1. 09-03-13 08:29 PM #1
    PlatinumBerg
    PlatinumBerg's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-01-10
    Posts: 1,058
    Betpoints: 613

    SEA -3 Great Value Pick

    Most "sharps" will see this as a huge "square" bet, but I think there is a lot of value here. The Seahawks are a playoff level team and they are motivated. The Panthers on the other hand, are a horrendous team.

    The value is there based on the fundamentals alone. Definitely worth at least an one unit bet.


    For the record, I also like the following plays:

    NYG +3.5
    SF -4.5
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 09-03-13 08:56 PM #2
    chargers4222
    chargers4222's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-16-10
    Posts: 4,702
    Betpoints: 8926

    who do you like in broncos/ravens, bucs/jets, and bengals/bears? spread picks and over/under if you can
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 09-03-13 09:36 PM #3
    Wrecked
    Dreamin the live
    Wrecked's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-31-11
    Posts: 887
    Betpoints: 246

    Would rather bet the under if Seattle's game and wouldn't put money on the giants yet
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 09-03-13 09:52 PM #4
    Bigh2001
    Bigh2001's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-18-11
    Posts: 346
    Betpoints: 1458

    Quote Originally Posted by PlatinumBerg View Post
    Most "sharps" will see this as a huge "square" bet, but I think there is a lot of value here. The Seahawks are a playoff level team and they are motivated. The Panthers on the other hand, are a horrendous team.

    The value is there based on the fundamentals alone. Definitely worth at least an one unit bet.


    For the record, I also like the following plays:

    NYG +3.5
    SF -4.5
    Panthers are "horrendous" based on what? They won 5 of their last 6 to close 2012. They were 2 yards away from beating Seattle last year and a yard away from sweeping the Falcons. They have one of the most underrated front 7s in the NFL and a revamped WR corps with Ted Ginn and Domenik Hixon complementing Steve Smith. Who isn't motivated to play Week 1? Is that really your reasoning behind this pick?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 09-03-13 10:12 PM #5
    jaykarrels
    jaykarrels's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-28-13
    Posts: 120
    Betpoints: 318

    Seattle has been KILLING teams. I don't see it stopping here.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 09-03-13 10:13 PM #6
    PlatinumBerg
    PlatinumBerg's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-01-10
    Posts: 1,058
    Betpoints: 613

    Quote Originally Posted by chargers4222 View Post
    who do you like in broncos/ravens, bucs/jets, and bengals/bears? spread picks and over/under if you can
    I'm not sure if I will be betting any of those games. If I had to take a side, I would take the following: Broncos, Bucs, Bears.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 09-03-13 10:14 PM #7
    PlatinumBerg
    PlatinumBerg's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-01-10
    Posts: 1,058
    Betpoints: 613

    Quote Originally Posted by Wrecked View Post
    Would rather bet the under if Seattle's game and wouldn't put money on the giants yet
    I also like the UNDER for this game as well. Could make an interesting parlay...
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 09-03-13 10:15 PM #8
    PlatinumBerg
    PlatinumBerg's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-01-10
    Posts: 1,058
    Betpoints: 613

    Quote Originally Posted by jaykarrels View Post
    Seattle has been KILLING teams. I don't see it stopping here.
    I agree, the line would easily be -9.5 to -10.5 if this was in SEA.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 09-03-13 10:36 PM #9
    Fred The Hammer
    Fred The Hammer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-13-13
    Posts: 11,496
    Betpoints: 8395

    Carolina is pretty good up front defensively so they could give Lynch problems and Seattle hasn't proven they can play well consistently on the road. Newton looked bad in preseason but I'd be scared of this one either way.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 09-09-13 01:00 AM #10
    PlatinumBerg
    PlatinumBerg's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-01-10
    Posts: 1,058
    Betpoints: 613

    The Seahawks come through. I like SEA -3 VS SF for next week too.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 09-09-13 01:59 AM #11
    NavsPicks
    NavsPicks's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-16-12
    Posts: 3,344
    Betpoints: 1877

    Sea -3 vs SF is a bad pick.. IMHO the value here is at SF ML. 49ers are out to prove something this year (coming from a Seahawks fan)
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 09-09-13 02:17 AM #12
    Speedy88
    Speedy88's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-19-11
    Posts: 11,717
    Betpoints: 1636

    For me, too early to jump on a line. For one, I like to watch the lines, but I also like to wait and see the injury report and the injury news. If Seahawks can get Avril and Clemons back on the edge, I think they should cover this. If not, hard to see the Hawks defense having much success against Kaep.

    I'll probably have to bet this game regardless because I'm going to be at it. You can't go to a sporting event without laying some kind of money on it. That just doesn't make sense.....
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 09-10-13 11:07 PM #13
    PlatinumBerg
    PlatinumBerg's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-01-10
    Posts: 1,058
    Betpoints: 613

    Jumped on the SEA -3 +105. The Seahawks are beastly in Seattle.

    I also did like the following four teams in a tease:

    BAL -0.5
    GB -1.5
    PHI - 1.5
    ATL - 0.5
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 09-11-13 02:19 AM #14
    bigsmitty
    bigsmitty's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-12-10
    Posts: 3,026
    Betpoints: 370

    Quote Originally Posted by NavsPicks View Post
    Sea -3 vs SF is a bad pick.. IMHO the value here is at SF ML. 49ers are out to prove something this year (coming from a Seahawks fan)
    Think I agree but SEA at home is something I haven't quite figured. Also trying to decide if SEA's game was an aberration. Cheers
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 09-15-13 11:32 PM #15
    PlatinumBerg
    PlatinumBerg's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-01-10
    Posts: 1,058
    Betpoints: 613

    SEA comes through again! =D
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
Top
« Previous Thread | NFL Betting | Next Thread »