Originally Posted by
BigdaddyQH
Here is the bottom line. First, weather will play a factor in the game, unless you do NOT count wind, which is worse than rain or snow. If the winds due pick up (right now, 11 MPH is in the forcast) it will kill the over.
Next, Seattle has scored no more than 27 points in their last 6 games, and averaged just 20.5 points per game during that span. They scored just 23 points at home against a New Orleans defense that is not very good. The Denver defense has given up 60 points in their past 4 games, an average of just 15 points per game.
The Denver offense is averaging just 25 points per game, and that is at home against two teams with rather poor defenses (San Diego and New England). Meanwhile the Seattle defense has NOT given up more than 17 points since December. They held the New Orleans Offense to 22 points in TWO games. They aare averaging just 10.48 points allowed per game for their last 7 games.
Both Head Coaches are ball control types of coaches. Denver's John Fox andSeattle's Pete Carroll BOTH want long drives that eat up the clock. Neither HC wants to get into a scoring duel. Carroll will run all game long, no matter what the situation is. This is what he did against the 49ers. He will try to wear down the Denver defensive front line. Denver will counter with a running game and short passing game to control the clock. Against the 49ers, Seattle had 5 drives of over 4 minutes. They had 4 drives of over 4 minutes against New Orleans. Against New England, Denver had 4 drives of over 4 minutes and two drives of over 7 minutes. Denver also had 4 drives over 4 minutes and one drive over 7 minutes against San Diego. That is called ball control and that is why the under is a very good wager here.