the run a lot and limiting the time of possession for Philly, keeping it in the 24-21 range. 50 straight on the spread as well.
2 team
Washington +5.5 -105
Under 50.5 -110
50 to win 134
San Francisco after a loss is a beast. Harbaugh will have them fired up and Kap will come out hot after his disaster last week. A few injuries on the Arizona D should help the niner run game and don't be surprised if Stanton is assaulted all day and forced to make some bad decisions on the other end. Leaning under but won't make a play because the Niners could pull an Atlanta and score multiple TDs on special teams and D. Sticking to the spreads. 50 straight on each.
2 team
San Francisco 1H -1.5 -110
San Francisco -3 -105
100 to win 265
Late to the party with this one but got it in time. After a lot of work it's too likely there is a beat down in Seattle not to give the points when this game isn't on a neutral field.
Seattle -4 -105
Over 48 -102
100 to win 286
Tough card this week. Barely able to get the 7 spreads I need for this experiment since there's so many close numbers. If I'm in position will probably go to hedge city with a couple hundred on Dallas Sunday night because that game is a tough one to cap. Saints roll Cowboys by at least a touchdown on paper but have been such a bad road team so far its hard to trust them. Ryan's D should be extra motivated to get the job done against Romo. Doing 100 straight on the first 6.
PARLAY (7 TEAMS)
[NFL] WASHINGTON -3.5 +105
[NFL] BUFFALO +3 -105
[NFL] DETROIT PK -120
[NFL] GREEN BAY PK -125
[NFL] ATLANTA -3 -105
[NFL] PHILADELPHIA +4.5 -110
[NFL] NEW ORLEANS -3 -120
100.00 / 8767.20
Picks Record: 21-17 (+190)
Parlay Records:
2 Team: 2-4 (-12)
3 Team: 0-1 (-50)
4 Team: 0-2 (-150)
7 Team: 0-3 (-300)
I don't see the Redskins trailing at all in this game. NY D at home vs Fitzpatrick is a huge difference from on the road against a real QB with weapons. Try to stay away from adding one game to multiple bets but I didn't think it would come back down to 3 when I put in the big one.
PARLAY (7 TEAMS)
[NFL] WASHINGTON -3 -105
[NFL] WASHINGTON 1H -2.5 -105
50.00/140.60
This seems to be a controversial one this week but the injury reports and trends point to an easy GB win in the 24-13 range.
PARLAY (7 TEAMS)
[NFL] GREEN BAY -1.5 -105
[NFL] (NFL-GREEN BAY at CHICAGO) UNDER 50.5 -105
100.00/281.20
After seeing this first half the bears are obviously scoring so have to ditch this one and chase at Bovada live betting a total of 250 +3.5 -120 for the packers and as I'm typing this Cobb takes the lead again! Got 150 on +130 GB when it was 7-0 bears. Waited for a juicy total but it never materialized
http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...0-ml-live.html
Wish I had more money on Bovada yesterday because they were giving it away. GB payed the bills and salvaged a 2-4 week without the live betting. Close week with the Eagles and Bills both having a shot to cover at the end but coming up short.
One more parlay this week. Patriots are not the team they are hyped to be, and an even worse road team thats going into one of the hardest stadiums to play a night game. I also don't believe that either team is capable of scoring more than 21 points so the total seems pretty high. Betting 100 straight on the +3.5 at Bovada, but parlaying at 5D for the odds on +2.5
A few trends that I like:
Patriots are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win
Patriots are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games
Patriots are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games on grass
Chiefs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass
Under is 5-0 in Chiefs last 5 Monday games
Under is 10-3 in Chiefs last 13 games following a SU win
Under is 23-8 in Chiefs last 31 home games
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings
PARLAY (2 TEAMS)
[NFL] KANSAS CITY +2.5 +110
[NFL] (NFL-NEW ENGLAND at KANSAS CITY) u47.5 -107
100.00/306.20
nice stats, SharpA
a nice parlay is always fun
Parlay (7 teams)
[nfl] new york giants -3.5 +100
[nfl] indianapolis -2.5 -115
[nfl] cleveland +1 -105
[nfl] chicago +2.5 -105
[nfl] denver -7.5 -101
[nfl] san francisco -4.5 -105
[nfl] seattle -8 +115
100.00 / 11,805.62
Brady will not turn the ball over as horribly as last week and I expect the offense to look better, but he will still not have enough to keep up with the Ginger by the end. 100 straight on the points as well.
PARLAY (2 TEAMS)
[NFL] CINCINNATTI -2½-108
[NFL] TOTAL o45½-108
(CINCINNATTI vrs NEW ENGLAND)
100.00 / 273.16
PARLAY (6 TEAMS)
[NFL] INDIANAPOLIS -3 +103
[NFL] CLEVELAND -1 -120
[NFL] MIAMI +3 EVEN
[NFL] ATLANTA -3 -115
[NFL] NEW YORK GIANTS +2.5 +105
[NFL] SAN FRANCISCO -3 -125
100.00 / 4982.20
Picks Record: 33-22 (+1001)
Parlay Records:
2 Team: 2-8 (-362)
3 Team: 0-1 (-50)
4 Team: 0-2 (-150)
7 Team: 0-5 (-500)
Looking at these numbers shows how bad parlays really are but I'm not a quitter. Going 1-1 on 2 teamers is killing me but at least I'm straight betting the side I'm more confident in and losing juice mostly. One Chicago cover from hitting the big boy on Sunday keeps me confident too. I cannot justify reaching for a 7th this week so 6 team action this time. As usual 100 on each straight.
Looking at this one closer I'm seeing a replay of last weeks game in Houston. A tough Houston D testing a strong Offense but falling a couple key plays short of the win. I almost see the Indy Oline issues as a blessing in disguise for them, because that should mean more Luck 3 and 5 step drops. He could be the best FAST decision maker in the league and will have to show that off tonight. Going under because I don't believe Arian Foster can show up on a Thursday night. Without him going full speed the only shot of an Over here is Colts scoring over 30. Already got 100 straight on the spread.
PARLAY (2 TEAMS)
[NFL] INDIANAPOLIS -3 +103
[NFL] (NFL-INDIANAPOLIS at HOUSTON) u46.5 -108
100.00/289.90
Bovada Live: Houston +20.5 +105 50 to win 52
another over reaction with Houston +20.5 +105. Max bet is 50 so they might know it's vulnerable for a really nice middle for Indy bets.
Been watching this San Diego matchup and the Chargers are too likely to blow out the sorry Raiders at home. Parlaying the Dome team and Matty Ice to expose the Chicago secondary once again. Tempted to add Seattle to dominate the cowboys but that spread seems right on to me so no getting greedy. 150 straight on chargers as well.
Chargers -7.5 +105
Falcons -3 -125
100to win 259
Giants O too much for Eagles D. Simple as that. Expect a lot of points. 100 straight on ML to go with the 100 already on giants +2.5
Parlay 2team
[NFL] ML NY GIANTS +105
[NFL] (NFL-NY GIANTS at PHIL EAGLES) o49.5 -103
100.00/299.83
3 "elite" QBs and their defenses cost me yesterday. Atlanta in the Dome looked too easy looking back on it now. All that action and the number stood firm should have been a tip off.
Batting clean up on Monday night is the Niners, who's D has had an extra day to rest and study Austin Davis. Look for some exotic secondaries from Fangio which should result in turn overs. Totals have beaten my brains out this season so focused on spreads. First quarter has some juicy odds given that the Niners like to start fast. Already 100 on full game.
PARLAY (2 TEAMS)
[NFL] 1Q-SAN FRANCISCO -0.5 +125
[NFL] SAN FRANCISCO -3 -120
125.00 / 385.73
[NFL] 1Q-SAN FRANCISCO -0.5 +125
150.00 / 187.50
[NFL] 1H-SAN FRANCISCO -2.5 -105
125.00 / 118.75
Picks Record: 36-25-1 (+786)
Parlay Records:
2 Team: 2-11 (-662)
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