According to ESPN article the dogs went 10-3 against the spread last week, not sure if that can happen two weeks in a row.
I have one Lean for this week and that would be Chargers +5.5, I anticipate public to drop mega $ on seahawks later in the week so line might get even better.
What do you like about the Steelers? I am a die hard fan but even I want to bet big against them tonight in this spot. Line seems off to me should be Carolina -6
I bet on a system that takes into account the different variables ELO, public %, hilton %, home field, defense, offense, line movement ...etc, the algorithm spits out the best picks, its hard to explain. I call it the three magi. It has worked for several years, last year it was 28-21 which is documented in this trend. I hope I can help out and help others so i will continue to post. If it becomes a loser than I will fade the system if its way off. My opinion is the steelers bet similar to ravens/browns in that the steelers do better in a close physical game. System calls for a steelers loss by 1 pt. so getting the +3.5 is value.
i have skins -2.7, so do not bet if its down to +3, I don't like buying the hook, in fact you should pass if its a +3. I wish I could have gotten the openning line of +5.5 but could not find it anywhere. I usually on bet if system calls for a 1 pt difference thats why I am saying its close enough to pass but I have a profit and its close enough to gamble a half unit. Good luck to all and I always encourage those who think I am full of shit to fade my picks.