[Ulver86]

Last week 2-2 (reference http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nfl-handic...-week-2-a.html)

Tenn +3

NY Jets strength is the run game. What is the defensive strength of the Titans? Run defense. Thomas Jones and Leon Washington will have little room to work which leaves Mark Sanchez having to beat them downfield like Matt Schaub did last week. Unfortunately, Mark Sanchez is not the next big thing. At least not yet. Lost in all the praise of Mr. Sanchez is the fact that he has essentially been "managing" games by making the smart short plays and handing the ball off to his great RB's. When Sanchez has to go out and BEAT a good defense, watch out. It could get ugly quick. The Titans are hungry for a win, and still a premier team despite 2 very close losses.

Houston -3.5

Jacksonville is bad. It's hard to believe they were able to find WR"s worse than Matt Jones and Reggie Williams but they have. Teams will just load the box on MJD if they are smart. My only caution here is Houston is not a good team on run defense, but I'm hoping their coaching staff will be viewing tape of the last few games. Not to mention Houston has dominated this rivalry over the years, especially at home.

NY Giants -6.5

Laying 6.5 on the road is tough, but when its with the Giants, you can always feel a little better about yourself. The Giants dominate on the road, having one of the best stretches of road victories that I can ever remember dating back to their Super Bowl season. They get to play the Bucs, who have quickly shown they plan to compete for the #1 overall pick.

Minnesota -6.5

I'm not buying into the hype on the 49ers. They're the best team in the worst division in football. That doesn't mean a whole lot to me. When Jared Allen is coming in to take Shaun Hill's head off, we'll see a much different SF team. I'm laying the points here.

Chicago -2

The Seahawks probably have the best homefield advantage in football. However, the injury to Matt Hasselback is a huge problem for them, as Seneca Wallace is well, Seneca Wallace. I have a hard time seeing their offense getting any more than 14 points, so im going with Chicago here.

Buffalo +6

Lost in all the praise for the Saints, who are getting it deservedly so, is that the Bills might not be half bad. They should be 2-0 if not for a terrible botched run back against the Pats. Buffalo also enjoys a loyal and passionate fan base who give them a great homefield advantage. I've got to take the points here with the home team.


BOL to all this week.

[Likes_to_win]

Against you on the Jets. Sanchez has already beaten the Texans and the Patriots with his arm and with a lack of a running game. If you watched both Jet games, Sanchez is not "managing" the game at all. He is the reason for the offense's moderate success (it helps that his oline is good). In fact, the Titans game might be the first time this year where the Jets running game gets on track. The only reason to be playing the Titans is for the letdown factor after a huge win against the Pats. I will probably be playing Jets -3 this week, haven't really looked into any of the games yet though.

[Ulver86]

I did watch the games. I saw the Jets converting a lot of 3rd and longs on screen passes and dump-offs to the Rb's in the first game. The Jets were EXTREMELY lucky to convert as many 3rd and longs as they did in the first half of that game. Also, his TD pass was a result of a missed assignment by the safety, not because he threw a great pass.

The Jets ran all over the field in that first game, Thomas Jones had 2 td's and 100+ yds, washington has 60+.... not sure which game you were watching.

and in the 2nd game sanchez threw like 5 passes the entire first half, and threw for only 160 something yards

so no, he is not the reason for the success, its the o-line and the backs,

[Limey]

I like your picks, but in passing I have to ask what everyone's down on Seneca Wallace is...?

Wallace career passer rating: 83 with a 23-13 TD/INT ratio
Cutler career passer rating: 86.2 with a 57-41 TD/INT ratio

I'm not some big Wallace fan, but if this game was simply QB versus QB then there wouldn't be as much in it as the reputations suggest.

[Likes_to_win]

I did watch the games. I saw the Jets converting a lot of 3rd and longs on screen passes and dump-offs to the Rb's in the first game. The Jets were EXTREMELY lucky to convert as many 3rd and longs as they did in the first half of that game. Also, his TD pass was a result of a missed assignment by the safety, not because he threw a great pass.

The Jets ran all over the field in that first game, Thomas Jones had 2 td's and 100+ yds, washington has 60+.... not sure which game you were watching.

and in the 2nd game sanchez threw like 5 passes the entire first half, and threw for only 160 something yards

so no, he is not the reason for the success, its the o-line and the backs,

Are you kidding? Sanchez has made many deep to semi-deep throws. In fact, there were few to no screens in the Patriots game, and only a handful of short passes in the Texans game.

The Jets running game picked up in the 4th qtr when the Texans gave up. Jones had 2-3 huge runs in the 4th qtr. The Texans were stacking the box, and the Jets could not run against the Texans until the end. You can't just look at the numbers.

Sanchez is playing similar to slighty ahead of how Ryan was playing at this point last year. You're gonna be in for a surprise on Sunday. If the Jets lose, it will be because they turn the ball over making stupid mistakes. Also consider that the Titans couldn't run against the Jets last year, or against Baltimore in the playoffs. I like the Jets' chances.

[textbook winner]

those are some of the hardest picks that no one really wants to speak about

i give the bills a win over no easy

[aeshred]

Those are very solid picks!!
I love Tennessee and Houston!! Good Plays


Id recommend the pack (-6.5) to bounce back strong against a weak ass St. L. Ram team