1. 11-04-13 10:27 AM #1
    No coincidences
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    Overs up to 56% on the season (74-57)

    You blindly betting them yet?

    Books refusing to adjust and getting crushed accordingly. Last night was a perfect example -- a 42/43 for a game with Andrew Luck?

    Can't fix stupid. Ride the wave I guess.

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  2. 11-04-13 10:37 AM #2
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    FTR, I don't get a bet on the over tonight. At all. Yet most seem to like it.

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  3. 11-04-13 11:51 AM #3
    Tommy Karate
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    You blindly betting them yet?

    Books refusing to adjust and getting crushed accordingly. Last night was a perfect example -- a 42/43 for a game with Andrew Luck?

    Can't fix stupid. Ride the wave I guess.

    the total opened at 47.5............that was an accurate # for a TV game between these 2 teams.

    under kept getting hammered despite it being a NTV over. almost landed on that 42 for the magical middle.
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  4. 11-04-13 12:35 PM #4
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tommy Karate View Post
    the total opened at 47.5............that was an accurate # for a TV game between these 2 teams.

    under kept getting hammered despite it being a NTV over. almost landed on that 42 for the magical middle.
    Who would be hammering the under in that matchup (especially to that extent)?
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  5. 11-04-13 01:05 PM #5
    Tommy Karate
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Who would be hammering the under in that matchup (especially to that extent)?
    i each week always lean under colts for the very reason that i feel the public will look for overs with luck, when in actuality they run a conservative style offense. and the texans hadnt scored more then 20 pts since week 2. its not like we were looking at saints/broncos...

    but the extent of the movement was unusual. maybe one of those syndicates released a GOY on under?
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  6. 11-04-13 01:27 PM #6
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tommy Karate View Post
    i each week always lean under colts for the very reason that i feel the public will look for overs with luck, when in actuality they run a conservative style offense. and the texans hadnt scored more then 20 pts since week 2. its not like we were looking at saints/broncos...

    but the extent of the movement was unusual. maybe one of those syndicates released a GOY on under?
    Honestly, TK, these days, if you see a line move that much (side or total) -- hammer the other side. It seems to be hitting at an extraordinary rate.
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  7. 11-04-13 02:04 PM #7
    Tommy Karate
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    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    Honestly, TK, these days, if you see a line move that much (side or total) -- hammer the other side. It seems to be hitting at an extraordinary rate.
    i agree...prob is i was already playing the under even w/o the RLM......then i was waiting for the buy back that never happened. i should have laid off with such a bad #, but im not that good....
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  8. 11-04-13 03:15 PM #8
    albinoshark
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    Guys, at 50.5 now would you lean to the UNDER?
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  9. 11-04-13 07:21 PM #9
    oldshoebox72
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    OVER-UNDER is 1-9 in the last 10 times these teams played each other.
    One of my local guy give me 10.5, 51.5. I'm riding UNDER for 5x
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  10. 11-04-13 10:25 PM #10
    Tommy Karate
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    this game would have around 65-75 points right now with rodgers in the game.....that would beat any total the books put out for an adjustment.

    lotto ticket time for under backers...
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  11. 11-04-13 11:30 PM #11
    frostno98
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    Books got it right. They just can't cap punt returns and turnovers, those the main reason games go over. A zero turnover game is virtually guaranteed to go under.
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