1. #1
    frank9166
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    Just a thought for Week 8...

    Looks like San Francisco-Jacksonville game has a total of 40.5 with a spread of 16.5 or 17 points. Just math tells me that means they're going to call the totals for the game at 28.5 for SF and 12 for Jacksonville (or somewhere close to that).

    Ever since a couple of bad games against IND and SEA, SF has been scoring 30 with regularity. Additionally, 12 (or even 13) is a terribly low total for a team that actually was looking like they were improving offensively, but you won't catch me betting on the Jags unless I get another 28.5 line.

    Right now, I'm feeling SF over is a good play and probably the overall total over.

  2. #2
    SteveRyan
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    Sound reasoning. Only thing is if Jax scores less than 9 points you might have a problem.

  3. #3
    frank9166
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    Quote Originally Posted by SteveRyan View Post
    Sound reasoning. Only thing is if Jax scores less than 9 points you might have a problem.
    My guess would be that the spread line drops while the total line is going to inflate, but that will essentially mean that people are betting heavier on Jacksonville to score, not necessarily on SF to put up more. I feel like SF O/U 28.5 will be the ending line either way, in which case I'll probably just take that line as my play.

  4. #4
    frank9166
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    Just checked... Line is 27.5 for SF total. Do I think Kaep and company can score 4 TDs? Absolutely, I'm all over this one.

  5. #5
    frank9166
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    Rainy and windy in London. Could be bad conditions. Should've bet the game under! DAMN!

  6. #6
    frank9166
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    Wel.... that was an easy cover. Wow.

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