[SmackdownV]

When a team at home is FAVES by -3 BANG THE VISITING TEAM.

Tonights Play:

Colts +3 10 Units

[SmackdownV]

I'm telling you right now:

There is equal action on both sides of this game.

-3 Is 95% a TRAP LINE.

BANG THE COLTS AND THANK ME LATER.

[CashIn]

ill take ya word buddy. what do u feel about: game u49, 1q u24, colts u23, arizona u25.5

[SmackdownV]

I'm still on the fence on the over.

Indy's performance vs. Miami was not normal..........they run clock and take time down the field. Manning RUNS THE CLOCK DOWN TO 5 or BELOW every snap while calling audibles.

I'm only BANGING the COLTS +3 and will make a play at halftime depending on the game.

I see INDY WINNING THIS ONE 34-20.

But I'll wait till halftime to make another play on this one.

Right now it's 10 units on the Colts +3

[smack3179]

even with as banged up as the colts are?

[Hells Kitchen]

Colonel sanders being oot really decimates indies already weak D.

Zona will put up 30!

Can indy put up 27? That is thee qvestion

[Dexter]

When a team at home is FAVES by -3 BANG THE VISITING TEAM.

Tonights Play:

Colts +3 10 Units

what is the line opens at 3, and closes at 3.5.

or what if the line opens at 4.5, and closes at 3.

or what if 5 books have 3, and 4 have 3.5?

[Dexter]

along these lines, i like to take a deep look at the dog when getting 5.

such an odd number.

[alzor]

On the Colts as well, good luck Smackdown!

[RobbReport]

remember, they made it to the superbowl last year, it will get brung up all night. home team looks good here to me.

[TWG1992]

Not buying the whole trap talks. We'll know more going into the 2nd half.

[BTTNext]

SMACK hit us up with a 2h play!

[Mybologne]

ov24 2h

GL......................

[KingKing]

[chrisharvard01]

nice work buddy

[SmackdownV]

Had a GREAT day.

Sorry fellas on that 2nd half pick.

That line was 100% fixed.

You would have to be a fool not to know that Vegas had a hand in that going under.

Ouch..................

But again..........any time you see a line with the home team faves by -3.............that should be an AUTO BET for the visitor.............In college or the pros.

GOOD Day no doubt..........

I'll post for MNF! (I might only play the OVER in the cowboys game)...................

8.5 is a TRAP LINE as well......

[Mybologne]

very nice smack............

[RobbReport]

remember, they made it to the superbowl last year, it will get brung up all night. home team looks good here to me.

glad i realized how wrong i was quick and hedged!

[KingKing]

keep it up! thanks for the insights!! bol...

[Vincepcion]

nice pick

[MarkHammond]

didnt work for the titans

jets were -3 at home and won

[darkenergy]

Had a GREAT day.

Sorry fellas on that 2nd half pick.

That line was 100% fixed.

You would have to be a fool not to know that Vegas had a hand in that going under.

Ouch..................

But again..........any time you see a line with the home team faves by -3.............that should be an AUTO BET for the visitor.............In college or the pros.

GOOD Day no doubt..........

I'll post for MNF! (I might only play the OVER in the cowboys game)...................

8.5 is a TRAP LINE as well......

Do you have track record for these bets smackdown? Friend of my told me exactly the same thing in week one of college...and on that day, Standford and Air Force fit into the criteria, but they both losses. Hummm....interesting you brought this up again.

[SmackdownV]

Dark......

Usually for a National TV game where the home team is faves by -3........the "Squares" think to themselves........"They are only favored by 3.......at home.............Hell Yeah! I'll take that bet". Rubbing the hands together.........thinking it's EASY cash..........

Then BAM....Wham.....Boom.........Vegas comes in and takes that candy bar from them.

Not on EVERY game..........Just high profile ones where it's on TV.

The same formula holds true for NCAA BB as well.

[rezkoness69]

vegas has been getting their asses kicked this season though.

[L2Gunz]

smack...any thoughts on tonights game????

keep up the excellent work

[SmackdownV]

L2........

I am going to post that play in a little bit. The only thing I am struggling with right now is that Romo has no reason to choke tonight and Carolina NEEDS this one BAD..........but so do the Cowgirls.

The Cowgirls should be flat tonight and Carolina MUST have this one. Add in that there is equal action on both sides again, which tells me the Dog is the bet here.

I'm seeing a 31-24 or 31-28 win here for the Girls..........but must do more work on this bet........

Monday is the day people get KILLED (Chasing Sat-Sun) so I am extra capping this one so that does not happen to us.

[ASH0479]

Dark......

Usually for a National TV game where the home team is faves by -3........the "Squares" think to themselves........"They are only favored by 3.......at home.............Hell Yeah! I'll take that bet". Rubbing the hands together.........thinking it's EASY cash..........

Then BAM....Wham.....Boom.........Vegas comes in and takes that candy bar from them.

Not on EVERY game..........Just high profile ones where it's on TV.

The same formula holds true for NCAA BB as well.

Play the same strategy....but I wait right til gametime and if it stays at 3, I am all over the road team

[ASH0479]

Colonel sanders being oot really decimates indies already weak D.

Zona will put up 30!

Can indy put up 27? That is thee qvestion

Indy is built to face teams like the Cards, pass happy team where the quick d line can rush the passer.....not so good against the run though...but Zona being a one dimensional team feeds right into what the Colts want to do

[CashIn]

L2........

I am going to post that play in a little bit. The only thing I am struggling with right now is that Romo has no reason to choke tonight and Carolina NEEDS this one BAD..........but so do the Cowgirls.

The Cowgirls should be flat tonight and Carolina MUST have this one. Add in that there is equal action on both sides again, which tells me the Dog is the bet here.

I'm seeing a 31-24 or 31-28 win here for the Girls..........but must do more work on this bet........

Monday is the day people get KILLED (Chasing Sat-Sun) so I am extra capping this one so that does not happen to us.

Homo has ALL the reason to choke. hes gotta win this one or face 0-2 at the new stadium. hes like heating up glass. CRACKS UNDER PRESSURE.

[CashIn]

oh and did i mention its MNF

[SmackdownV]

Both teams need this one so badly.............Just waiting for positive line movement before I make my play.

[darkenergy]

Dark...... Usually for a National TV game where the home team is faves by -3........the "Squares" think to themselves........"They are only favored by 3.......at home.............Hell Yeah! I'll take that bet". Rubbing the hands together.........thinking it's EASY cash.......... Then BAM....Wham.....Boom.........Vegas comes in and takes that candy bar from them. Not on EVERY game..........Just high profile ones where it's on TV. The same formula holds true for NCAA BB as well.

Play the same strategy....but I wait right til gametime and if it stays at 3, I am all over the road team

Thanks smack to clarify about ONLY prime time games. Because current line has Packer +3.
Do you agreed with ASH0479 about waiting for about the game time to be sure the line stay the same?
Thanks