Seriously I can't find a single game where I can find an edge on betting either side or even ML.
I'm taking the day off tomorrow. Tread lightly my friends.
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10-05-13 11:02 PM #1
Tomorrow is the toughest NFL card I have seen in a long time
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10-05-13 11:41 PM #2
Pavy take the under 48 In bears/saints game and thank me later.. Cheers!!
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10-05-13 11:42 PM #3
same here, Vikings have a bye week and I can't find a single game to bet on.
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10-05-13 11:42 PM #4
That's why im passing going to magic mountain or maybe take my dogs hiking ....killed it today rather not give it back I looked at the card should be a bloodbath here sunday.
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10-05-13 11:44 PM #5
Sometimes it's not good to lock in early.
Originally Posted by pinnacle420
The number is over 50.
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10-06-13 12:03 AM #6
Broncos ML and Packers ML? I don't know how Cowboys are gonna stop Manning and I definitely can't see Packers going 1-3.
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10-06-13 12:07 AM #7
pavy do this
pick 3 leans on 1 o'clock games. so say you have team A at -4, but you dont bet you wait until half
then at half team A is trailing 14-10 and you take them -4.5 for the 2nd half, you got them at a pk!
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10-06-13 12:07 AM #8
in 3 games, you are certain to find this scenario to pounce on
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10-06-13 12:08 AM #9
Originally Posted by tokio
This is my all in parlay.
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10-06-13 12:09 AM #10
take the under dal/denver
det +7
kc -2.5
bal +2.5
cinc +1
sea -2
caro -1.5
60% easy
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10-06-13 12:10 AM #11
not going to lie the over in the colts/seahaws game and the Bengal/pats game 44 is a tad low still don't know if i'll play them though....gut just screams that that colts seahawks will go over the number
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10-06-13 12:10 AM #12
Pretty much agree but there's always winners just gotta find em
Ravens, Saints, Panthers, Bengals leans.....
Colts/Seahawks Over probably my favorite play but there really isn't anything that stands out
Either way not betting any more than a unit a game....Not forcing any big plays
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10-06-13 12:12 AM #13
Great minds think alike Originally Posted by teaserpleaser
If this were in Seattle I wouldn't like it but I think Colts can score at home and the Seahawks will get theirsNomination(s):This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: teaserpleaser
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10-06-13 12:12 AM #14
We'll giant I loved it at 48 and at 50 that's Christmas in October bro!! Even better.. It doesn't hit 46.. Originally Posted by The Giant
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10-06-13 12:13 AM #15Derek Jeter, the best shortstop ever.
Become A Pro!
Join Date: 11-13-12Posts: 5,179Betpoints: 1897
Yeah, Pavy it is BRUTAL.
The only single game I can really see on this "football week's" schedule is Falcons moneyline on Monday night. Going 1-3, losing two straight in the dome, and just losing to the Jets in general will be a fukking disaster. If the Falcons lose this game it will basically take a miracle to even get an NFC wildcard, even at this early stage.
I can also see Broncos moneyline and MAYBE Packers moneyline.
I'll probably also put some on 49ers moneyline at around 7:30 PM if the day has gone well.
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10-06-13 12:14 AM #16
i would advise to tread lightly with the over in the Colts game
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10-06-13 12:15 AM #17
Parlay everything on the board, do that 4 or 5 times, rub one out, start looking for ways to hedge the third leg of one of your 12 teamers, create a thread.
Points Awarded:
biff gave Ra77er 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.
Nomination(s):This post was nominated 2 times . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: biff, and pavyracer
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10-06-13 12:18 AM #18
Funny you made this thread cause I was thinking the exact same thing on Wednesday. Then I ended up finding some edge on totals. Most of my plays this week are on overs but I did take two dogs straight up. Originally Posted by pavyracer
Pats O45
Seattle O43
Saints O53
Packers O48
Jax U42
Philly ML
AZ ML
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10-06-13 12:18 AM #19
Line just seems too low, and its usually for a reason but I have had success this year just going with what I cap Originally Posted by ThaTopMoron
I think both teams hit the 20's even though Colts D has been better than expected
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10-06-13 12:20 AM #20
walter white style... Not sold on the colts D they shut down Niners without Vernon davis and its clear they are limited at Wr right now with all their guys banged up anybody can shut down jags Oakland and Miami scored 20 and 17 on them seattle is a different beast im actually more concerned with colts getting theirs...might just take seahawks team total im beat have to look again sunday. Originally Posted by ThaTopMoron
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10-06-13 12:20 AM #21
these NFL weeks are why I love teasers LOL
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10-06-13 12:23 AM #22
Colts need to win with Luck and their weapons on the outside.....maybe some draws and screens with T-Rich, but gotta let Luck do his thing Originally Posted by teaserpleaser
Can the Colts O-line hold up though? Dolphins gave them trouble at home and Seattle is a different animal
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10-06-13 12:33 AM #23
Seahawks on the road is not the same Seahawks at home. We saw this last week and if it wasnt for a Texans meltdown and play calling, they were getting handled.
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10-06-13 12:40 AM #24
Really liking the card tomorrow. Hard a hard time finding games for the NCAA card today.
Few games I pounded. Thinking points again.
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10-06-13 12:41 AM #25
How can you not like the Colts?
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10-06-13 12:47 AM #26
What bets ya lookin at Chalky? Originally Posted by ChalkyDog
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10-06-13 12:48 AM #27
This logic is so flawed... every time I see it, I am reminded why most are terrible at handicapping NFL. Regardless of the outcome of this particular game, I sure am glad I've moved on from this level of thinking Originally Posted by tokio
Nomination(s):This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: teaserpleaser
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10-06-13 01:03 AM #28
What do you mean? "i cant see nyg going 0-3 worked well against carolina (then kc)"
The fact that each game is an independent event means nothing. Lets start associating things like whatyou think their ioverall record SHOULD be to projecting the outcomeof an individual game!
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10-06-13 01:06 AM #29
Dogs. Originally Posted by MoneyLineDawg
Indy, Oakland, and maybe Jets Monday Night.
I've been cashing on teasers all year long. Really want to tease Dallas up, but I'd rather just tease the over.
Really want to bet Bears, but I don't trust myself to see this right.
Going to limit it to 2 plays max on the early games, and that will determine my action for the rest of the day.
Got a few college/NFL teasers than have a leg or three.
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10-06-13 01:22 AM #30
I'm a big dog bettor myself, especially in the NFL Originally Posted by ChalkyDog
Like Oakland and the Jets + the points....Torn on Colts/Seahawks side, just like the Over more than anything there
Yeah, Denver Overs are money, tease it and you're golden
I'm probably on the Saints myself but still unsure because the Bears are damn good at home...In years past, Saints would lose this game for sure but I think their D and team as a whole is a lot tougher this season......Basically they're not just that pussy finesse dome team as much IMO
Tough call
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10-06-13 01:23 AM #31
Over in Giants/Eagles easy $$$$
Chargers pound the Raiders
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10-06-13 01:27 AM #32Derek Jeter, the best shortstop ever.
Join Date: 11-13-12Posts: 5,179Betpoints: 1897
The point of the "they can't go 1-3" thing is that the belief of "they are due" (which is essentially what the "they can't go 1-3 means") is complete bullshit.
You can say how badly it will suck if they go 1-3 or how their season will be ruined if they go 1-3, but to say it "can't happen" is ridiculous.
This is the NFL (this goes for any other sport as well), you EARN every win and you DESERVE every loss.
Jacksonville DESERVES the record they have because for NFL players, they play like scrubs.
Denver EARNED their record because they are playing amazing.
parlayin, you probably are great pples. But, talking about how something "can't happen" in sports is bush-league.
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10-06-13 01:32 AM #33
best move is if nothing jumps out then just wait and try to make an educated 2nd half play...personally i wish i had the discipline to do that consistently, always seem to hit at a high percentage on 2nd half plays.
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10-06-13 01:38 AM #34
Only leans I have are SEA/IND O43.5, HOU/SF U42.5 & OAK +4.5
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10-06-13 01:49 AM #35
Originally Posted by tokio
yea thats pretty much what i thought. i need packers and broncs SU to close a $2600 parlay. GL if you are betting them
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