1. #1
    AdaBarber
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    Big A Da Barber NFL Against the Public Weekly Hitters!

    I am only putting units on teams playing against the public. All games are played according to the unit for each and every game. This is an experiment of consistency. Follow at your own risk. Good luck.

    San Diego +4.5


    ​Good luck. And go Skins! HTTR!

  2. #2
    keel44
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    Yeah, I agree with you on this. San Diego = huge motivation

  3. #3
    AdaBarber
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    San Diego WIN

    Season 1 - 0

  4. #4
    AdaBarber
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    Big A Da Barber NFL Against the Public Weekly Week 2

    TB +3.5
    Indy +3
    Ariz +2

  5. #5
    AdaBarber
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    Indy +3 LOSS

    SEASON: 1 - 1
    Last edited by AdaBarber; 09-15-13 at 08:22 PM.

  6. #6
    RavensFan2k3
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    Quote Originally Posted by AdaBarber View Post
    Indy +3 WIN

    SEASON: 2 - 0
    I dont understand

  7. #7
    AdaBarber
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    True. Just a little mistake. I am still good. Thanks for correction.

  8. #8
    AdaBarber
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    Tampa Bay +3.5 WIN
    Arizona +2 WIN

    Week 2: 2 - 1
    Season: 3 - 1

  9. #9
    AdaBarber
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    Damn, I am loving the +6.5 because the public is sooo down on this years version of the Pittsburgh Steelers and Cincy is supposed to win the division and make it to the Conference Championship. After Pittsburgh was manhandled in the trenches on the OL, Big Ben not liking the offensive calls and game plan, and the loss of so many key players at the skill positions I just cannot see Pittsburgh slowing down a team that was able to throw up 21 points on an elite Chicago defense. I believe in Mike Tomlin and his no nonsense approach that he can rally this team to fight with this divisional powerhouse. The question is how long can they hang in there before better talent arises from the dust. I just talked myself into a little wager. NOT! I will just watch this one! Good luck to those of you who have the balls to play this one!

  10. #10
    AdaBarber
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    Thursday Night Football Chiefs VS Eagles

    ​Chiefs +3

  11. #11
    AdaBarber
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    If anyone needs why I am taking the Chiefs I will write it up. Good luck!

  12. #12
    bigsmitty
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    Interesting Barber. What's your tipping point line for the public being on a team? 60%? And where do you draw it from? Almost think you could go 60% mindlessly betting against the public line-call it 60% on a team. Follow your stuff and see what comes up. Cheers

  13. #13
    AdaBarber
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    I am taking the Chiefs. I have yet to jump on this Eagle hype. Not to say I do not enjoy the high flying Eagles but it has only been two games. We have seen that this offense has caught the first two teams off guard. Remember Vick said there was more to come right before the San Diego game. With that said, there is now two games of film with almost the whole playbook on it. Andy Reid has always been a well prepared coach, he was just stubborn as hell when it came to utilizing his personnel correctly. Now that he has a team that fits his style and much younger he will do his best to keep these birds off the field and in the fryer. We watched the Eagles dismantle suspect defenses and that was only in the first half. The second half was another story. It looks to me that the Eagles wear themselves out instead of the opposition. Not only does he keep the defense from substituting but the Eagles keep themselves on the field as well on both sides of the ball. I think Reid will slow down the Eagles with Alex Smith dinking and dunking all game. And that is Alex's game. He has also implemented the read-option into the offense which they have the perfect personnel for. Oh and did I mention that the Chiefs have an above average defense. They were pretty decent last year on defense but with an offense like they had the whole damn team appeared to be terrible. I will take Andy Reid and the Chiefs.

  14. #14
    AdaBarber
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    @bigsmitty.....I have been doing this for almost 6 years now and I have tried all avenues to find an edge. I tried programs, matchups, matchup analysis, statistical analysis, reverse spread movements, etc. The one thing you can not account for is the unknown. I try now to figure out the unknown to the best of my knowledge by taking in account of all that I have learned over the last six years in addition to the human side of reasoning. I will do any percentage favoring the underdog but for me to go under 70% means that I see an advantage. I look at the percentage on whoever, watch the line movement over days, check some computer predictions, and then I go over the past few games to see what Joe Public would see. It is easy to pull games because I have at least 16 to choose from so I do not press the issue. I play what I see as a fit and then I play it. In my college thread I play almost every game. Too many games and I just feel like over a course of time with a little investigation of each game I can do about 55%. NFL is a different beast altogether! Good luck.

    That Chief percentage is really low for me to take but I see the first two games as an advantage to a seasoned coach and gm such as Andy Reid. Vegas has the read on both teams. One of them is about to show their true identity and Vegas knows, hence the spread.

  15. #15
    AdaBarber
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    Let`s see if Chip will make adjustments. I saw a lot of impatience on the Eagle side. Never been down and off of two interceptions. Moment of truth.

  16. #16
    AdaBarber
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    Chiefs +3 WIN

    Week 3: 1 - 0
    Season: 4 - 1

  17. #17
    AdaBarber
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    cincy bengals +3
    balt ravens +2.5


  18. #18
    AdaBarber
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    carolina panthers +1.5

  19. #19
    AdaBarber
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    baltimore ravens +2.5

  20. #20
    AdaBarber
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    Big A Da Barber NFL Against the Public Weekly Week 3

    bengals +3
    ravens +2.5
    carolina +1.5

  21. #21
    AdaBarber
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    Well, I have 2 units on the Ravens. I was going through my progressions and did Baltimore again. Oh well, I expect that to cover just as I do all my picks! Good luck guys!

  22. #22
    2daBank
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    nice looking card..gl this week

  23. #23
    AdaBarber
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    @ 2dabank...gl to you as well and let's hope we take these picks 2 da bank!

  24. #24
    AdaBarber
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    bengals +3 WIN
    ravens +2.5 x2 WIN
    carolina +1.5 WIN

    WEEK 3: 5 - 0
    SEASON: 8 - 1

    UNTIL NEXT WEEKEND. I WILL LOOK AT THE LAST TWO GAMES. IF THERE IS A PLAY TO BE MADE I WILL MAKE IT. GOOD LUCK TO THOSE WHO ARE SWINGING THEIR BALLS FOR THE LOVE OF THIS! NO OMO!

  25. #25
    AdaBarber
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    I like Chicago but something is up with this spread. We just watched a lowly, pitiful Steelers team be outright horrible. And this is all Vegas has to offer? This tells me to leave this one alone. I went 5 - 0 this week and 10 - 6 in college. My rule: don't make something out of nothing. Reverse line movement but heavy on the public? Okay. How much is the public dropping versus those on the underdog? Chicago covers but I don't have a horse in this race. Good luck to all those getting GRIZZLY!

  26. #26
    AdaBarber
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    WELL! They are really in a rebuilding mode. It has been almost forty years since the Curtain has been some tint!

  27. #27
    AdaBarber
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    St. Louis Rams +3
    Miami Dolphins +6.5
    San Diego Chargers +2


    Leaning Minnesota Watching line to see if it goes higher than +1
    Last edited by AdaBarber; 09-26-13 at 08:15 AM.

  28. #28
    2daBank
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    awesome job, i knew you would be up after the day with that card last week but sweep, nice..

  29. #29
    AdaBarber
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    Thank you Bank. I try my best. I see Arizona has gained a .5 point. I do not think it is needed but it may be a push. I like that it went to 3.5 and the public is all over San Francisco. I will watch the line. I am tempted to take the 3.5 as well.

  30. #30
    la cara
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    Do u think if Mia can keep the game close on the road without Cameron wake?

  31. #31
    AdaBarber
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    Quote Originally Posted by la cara View Post
    Do u think if Mia can keep the game close on the road without Cameron wake?
    I really don't believe in the Saints defense. I believe in Miamis defense even without wake. Their defense was very good last year. My only concern is that the Saints are home. That's the biggest advantage I see. Tanehill was undervalued all of last year but he played well with limited talent. Remember Wake never has shown up every game. I think Miami and Tanehill will be ready for the limelight.

  32. #32
    AdaBarber
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    Well I can't win em all. I should have known better. I did not know St. Louis was this bad, or I just thought San Fran had problems. Maybe they do but this St. Louis team is horrible. No running, receiving, o line. I will take from this game. I think they r tanking and Bradford will be trade bait for picks.

  33. #33
    AdaBarber
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    Miami Dolphins +6.5
    San Diego Chargers +2
    New England +3
    Miami +7
    Buffalo +3

    Week 4: 0 - 1
    Season: 8 - 2
    Last edited by AdaBarber; 09-29-13 at 10:53 AM.

  34. #34
    AdaBarber
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    San Diego Chargers +2 WIN
    Buffalo Bills +3 WIN
    New England Patriots +3 WIN

    Might need to start money lining these. Wow!

    Week 4: 3 - 1
    Season: 11 - 2
    Last edited by AdaBarber; 09-29-13 at 10:57 PM.

  35. #35
    AdaBarber
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    ???

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