1. #1
    Snowball
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    12 Things that scare me about the Patriots today:

    1) The weather won't be that bad. High 30s, Wind 20-30mph,
    Rain but not very strong rain. Don't expect Luck to struggle in this.
    2) Pats rank 30th in league on Rushing Defense. So Indy using rush
    could be a lot more than just to mix it up. Brown and Richardson
    are decent backs who have shown breakout ability.
    3) Key Patriot Outs: Wilfork, Mayo, Spikes, Vollmer, Gronkowski, Dobson.
    4) Key Patriot Probables but Injured: Vereen, Arrington, Mankins,
    Amendola, McCourty, Svitek, Dennard
    5) Patriot backfield is only average at best.
    6) Luck's 443 passing yards last week at KC, a better pass d than Pats
    (13th/18th) despite Reggie Wayne and Heyward-Bey out.
    7) T.Y. Hilton's 224 yards, 13 recs, 2 TD's
    8) Robert Mathis leads the league in Sacks @ 19.5
    9) Colts pickup of DEION BRANCH.
    Deion is the type of receiver who can pick up instantly with a QB
    such as Luck who is accurate and be a factor even on 4 days practice.
    Do not expect Branch to just be a decoy (although having him as a decoy
    for Hilton is mega-value all in itself) - expect Brach to actually be a factor.
    Plus, you know Brach knows the Pats playbook inside-out, was on roster
    this year, actually Brady wanted to re-sign him was the rumor but someone
    balked on that.
    10) Colts have more Patriot Superbowl Rings than the Patriots do.
    Branch and Vinatieri have 5 Pats Rings. Brady is the only player on the
    Pats with his 3.
    11) Adam Vinatieri at Foxboro... sure as steel.
    12) The manner in which the Colts came roaring back to defeat KC
    in one of the greatest playoff comebacks in NFL History. Unreal momentum.

    still thinking about how/what to play on this.
    Last edited by Snowball; 01-11-14 at 09:35 AM.
    Points Awarded:

    ZIPPER HEAD gave Snowball 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  2. #2
    Big Bear
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    Patriots will roll.

    Don't over think it.

    All the squares are on the Colts

  3. #3
    PAULYPOKER
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    Quote Originally Posted by Snowball View Post
    PP you're throwing money away if you think that Colt team is
    coming into Foxboro in January and handing one on the chin to Belichick/Brady.
    Not gonna happen.
    Dorothy ain't in Kansas anymore.

  4. #4
    SteveKerrsJunk
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    Pats look vulnerable. I agree.

  5. #5
    lakerboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by Snowball View Post
    1) The weather won't be that bad. High 30s, Wind 20-30mph,
    Rain but not very strong rain. Don't expect Luck to struggle in this.
    2) Colts pickup of Deion Branch. Branch knows the Patriots playbook,
    having been on the roster this season.
    3) Key Patriot Outs: Wilfork, Mayo, Spikes, Vollmer, Gronkowski, Dobson.
    4) Key Patriot Probables but Injured: Vereen, Arrington, Mankins,
    Amendola, McCourty, Svitek, Dennard
    5) Patriot backfield is only average at best.
    6) Luck's 443 passing yards last week at KC, a better pass d than Pats
    (13th/18th) despite Reggie Wayne and Heyward-Bey out.
    7) T.Y. Hilton's 224 yards, 13 recs, 2 TD's
    8) Robert Mathis leads the league in Sacks @ 19.5
    9) Last but NOT least: Colts pickup of DEION BRANCH.
    Deion is the type of receiver who can pick up instantly with a QB
    such as Luck who is accurate and be a factor even on 4 days practice.
    Do not expect Branch to just be a decoy (although having him as a decoy
    for Hilton is mega-value all in itself) - expect Brach to actually be a factor.
    Plus, you know Brach knows the Pats playbook inside-out, was on roster
    this year, actually Brady wanted to re-sign him was the rumor but someone
    balked on that.
    10) Colts have more Patriot Superbowl Rings than the Patriots do.
    Branch and Vinatieri have 5 Pats Rings. Brady is the only player on the
    Pats with his 3.
    11) Adam Vinatieri at Foxboro... sure as steel.
    12) The manner in which the Colts came roaring back to defeat KC
    in one of the greatest playoff comebacks in NFL History. Unreal momentum.

    still thinking about how/what to play on this.

    last time a team came back like that

    http://www.pro-football-reference.co...9301310buf.htm

  6. #6
    El Nino
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    That "Average" backfield is going to win this game and keep luck off the field. Branch is washed up...he is a non-factor.

  7. #7
    Snowball
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    just added to the list see the new #2.

  8. #8
    PAULYPOKER
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    All the squares are on the Colts
    I see you been readin dat dare pseudo consensus again...Lol..........

  9. #9
    jjgold
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    I'm leaning to taking the points today in this game

    How can Brady keep doing it with no players?

  10. #10
    greenhippo
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    Snowball was just buried so hard in his own thread he's refusing to acknowledge it. Pauly you done killed this kid, I'm calling the police.

  11. #11
    Snowball
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    Pauly you gotta realize I am a local
    the weather isn't gonna be as bad as previously thought
    and we can't be lazy as cappers - initial leans sometimes
    have to be re-evaluated ... during the week i was too busy on
    NBA plays to actually sit and cap this game today
    now I'm not saying the Pats won't win but there are a lot of problems
    with the team.

    Pick
    42% Colts ML +270
    58% 7 pt teaser: Colts +14.5 / Over 44

    - the teaser covers the ML if it loses at that ratio.
    - total payout if both: +158
    Last edited by Snowball; 01-11-14 at 09:58 AM.

  12. #12
    bubblebuttluv
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    I'm leaning to taking the points today in this game

    How can Brady keep doing it with no players?
    No players for Brady?

    Amandola is a good player, Edelman is a legit starter, Vereen (when he isn't fumbling the fukking ball) and Ridley are good running backs, Blount is a good enough running back, and Brady has helped mold Dobson into a pretty good wide receiver.

    Plus Brady is the ultimate competitor. The rest of the team may get down when a game looks really bad, but Brady never ever quits. Brady made that second half comeback against Denver happen and that last drive win against New Orleans happen.

  13. #13
    PAULYPOKER
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    I did, didn't ya read it?

    Quote Originally Posted by PAULYPOKER View Post
    You're a homer!

    Good Luck!

  14. #14
    billysink
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    If dude spent all that time writing a novel on a dog why does it say at end of novel he still figuring out how to play the damn thing.

    Was this a school project?

    Fella got down on all fours here and basically gave the dog a hummer but can't figure out how to get paid for said hummer.

    Pass

  15. #15
    billysink
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    Quote Originally Posted by Snowball View Post
    Pauly you gotta realize I am a local
    the weather isn't gonna be as bad as previously thought
    and we can't be lazy as cappers - initial leans sometimes
    have to be re-evaluated ... during the week i was too busy on
    NBA plays to actually sit and cap this game today
    now I'm not saying the Pats won't win but there are a lot of problems
    with the team.

    Pick
    Colts ML +270
    7 pt teaser: Colts +14.5 / Over 44
    Fairly new at this?

  16. #16
    inTomWeTrust
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    People cant accept that the Brady Factor is cancelled out when Andrew Luck is on the feild.. they cancel eachother out

  17. #17
    billysink
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    Quote Originally Posted by Snowball View Post
    Pauly you gotta realize I am a local
    the weather isn't gonna be as bad as previously thought
    and we can't be lazy as cappers - initial leans sometimes
    have to be re-evaluated ... during the week i was too busy on
    NBA plays to actually sit and cap this game today
    now I'm not saying the Pats won't win but there are a lot of problems
    with the team.

    Pick
    42% Colts ML +270
    58% 7 pt teaser: Colts +14.5 / Over 44

    - the teaser covers the ML if it loses at that ratio.
    - total payout if both: +158
    Someone help this kid. I don't have the time or patience.

    Kid must be Deem Deems cousin.

  18. #18
    bubblebuttluv
    Derek Jeter, the best shortstop ever.
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    Quote Originally Posted by inTomWeTrust View Post
    People cant accept that the Brady Factor is cancelled out when Andrew Luck is on the feild.. they cancel eachother out
    lol, you must be fukking joking.

    Brady is the best QB in the game in my opinion and a lot of other people's and Luck is just now on the come up.

    Luck may have some "Luck" but Brady makes magic happen every week.

  19. #19
    Snowball
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    Dobson is OUT.
    and billysink i guess you never saw that arrangement before
    so you just learned your new thing of the day

  20. #20
    kid_mikey_84
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    Pats and Colts EASILY the two worst playoff teams remaining. Winner will lose next week regardless.

  21. #21
    billysink
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    Quote Originally Posted by Snowball View Post
    Dobson is OUT.
    and billysink i guess you never saw that arrangement before
    so you just learned your new thing of the day
    Gee thanks for that kid. Quite an arrangement. How many units you got spread out over the three different results you played for basically no chance to make anything at all. No need to defend your extremely well thought out arrangement here just how many units.

  22. #22
    bobby heenan
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    lol@deion branch...if he is going to have to be a factor for indy...the game is already over....his last year with the pats i saw dbs get flagged against him simply because he could not get away from them....they were literally draped all over him as soon as the ball was snapped

  23. #23
    PAULYPOKER
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    Quote Originally Posted by bobby heenan View Post
    lhis last year with the pats i saw dbs get flagged against him simply because he could not get away from them....they were literally draped all over him as soon as the ball was snapped
    Fantastic!
    Interference calls are better than actually catchin the ball, especially in end zone..........

  24. #24
    bubblebuttluv
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    Does Snowball remember post #37 in the thread below?

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-ta...-265-a-p2.html

    Two many people are trying to be brock-ish and playing both sides of the game before it starts to cover their ass.

    Just like too many people are trying to be like JJ now by starting threads with general statement titles.

    Just be your own person.

  25. #25
    lakerboy
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    the under was the play here 6 days ago

  26. #26
    broadway6
    on to the next one
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    1 thing that scares me is the colts defense. They gave up 40 points to the chiefs at home. Yes the Fukkin chiefs without their best player.

  27. #27
    lakerboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by broadway6 View Post
    1 thing that scares me is the colts defense. They gave up 40 points to the chiefs at home. Yes the Fukkin chiefs without their best player.


    they play good against good teams though.

  28. #28
    Snowball
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    Quote Originally Posted by billysink View Post
    Gee thanks for that kid. Quite an arrangement. How many units you got spread out over the three different results you played for basically no chance to make anything at all. No need to defend your extremely well thought out arrangement here just how many units.
    it doesn't matter how many units. the teaser covers the ML whether it's 1 unit
    in toto or 10 or 100 all-in... teaser is the parent wager.
    i don't post in terms of units unless i'm using a system.
    this is a large bet in terms of total bankroll so it's 50 units. half my br.
    why not ? i don't see that teaser losing... and the Colts can win this game.

  29. #29
    kmarinouofm
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    Quote Originally Posted by lakerboy View Post
    last time a team came back like that

    http://www.pro-football-reference.co...9301310buf.htm
    so was it the bills that had a sick comeback ?

  30. #30
    billysink
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    So you win the teaser and lose your money line and where you at.

    Parent wager? Shit I been at this for almost 30 years and never seen a wager give birth.

    Betting to cover your ass is a nice hobby kid. Enjoy yourself.

    Based on your body of work here I suggest you make this a hobby and don't get carried away.

    What the fukk was wrong with Indy +7.5 -106 and have a nice day
    Last edited by billysink; 01-11-14 at 11:27 AM.

  31. #31
    billysink
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    Quote Originally Posted by kmarinouofm View Post
    so was it the bills that had a sick comeback ?
    Lakerboy is the only human being that would go back to 1993 to support some shit that don't matter a lick here. Has nothing to do with a damn thing.

    Lakerboy in the fukkin war of indepedence the Patriots were down big until France bailed their ass out.

    Do you see any Frenchmen today?? Just wondering.

  32. #32
    Ratzz
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    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    Patriots will roll.

    Don't over think it.

    All the squares are on the Colts

    lol..

    rolling and folding are different.

    Pats are folders

  33. #33
    konck
    Listen the toilet is flushing
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    Nice 12 days of Christmas story ...but thats basically what it is some how Brady gets it done ...end thread

  34. #34
    frostno98
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    This is where the Andrew legend is born, he will do something Peyton Manning couldn't against Billicheat.
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: PAULYPOKER

  35. #35
    Bill_Hicks
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    Quote Originally Posted by Snowball View Post
    1) The weather won't be that bad. High 30s, Wind 20-30mph,
    Rain but not very strong rain. Don't expect Luck to struggle in this.
    2) Pats rank 30th in league on Rushing Defense. So Indy using rush
    could be a lot more than just to mix it up. Brown and Richardson
    are decent backs who have shown breakout ability.

    3) Key Patriot Outs: Wilfork, Mayo, Spikes, Vollmer, Gronkowski, Dobson.
    4) Key Patriot Probables but Injured: Vereen, Arrington, Mankins,
    Amendola, McCourty, Svitek, Dennard
    5) Patriot backfield is only average at best.
    6) Luck's 443 passing yards last week at KC, a better pass d than Pats
    (13th/18th) despite Reggie Wayne and Heyward-Bey out.
    7) T.Y. Hilton's 224 yards, 13 recs, 2 TD's
    8) Robert Mathis leads the league in Sacks @ 19.5
    9) Colts pickup of DEION BRANCH.
    Deion is the type of receiver who can pick up instantly with a QB
    such as Luck who is accurate and be a factor even on 4 days practice.
    Do not expect Branch to just be a decoy (although having him as a decoy
    for Hilton is mega-value all in itself) - expect Brach to actually be a factor.
    Plus, you know Brach knows the Pats playbook inside-out, was on roster
    this year, actually Brady wanted to re-sign him was the rumor but someone
    balked on that.
    10) Colts have more Patriot Superbowl Rings than the Patriots do.
    Branch and Vinatieri have 5 Pats Rings. Brady is the only player on the
    Pats with his 3.
    11) Adam Vinatieri at Foxboro... sure as steel.
    12) The manner in which the Colts came roaring back to defeat KC
    in one of the greatest playoff comebacks in NFL History. Unreal momentum.

    still thinking about how/what to play on this.
    Richardson is the complete opposite of a breakout back. What's his longest run of the season?

    Answer: 22 measly yards.

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