1. 10-28-13 03:06 AM #1
    rolltideroll0
    rolltideroll0's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-13
    Posts: 476
    Betpoints: 13

    Don’t fall for the Seattle trap game

    Books have taken a bath this weekend in NFL. I am not sure how much money is on the MNF game, but if you include parlays and teasers from the weekend, I am sure it is in the 100s of millions. Yes, saint Louis is crap and they don’t have a quarterback, but their defense and special teams have shown up before (example: @ Houston). While I see Seattle winning, I don’t think they cover. I see the game going like this: Seattle up big in first half and then letting st.louis come back. With a big lead, Seattle then tries to run out the clock in second half. If still up big (17+), then Seattle puts backups in the fourth. I suggest if you have Seattle as the last leg in your parlay/teaser, then I suggest you hedge with St.louis +13. I will make a small sharp play on st.louis +13.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 10-28-13 04:06 AM #2
    kevin101
    kevin101's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-24-13
    Posts: 2,260
    Betpoints: 0

    seattle will shit and piss on st.louis. bye bye money is on st.louis. sharp money on seattle. the public will detroy the books and vegas tomorrow.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 10-28-13 06:38 AM #3
    Big Bear
    Love your neighbor
    Big Bear's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-01-11
    Posts: 43,253
    Betpoints: 14

    Quote Originally Posted by kevin101 View Post
    seattle will shit and piss on st.louis. bye bye money is on st.louis. sharp money on seattle. the public will detroy the books and vegas tomorrow.

    i wish SBR would shut the fukk up about the public this and the public that.

    just cap the fukkin game.
    Points Awarded:

    saints1856 gave Big Bear 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 2 times . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: richie360, and PickoMoff
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote 2
  4. 10-28-13 06:42 AM #4
    thebestthereis
    thebestthereis's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-01-09
    Posts: 11,459
    Betpoints: 8056

    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    i wish SBR would shut the fukk up about the public this and the public that.

    just cap the fukkin game.
    exactly. this is what you do. st.louis is playing a football game so they at least will try to do this. what that means is you do not bet on that group that is that team they have formed, ever in your life. if you are not considering seattle get far away from betting the game and find a book to read.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 10-28-13 06:48 AM #5
    Jikos
    Jikos's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-28-13
    Posts: 1,663
    Betpoints: 1114

    Quote Originally Posted by Big Bear View Post
    i wish SBR would shut the fukk up about the public this and the public that.

    just cap the fukkin game.
    He is simply saying that the public is on the side he thinks is going to win.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 10-28-13 07:44 AM #6
    eagle8999
    eagle8999's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-13-13
    Posts: 156
    Betpoints: 281

    Just don't bet the house on it parlays especially big ones pay out nicely but they are hard to hit. personally i try to keep the mnf game out in case i hit on everything else. Seattle is the right play win or lose betting on st louis is comparable to minn how has that worked out?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 10-28-13 08:01 AM #7
    bradleysnyder
    bradleysnyder's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-18-07
    Posts: 6,662
    Betpoints: 501

    Seattle by 14-17 in this one.Too good of D and O tolet stl hang around.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 10-28-13 09:00 AM #8
    Goodluck
    Wish i had some luck
    Goodluck's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-23-10
    Posts: 167
    Betpoints: 3793

    What is that "trap" talk nonsense? How does one determine if a line is a trap? -11 to low?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 10-28-13 09:38 AM #9
    tokio
    tokio's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-30-10
    Posts: 2,150
    Betpoints: 2886

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 10-28-13 09:40 AM #10
    tokio
    tokio's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-30-10
    Posts: 2,150
    Betpoints: 2886

    ^ exactly. And the line just keeps going up. Seeing it at -13 on 5Dimes. Not really a fan of Pete Carroll, but the guy brings his team in to compete and compete hard.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 10-28-13 09:40 AM #11
    agendaman
    agendaman's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-01-11
    Posts: 3,660
    Betpoints: 14010

    not so fast gents public bet the jags heavy at +17.5 line dropped 3 pts. to +14.5 wow 42-10 huge burial
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 10-28-13 10:10 AM #12
    Fettirooski
    Fettirooski's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-01-11
    Posts: 160
    Betpoints: 169

    SEA is the play. Buy it down to 10 if uncomfortable
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 10-28-13 10:20 AM #13
    Mocknroll
    Mocknroll's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-12
    Posts: 577
    Betpoints: 0

    Quote Originally Posted by agendaman View Post
    not so fast gents public bet the jags heavy at +17.5 line dropped 3 pts. to +14.5 wow 42-10 huge burial
    I'm sorry, but just because a line moves doesn't mean it was 'bet down' by the public. It opened at 14 and closed at 15.5.

    'Joe Public' loves to play the favorites, it doesn't matter whether they're getting a 'key' number.

    You really think the 'public' bet the Jags, and heavy enough to move the line a whole 3 points? Please.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 10-28-13 12:04 PM #14
    Popcorn Trick
    Popcorn Trick's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-20-12
    Posts: 810
    Betpoints: 540

    "Informed" and "Wise" public betting a lot of different ways these days.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 10-28-13 12:45 PM #15
    Tigers1230
    Tigers1230's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-04-07
    Posts: 1,568
    Betpoints: 30

    Keep this in mind. Game 5 of the World Series is tonight in St. Louis. People are expecting around 20,000 people in attendance for tonight's game. I think this plays a huge factor and the only hope for St. Louis is a back door cover.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 10-28-13 12:53 PM #16
    rainman416
    rainman416's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-20-12
    Posts: 1,248
    Betpoints: 994

    Seattle is the MUST bet side tonight, just like ATL was the MUST bet side in week 5 and INDY was in WEEK 6...

    Hard game to call.. but I think I'll take the Rams+13.5 for a small amount. SEA on the road is a much dif. team than SEA at home. Gotta think this new QB will be fired up to get a start, and may even "play well".

    SEA laying too many points on the road, on a MNF game, against a mystery QB.

    GL tonight Betters!
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: Lift2beFit
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote 1
  17. 10-28-13 12:59 PM #17
    eagle8999
    eagle8999's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-13-13
    Posts: 156
    Betpoints: 281

    Sherman alone should be good for six.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 10-28-13 01:05 PM #18
    FEAR THE 407
    FEAR THE 407's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-21-11
    Posts: 55
    Betpoints: 396

    There are no traps.. you can choose which side you bet on, no one forces you. Seattle is a Super Bowl caliber team, with the best defense in the NFL, and a coach who will ram it down your throat. The Rams weren't good with Bradford, went after Brett Favre (lol), and have a guy I've never seen play.. which is probably for a good reason.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 10-28-13 01:17 PM #19
    shookid
    shookid's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-17-10
    Posts: 201
    Betpoints: 1958

    Clemens is not a mystery qb. I saw him play enough as the jets backup to know he has minimal talent. He has a decent throwing arm but his decisions are poor and couple that he has to play his first reps against the hawks? Yeah right.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 10-28-13 02:41 PM #20
    rolltideroll0
    rolltideroll0's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-13
    Posts: 476
    Betpoints: 13

    Well let’s look at the range of outcomes 1) Defensive slugfest (I think St. Louis wins ATS in this case 2) Seattle is up early and then lets up late 3) Seattle rolls over St.louis (14-35 point margin of victory) or 4) The extremely unlikely event that St. Louis somehow wins outright. Given the range of possibilities, I don’t like Seattle in this spot. Two plays here are 1) avoid the game 2) small play on st Louis +13.
    BTW- Pete Carroll didn’t run the score up on opponents while he was at USC. He even got pissed when Harbaugh did it to him. He’s only run it up twice in the NFL (revenge against 49’s and against AZ). Doesn’t think it is in good taste to run it up.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 10-28-13 02:44 PM #21
    Bigh2001
    Bigh2001's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-18-11
    Posts: 346
    Betpoints: 1458

    There's a reason this line is still going up as of today. Books set the line to low for a shitty backup qb and are trying to get stl money.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 10-28-13 02:57 PM #22
    Broncos
    Broncos's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-17-12
    Posts: 862
    Betpoints: 1023

    Quote Originally Posted by rolltideroll0 View Post
    Well let’s look at the range of outcomes 1) Defensive slugfest (I think St. Louis wins ATS in this case 2) Seattle is up early and then lets up late 3) Seattle rolls over St.louis (14-35 point margin of victory) or 4) The extremely unlikely event that St. Louis somehow wins outright. Given the range of possibilities, I don’t like Seattle in this spot. Two plays here are 1) avoid the game 2) small play on st Louis +13.
    BTW- Pete Carroll didn’t run the score up on opponents while he was at USC. He even got pissed when Harbaugh did it to him. He’s only run it up twice in the NFL (revenge against 49’s and against AZ). Doesn’t think it is in good taste to run it up.
    I disagree with your range of outcomes. First of all, you need a good defense to have a defensive slugfest. Ram's D give up about 26 pts per game. If you throw out jax and hou, it balloons up to 30. Number 2 is always a possiblity when a top 5 team plays a bottom 10 team. Number 3 is the most likely possibility. Number 4, has less than a 10% probability. A new starter (with very limited talent), is going to somehow motivate his bad team to play above their heads, don't think so. Degens are not going to avoid the game, the play is a regular or small play at -13. By the way, I got my play in yesterday at -11 (regular play).

    GLTA
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 10-28-13 04:12 PM #23
    tokio
    tokio's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-30-10
    Posts: 2,150
    Betpoints: 2886

    I like Sherman even though he's a little cocky, he plays serious and that causes the rest of the team to play hard also.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  24. 10-28-13 04:57 PM #24
    Tony Truong
    Update your status
    Tony Truong's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-23-12
    Posts: 760
    Betpoints: 2782

    Quote Originally Posted by kevin101 View Post
    seattle will shit and piss on st.louis. bye bye money is on st.louis. sharp money on seattle. the public will detroy the books and vegas tomorrow.

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  25. 10-28-13 05:03 PM #25
    JZAL12
    JZAL12's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-04-12
    Posts: 171
    Betpoints: 1631

    I feel like this bet is equivalent to: Will the Rams back door cover?

    Yes -110
    No -110
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  26. 10-28-13 05:10 PM #26
    Blaker88
    Blaker88's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-11-13
    Posts: 161
    Betpoints: 1561

    All this conversation makes me more and more confident of seattle -7 1st half.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  27. 10-28-13 05:16 PM #27
    Kermit
    My Finger Smells Like Pork
    Kermit's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-27-10
    Posts: 32,557
    Betpoints: 2611

    Quote Originally Posted by Jikos View Post
    He is simply saying that the public is on the side he thinks is going to win.
    The sharps on on Seattle too.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  28. 10-28-13 05:27 PM #28
    Luckycharms2012
    Luckycharms2012's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-07-12
    Posts: 2,422
    Betpoints: 5412

    Seattle is the play guys! And the under too BTW.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  29. 10-28-13 05:42 PM #29
    djmano
    djmano's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-30-12
    Posts: 209
    Betpoints: 36

    i hedged out of my st.louis +14.5 2.5u bet. i know the double digit home dawg is a strong bet but one of the biggest advantages of the home dawg is gone b/c everyone will be at the cards game.

    also in cases of big dawgs i feel more confident if they have a strong d that can at least keep the other team in check but st. louis is giving up way too many PPG.

    fisher said they were going to 'let clemens loose.' i interpret that as 'we don't really have a shot in hell to win so were going to gamble.' long shot it might pay off, odds say probably doesn't.

    i dont know that much about clemens but from what i read he was basically brought in to teach bradford the offense....i know that no NFL team really intends on starting its backup QB but i think the rams are getting hurt badly by having bradford out.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  30. 10-28-13 05:50 PM #30
    Okst.BIGPLAYS
    Okst.BIGPLAYS's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-03-10
    Posts: 212
    Betpoints: 703

    Quote Originally Posted by Popcorn Trick View Post
    "Informed" and "Wise" public betting a lot of different ways these days.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  31. 10-28-13 06:01 PM #31
    MR.HARRYtheHAT
    MR.HARRYtheHAT's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-20-09
    Posts: 1,018
    Betpoints: 0

    Will there be a Brett Favre sighting? Nah,LOL LOL!!!!! but desperate St. Louis did put in a call to the 44-year-old future Hall of Famer, supposedly in jest,after losing Sam Bradford for the season. In lieu of Favre, the team will go with journeyman Kellen Clemens. They also signed Brady Quinn and Austin Davis as insurance plans, using the term liberally. Seahawks wined this NFC West foe, winning 14 of the past 16, and the ’Hawks are roaring now. So many things are going right, and dynamic WR Percy Harvin (hip surgery) is close to making his Seattle debut, though it won’t be here. Marshawn Lynch has three straight 100-yard games vs. St. Louis.
    ***My Prediction***: Using my Formula and Analysis plus The Linemakers & Sporting News [have no association with illegal gambling,or offshore betting, Seahawks, -13 ... 28-0 in a blowout or more.... Don’t despair,SBR sports fans,World Series Game 5 is tonight, also in St. Louis. LOL LOL!!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  32. 10-28-13 11:03 PM #32
    rolltideroll0
    rolltideroll0's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-13
    Posts: 476
    Betpoints: 13

    You are welcome gentlemen (although it appears that most did not heed my warning). My only regret was only placing 300 on it.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  33. 10-28-13 11:14 PM #33
    agendaman
    agendaman's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-01-11
    Posts: 3,660
    Betpoints: 14010

    i have to become a bookie screw betting seattle bet to -14 49rs bet down to -14.5 gimme some of that easy money
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
Top
« Previous Thread | NFL Betting | Next Thread »