MY Record is 6-1-1 [Cardinals vs Bears Prediction:At A Cold Soldier Field]

MR.HARRYtheHAT · 11-05-09 10:34 PM

MY Record is 6-1-1 Against and With the spread. I bet one game A week, I never bet spreads over 10, never a road team, getting 7 more points, never home steam giving up 7 more points ...I work off a spread sheet, weather,Injures, Power Ratings,Defense and Offence Analyzes, Team Coaches Comparisons and what Team has Lot Players with Flu//lol just kidding !!! After doing a total Analyzes of all NFL Games for week #9, Game Day Sunday I studied even A Little Harder despite my Win with Miami last week,and went through lot's of spread sheet's to come up with this game. So This is My Analyzes Of The Game??? and also I feel its my best bet,Using my betting system ,After Reviewing All The NFL Games this Sunday For Week #9

The Cardinals’ defense, like the offense, is 18th in the league and also like their offensive counterparts, they’re unbalanced. Arizona is one of the best teams against the run, but they even got destroyed in that aspect against the Panthers, who racked up 270 yards on the ground against ArizonaArizona looks to bounce back after a bad loss at home 34-21 to the Carolina Panthers where they gave up 6 turnovers to the Panthers. Its amazing to think that the Carolina Panthers had a +6 turnover margin in this game and only won by 13 points. Kurt Warner threw 5 interceptions last week and was sacked twice and under duress all game. The Cardinals offensive line did not protect Warner very well. The Cardinals will have injury concerns in their receiving corps as Anquan Boldin tweaked an ankle and is questionable against Chicago. Cardinal’s rookie running back Beanie Wells produced another good game on Sunday with 47 rushing yards on 8 carries for 5.9 yards per carry average.. Defensive end Darnell Dockett and safety Antrel Rolle are limping, too The Bears aren’t the scary defensive team that they’ve usually been, and a lot of that has to do with the absence of injured linebacker Brian Urlacher. Charles Tillman’s interception return for a score against the Browns was Chicago’s first defensive touchdown of the year. it was powered by their defense, and this year’s group is just getting by until Cutler and the offense gets their thing together

***Note*** Bears are 3-0 in home games during the Jay Cutler era...Cardinals are last in the league in rushing offense (64.9 yards per game), and are the only team in the league without a rush of 20 yards or longer...Bears defensive end Adewale Ogunleye is tied for the NFL lead in defensive fumble recoveries (3)...Cardinals wide receiver Anquan Boldin (ankle) and Darnell Dockett (ankle) both expected to play despite injuries.

***Note*** Here's a look some interesting Bears' stats through the first seven games.

The Bears are 0-3 when Cutler throws for 250 yards or more and 4-0 when he does not.

In the Bears' three losses Cutler has thrown Nine interceptions and in their four wins he's thrown just two picks.

Matt Forte has averaged 54.7 total yards in their three losses and 107.3 total yards in their four wins.

Forte has only crossed the goal line three times this season but none of them have come in a losing effort.

Devin Hester, the team leading WR not returner, averages 91.3 yards in the team's losses but just 45 yards in the team's victories.

The Bears are 1-3 against teams with a winning record and their four victories have come against opponents with a combined record of 9-20.

Arizona came into the Carolina game with an outstanding rush defense but the Panthers were able to rush 44 times for 270 yards and 5.7 yards per carry on the Cardinals defense. The Bears broke a 2 game losing streak by beating Cleveland 30-6 last week. The Browns are inept on offense and cant score or move the ball on any NFL defense. Three of the four Bears wins have come against the very poor teams in the NFL in Seattle with a backup quarterback under center, Detroit and Cleveland. Starting quarterback Jay Cutler is hitting on 64% of his passes with 11 touchdowns and 11 interceptions on the season. Cutler has thrown 6 picks in his past 3 games. Running back Matt Forte continues to struggle on the ground producing just 90 yards on 26 carries for 3.5 yards per carry average against a bad Cleveland team. Forte is only averaging just 3.5 yards per carry this season. On the defensive side the Bears have been a little shakey with a mix of very good and very bad performances on the season. Two games back Carson Palmer and the talented Cincinnati Bengals offense torched the Bears defense for 45 points and 448 yards.

The Cardinals lost to Carolina 34-21 as a 10-point favorite in Week 8 Warner was responsible for six turnovers against the Panthers, throwing five picks along with a lost fumble. The Cardinals are 18th in the league in offense, which is unheard of, and they’re terrible one-dimensional. They averaged 5.5 yards on the ground against Carolina, yet went away from the running game. It seems like they pretty much wasted a draft pick on running back “Beanie” Wells. The Bears are back in 20th offensively as Jay Cutler and his receivers are still getting used to one another. It also doesn’t help that running back Matt Forte is up and down in his sophomore season, as last week’s 90 yards was his second-highest total of the year. Devin Hester is improving as an every-down receiver, though.The Bears have won three in a row over the Cardinals since 2001, and they haven’t scored more than 13 points in two trips to chilly Chicago. We all know the Arizona offense stumbles in the cold, and even though they won in New York a couple of weeks ago, they won’t do it again. Losing Boldin takes away their best possession receiver, and that is key in the cooler temperatures of Chicago[ Let It Snow Baby//lol/lol]

Meanwhile, the Bears hopefully watched tape of Carolina’s win last week, and they can really use Forte to grind out a victory on the ground against the Cardinals. The Bears defeated Cleveland 30-6 as an 11.5-point favorite in Week 8. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (40). Matt Forte rushed for 90 yards and two touchdowns on 26 carries for Chicago, while Jay Cutler passed for 225 yards with an interception. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games at home and Chicago is 4-1-1 against the spread in its last 6 games at home.Arizona (4-3) had a three-game winning streak snapped in a 34-21 loss in Carolina, in one of the worst performances of Kurt Warner’s storied career. The Bears (4-3) avoided a three-game skid by beating up on poor Cleveland 30-6, but they’re still not even close to challenging in the NFC North, let alone the conference.

I like Chicago in this game mainly because it’s on their home turf. Also, the Cardinals did not look good at all last week, losing to the struggling Panthers 34-21.The Bears are kicking off the second half of a tough schedule, and a win would do wonders for their confidencePlain and simple, when Jay Cutler plays well his teams win. In fact, his teams are a perfect 13-0 when he posts a passer rating of 100 or better. I expect the 100-plus passer rating games to start piling up in Chicago as Cutler continues to build chemistry with his receiving corps. One player that is making Cutler’s life easier is deep threat Devin Hester. The converted defensive back and return specialist is developing nicely into a No. 1 wideout. Since Chicago’s Week 5 bye, Hester has caught at least six passes in each of the Bears last three games while averaging 88.3 yards per game. His pass patterns are getting better and better and so are his instincts. Plus, he gives Chicago a vertical threat that it has been missing in recent years. Rookie wideout Johnny Knox is getting with the program as well. He enters Week 9 with four touchdown grabs, good for second in the NFL among rookies.

On the other side of the football, injuries have taken a toll on what was expected to be a strong Bears defense. The one constant for this defense has been star linebacker Lance Briggs, though. The guy is simply one of the best in the game and he will likely play a huge role in keeping the Bears in this week’s contest. Arizona loves to hit its opponents with short routes to its talented set of playmakers to let them run after the catch. If Briggs can make quick reads to limit the yards gained after the catch, it will go a long way toward helping the Bears win. It is worth noting that the Bears are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.I like Chicago at home laying a field goal this week because The Bears played a very solid game against the Browns, beating them 30-6 in Chicago. The Cardinals have no rushing game once so ever, ranked last in the NFL, and Kurt Warner just can’t carry the team every game. If Arizona’s defense creates the most turnovers, they might have a chance.

***Fast Fact***.Cardinals are last in the league in rushing offense (64.9 yards per game), and are the only team in the league without a rush of 20 yards or longer...Bears defensive end Adewale Ogunleye is tied for the NFL lead in defensive fumble recoveries (3)...Cardinals wide receiver Anquan Boldin (ankle) and Darnell Dockett (ankle) both expected to play despite injuries.: The Cardinals, who were based in Chicago from 1920 to 1959, are 0-2 in the Windy City since the then-St. Louis Cardinals won there in 1982.

**Prediction**: Calendar has turned to November, which means it's time for the Cardinals to stop showing up on the road... Bears win a low scoring game in Soldier Field and will cover the -3 PSS>>Forecast for Game Time:48° F/ 14° C Partly Cloudy Slight Chance Of Rain At Soldier Field

Mr.Hår¥THëHÄT

AS ALWAYS BEST OF LUCK ON YOUR PICKS THIS WEEK

PeePee · 11-06-09 12:12 AM

I like it....

thechaoz · 11-06-09 01:12 AM

Nice write up

19th Hole · 11-06-09 01:48 AM

Thank You Harry!!

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

MY Record is 6-1-1 Against and With the spread. I bet one game A week,
I never bet spreads over 10, never a road team, getting 7 more points, never home steam giving up 7 more points
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Does this mean you never bet over a 7 point spread either way??

Thanks.

marabdl86 · 11-06-09 01:56 AM

appreciate your hard work man. let's hope for the best

Saluki09 · 11-06-09 02:25 AM

Um, 50 degrees isnt cold here in chicago, and warner plays better away. Thanks for the write up im going with the cardinals now.

marabdl86 · 11-06-09 02:57 AM

^^^ 50 degrees is freezing when you live in Arizona

This one is tricky. Bears are one of the most inconsistent teams along with the bengals, eagles, seahawks

Bears got blown out by an average Bengals team the week before who lost to the Texans. Bears win last week against a sorry browns team in complete mess.

You do your homework Harry so I'm going with you on this one

G's pks · 11-06-09 09:26 AM

Harry expected temp in Chicago on Sunday at game time will be around 64 degrees not 48. Warm front passing thru Chi town this week end GL... G

G's pks · 11-06-09 09:29 AM

Harry are you reviewing injuries at all? I notice you talk about Hester...do you even know he is out indefinately?

Mr Handicapable · 11-06-09 10:16 AM

I like Arizona ML! The Bears have problems....Boise State could rout Cleveland so that doesn't mean anything! The problem w/the Bears is that they have a payroll geared towards an elite defense but their D hasn't been elite since their SB year! Their patchwork O-line can't spring Forte and allowed lowly Cleveland to beat up on Cutler! Arizona is 3-0 on the road....crushed Seattle 27-3 and beat the G-Men in the Meadowlands! Arizona blitzed the living $hit out of Hasselbeck (128 total yards!) in that Seattle game and they'll do the same against the one-dimensional Bears here! Cutler's receivers are too young to make the proper hot reads to burn the blitz imo! I wouldn't be shocked if Arizona out rushed Chicago in this one! Beanie Wells was 14-67 (4.8 ypc) w/a TD vs the Giants and Wells/Hightower combined for 16-86 (5.3 ypc) vs Carolina! Bolden will play too...nothing stops that guy! I haven't seen any injury reports about Devin Hester......Hester/Knox in the return game can make a difference but I still like Arizona either way!

GGPLAYER · 11-06-09 12:08 PM

From Rotoworld:

Devin Hester (ankle) returned to Bears practice on Friday.

Hester was held out of practice on both Wednesday and Thursday, but has been expected to play against Arizona all along. The matchup is favorable at home, where the Bears play much better. Chicago is experiencing a flurry of good weather recently, with temperatures in the 60s and little precipitation. Nov. 6 - 12:35 pm et
Source: Brad Biggs on Twitter

balman · 11-06-09 01:18 PM

Harry I read your review last week on fins n jets game and your call was right on. I agree with you on a couple points game should be low scoring and close. But I don’t trust either qb Warner or Cutler they are a couple wildcards. They either play terrible or great, so I’m going with a 6 point teaser: cards +9 under 50.5. I figure the cards can keep the game close and I don’t see the game going over 50.
Best of luck everyone

Saluki09 · 11-06-09 02:07 PM

This guy obviously hasn't watched the bears lately. BTW Warner is better outdoors then indoors this year.

Smogs · 11-06-09 02:30 PM

Originally Posted by Saluki09

This guy obviously hasn't watched the bears lately. BTW Warner is better outdoors then indoors this year.

With a 6-1-1 record i say this guy knows his stuff, the only reason i ain't trailing is because Riggs is on Arizona, so that is an automatic no play for me.

MR.HARRYtheHAT · 11-06-09 03:28 PM

Originally Posted by 19th Hole

Thank You Harry!!

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

MY Record is 6-1-1 Against and With the spread. I bet one game A week,
I never bet spreads over 10, never a road team, getting 7 more points, never home steam giving up 7 more points
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Does this mean you never bet over a 7 point spread either way??

Thanks.

REPLY T0 19TH HOLE

MyBetting System system has a proven track record, believe me. simple stats and facts, if the line is under 7, and you think that the fav will win, take it under 7. once the fav goes over 7-9., there are some mitigating factors in the number, and the % of the fav covering drops. if the number is at 10 or higher, again the % of the fav covering drops. simply put, if you think, for example using this weeks number at this time,.. But the magic number is 6.5 and down. if it is 7 or higher, watch out. just an fyi for those who use variables in picking. also, another fyi in my opinion, check out the ml on dogs that you think will win (as long as the number is 6.5 or lower). for example, using todays numbers at this time, if you think Atlanta will win vs Dallas, it may pay to add a play on the Money Line as well. something i do in my money management. another factor in my decision is who has an upcoming bye week and favored, especially those playing at home Just some items i use, and an fyi.[ short for 'For Your Information'] I might stumble on to some piece of information that gives me a bit of an edge.. take it or leave it. and yes, Vegas is aware, but they are in the business of making money, they would much rather see an even amount on each side, or as close as possible. those billion dollar resorts aren't built by shoving money out the door on sports betting. watch those 7.5 or higher road favs. not saying they don't cover at times, but watch out. the number put out is basically a public perception number, and is usually adjusted accordingly to money amounts and some sharp play.

Good luck to all...we are all sharing here to help us all make some dough

MR.HARRYtheHAT · 11-06-09 03:50 PM

Originally Posted by Smogs

With a 6-1-1 record i say this guy knows his stuff, the only reason i ain't trailing is because Riggs is on Arizona, so that is an automatic no play for me.

TO SMOGS>VERY GOOD LUCK ON YOUR PICKS THIS WEEK BUDDY [$$$ May the fickle finger of fortune be with you for the dough this week buddy$$]

filter15 · 11-06-09 03:54 PM

thanks

machete · 11-06-09 07:42 PM

excellent write up and good luck, I´m stayin´ away from this one, bears haven´t been constant

poinst scored by CHI.-

30 against CLE - won
10 against CIN - loss
14 against ATL- loss
48 against DET - won
25 against SEA- won
17 against PIT - won
15 against GB -loss

GL

BABBA-GEE · 11-07-09 10:45 AM

Sorry..I am completely opposite..

Final Score Cards 34 Bears 24..Write it up! Its Golden!

MR.HARRYtheHAT · 11-07-09 03:04 PM

MY Record is 6-1-1 Against and With the spread. I bet one game A week, I never bet spreads over 10, never a road team, getting 7 more points, never home steam giving up 7 more points ...I work off a spread sheet, weather,Injures, Power Ratings,Defense and Offence Analyzes, Team Coaches Comparisons and what Team has Lot Players with Flu//lol just kidding !!! After doing a total Analyzes of all NFL Games for week #9, Game Day Sunday I studied even A Little Harder despite my Win with Miami last week,and went through lot's of spread sheet's to come up with this game. So This is My Analyzes Of The Game??? and also I feel its my best bet,Using my betting system ,After Reviewing All The NFL Games this Sunday For Week #9

The Cardinals’ defense, like the offense, is 18th in the league and also like their offensive counterparts, they’re unbalanced. Arizona is one of the best teams against the run, but they even got destroyed in that aspect against the Panthers, who racked up 270 yards on the ground against ArizonaArizona looks to bounce back after a bad loss at home 34-21 to the Carolina Panthers where they gave up 6 turnovers to the Panthers. Its amazing to think that the Carolina Panthers had a +6 turnover margin in this game and only won by 13 points. Kurt Warner threw 5 interceptions last week and was sacked twice and under duress all game. The Cardinals offensive line did not protect Warner very well. The Cardinals will have injury concerns in their receiving corps as Anquan Boldin tweaked an ankle and is questionable against Chicago. Cardinal’s rookie running back Beanie Wells produced another good game on Sunday with 47 rushing yards on 8 carries for 5.9 yards per carry average.. Defensive end Darnell Dockett and safety Antrel Rolle are limping, too The Bears aren’t the scary defensive team that they’ve usually been, and a lot of that has to do with the absence of injured linebacker Brian Urlacher. Charles Tillman’s interception return for a score against the Browns was Chicago’s first defensive touchdown of the year. it was powered by their defense, and this year’s group is just getting by until Cutler and the offense gets their thing together

***Note*** Bears are 3-0 in home games during the Jay Cutler era...Cardinals are last in the league in rushing offense (64.9 yards per game), and are the only team in the league without a rush of 20 yards or longer...Bears defensive end Adewale Ogunleye is tied for the NFL lead in defensive fumble recoveries (3)...Cardinals wide receiver Anquan Boldin (ankle) and Darnell Dockett (ankle) both expected to play despite injuries.

***Note*** Here's a look some interesting Bears' stats through the first seven games.