6-2 two weeks ago
3-3 last week on plays, but the leans were hot.
KC Chiefs +3.5 WIN
Chiefs/Phila Over 50.5 LOSS
TB/Pats UNDER 44.5 WIN
Giants +1.5 LOSS
Packers -2.5 LOSS
Denver -14.5 WIN
3-3
Giants and Packers were two extremely public plays that I stuck with. Giants got their ass beat but I felt like I was robbed in the Packers game. That challenge that reversed the 1st down at the end of the game before the 4th and 1 fumble was an awful call. It was very hard to tell exactly when his knee was down, you can argue the ball should have been moved back a tiny bit but a 1/2 yard? No way. That was Mike Carey hooking a brotha Marvin Lewis up. I felt like my wins were pretty easy but losing that Packers game was hard to take. The leans did well but there is so little edge in betting these NFL games. Look at how many games come down to the last possession. I was thinking of playing Miami, and I didn't feel like sweating that one out, especially when Atlanta outplayed them for much of the game.
Thurs
San Fran @ Rams +3
Issues
The 49ers can't start 1-3 right???
The 49ers have 10 points in their last 2 games, they have to play better.
49ers injuries on defense, Aldon Smith out, Willis won't play, Asomugha 50/50, Bowman
Vernon Davis questionable
Rams beat last year's better 49ers team at home and tied on road (were robbed and really should have won)
Rams Blown out last week, were getting blown out 2 weeks ago but made it respectable
Rams receivers are very raw
Rams 0-3 ATS
It is a known fact the 49ers have the best offensive line in football, but it doesn't look like it. If I didn't know those guys ahead of time I wouldn't say they look like the best line in football. They also have a tough task this week against Quinn and Long.
I think everybody is going to ignore the injuries play the 49ers because of what they did last year - niners can't start 1-3 will be the public's rally cry. The Rams are kind of an unknown team to the public. I think they are better than people think and they did well vs the 49ers last year. I think Bradford has looked decent in what I've seen this year. The books wouldn't just give this away right? Well it is a Thursday night game, maybe the 49ers do come out and play better and win this game. The upside to the books is that the public will give all their winnings back on Sunday.
I am going to just watch this game without any action.