[Eric22174]

My leans for Week 11…..Thoughts would be appreciated: I'm more of a college guy.

Jets +1.5 - The Jets coming off a bye should be well rested. I like how they have been playing this season as a whole. Besides the road woes they have proven me wrong numerous times now. The Bills on the other hand are facing a carousel at QB. They looked pretty bad the entire game against my Steelers.

Texans - I have this game as a 7 point win for the Texans. Oakland is 0-4 on the road. Pryor just can't seem to finish games on the road. He has 5 td's to 10 int's on the year. We have a QB who's going down in production threw the air and one who has looked amazing.

Bronco's -8 - All this talk about Manning and his ailing ankle sprain to me really won't play a factor into this game. I'm convinced after watching the Chiefs this year they are really just getting by. I'm also not convinced that they have truly played any good competition. Meanwhile the Bronco's are smacking teams left and right. If the Browns and it's offense can put up points with Jason Campbell what will Manning do.

Saints -3 - Pick your poison. I was absolutely embarrassed last week when the Saints made me look a fool. I really thought with the injures to the Saints secondary it would make a difference. The Saints have the hot hand at the right time and it's at the Superdome. The Panthers defense exposed the 49ers last week.

Browns +6 - Bengals are on a downward spiral on offense. Andy Dalton is back to playing terrible. This being a divisional game i think it's worth a shot to take the Browns in this spot. They may not win but I think it's a 3pt game.

Lions -2.5 - A lot of rumors surround my Steelers team and Big Ben. Big Ben wants out and I hope they give it to him. Lions are playing great football. Lets just put it this way i'm not on my Steelers this week. We are not going to win this game.

[Bad Tattoo]

I like your picks but who knows what will happen, glad I could help.

[Slimpickens]

I agree with most of what you said. I think the 49ers will bounce back though. Carolina's defense is vastly superior to the Saints. The 49ers should score here. Team with the much better defense as a dog.

[Eric22174]

I agree with most of what you said. I think the 49ers will bounce back though. Carolina's defense is vastly superior to the Saints. The 49ers should score here. Team with the much better defense as a dog.

Thanks for the reply. Good points. I'll have to take that into consideration. But do you think Bree's loses in the Dome?

[Twiz]

Disagree with saints, cowboys can't get to the QB 9ers can, much lower scoring here for saints...also big ben made a statement that he's committed to Pittsburgh...still think the lions are a bad match for the steelers though but will prolly stay away because steelers always tough at home.

[Slimpickens]

Thanks for the reply. Good points. I'll have to take that into consideration. But do you think Bree's loses in the Dome?

Yea, sure why not. I cant fault anyone for laying 3 with the ATS success that the Saints have had at home. Also looking at who the 49ers have beaten thus far this season. Nobody really. They have played 2 above average teams and 1 very good team and lost too all 3. More I look at it maybe your right. I think I will pass on this game after further review.

[Eric22174]

My plays:

Ravens Over 41 - Tread carefully due to weather!!!!
Browns +6
Seattle -12
Houston -9.5

[Eric22174]

Supporting stats behind my O/U pick.

This year "13" when totals close at 41 teams are 8-2 O/U. When closing at 41.5 the record is 6-1 O/U. These line closures are based on the closing line at pinnacle. Now if you take since 2012 the record increases to 14-2 O/U if the line closes at 41 at Pinnacle.

[Eric22174]

Adding Houston Over 41

[Eric22174]

Cashed Houston. Ravens Over looking good. If the Giants over stays at 41 at pinnacle ill be trying the ats trend in that game as well

[Eric22174]

3-3 today. -110 for the day.

[Eric22174]

Pick

Panthers OVER 46, for 4 units

Overs have been taking down the cash in non-conference games this season.

(AFC vs. NFC) are now 35-11 OVER this season, including a bookie busting 11-0 the last three weeks.

Add on top of that if the over closes at 46 at pinnacle the record is 16-9 since 2012.

With Gronk back the Patriots have outscored opponents 79-31. Since the 2nd half of the Miami game the Pat's offense has done a complete 180. I look for these teams to put up points as this game goes OVER with ezzzz