[imgv94]

SBR & Friends

YTD:80-60 +23.89 Units 57%
(PRESEASON 13-3 +14.44 Units)



Before I start would like to give shoutouts to the whole gang Primo Skills,Peyton2Marvin,Checkboard,Bigboyda n,Onlooker,nevadaside,Texansfan,Happy Boy,slacker00,dave11486 Flying and the whole gang..

Also I want all the lurkers to post in here for good luck.. I need you fellas or ladies as I'm sure a few females check this place out..

It's been a pretty good season. Rumor is only the sharps are winning in the NFL this season so that makes me feel good about things. I remember someone telling me before the season started, if I was able to hit 57% this season people will love me. To me I don't know what is so special about 57% but I guess it's better than average..

Last week teasers killed us. Imagine if those teasers won? Went 7-0 on the sides though and even though losing a 5 unit wager ended up 2.3 units ahead for the week. 5 unit wagers for me are extremely uncommon so losing that one would usually kill my week but we were able to overcome it.

Only one teaser this week and I believe it's a good one and should definitely win. Will be wagering only one unit on it though. This looks like a good week to wager and probably the last good week of the season. I'm really going to miss the NFL this has always been a huge moneymaker for me.

I've been wagering on the NFL ever since I was a kid making bets with my dads local.. And always have felt the most comfortable with this sport.

Again I would like to thank everyone who displays their support on here and may all of you have a very Merry Christmas..

Now let's do this!!!

2* ATLANTA FALCONS -6 -110
ATL is fighting for their playoff lives. Carolina has already given up on the season, obviously. Seems that teams have sharpened up and figured out that double teaming Steve Smith is the way to go..

Carolina has no running game anymore look the rushing stats the last 2 games and see they haven't rushed for more than 46yds.

Now I believe it's safe to say that ATL should definitely win this game and the statistics prove that the spread only counts 14% of the time. Doubt this will be in that 14% category.

I have no doubt ATL wins this game and the spread will very likely not even counter into this.


Panthers Last 2 Games Facts:
Panthers have been outscored 64-16
Panthers have Avg'd 44.5 rushing yds a game
Have scored 6 pts in last 6 QTRs
Both games were played @ Home.

Now they are expected to go on the road and play a desperate team who is fighting for their lives? I don't think so..

Vick record vs Panthers 6-2
Vick record at home 21-10

1.5*GREEN BAY PACKERS -3 -114
As you know this could be Favre's last home game should be lots of emotion inside of Lambeau Field considering this guy has taken almost every snap for this team for over 15 seasons.

Should expect a big game for Favre as many QBs this season have had great success versus this Minnesota secondary

QB's have a 60% comp and have thrown for over 235 yards a game versus Minnesota this season..

Last time Favre played the Vikings 6 wks ago (@ Minn as well) Favre threw for over 347yds.. Should expect a similar performance in this one considering the emotion involved.. Green Bay also won that game on the road as well..

Let's also keep in mind that the Vikings will be throwing a rookie QB into the lions for this. Tough job for the kid going against the emotion of this might being Brett Favres last game and the sure hostile enviorment this should be.

I'll take the Packers here..


1.5*PITTSBURGH STEELERS -3 -120
Steelers will want revenge for the beating they took only 4 weeks ago. That game obviously woke them up cause since then they have won 3 straight to the effect of outscoring their foes 84-13 WOW!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Steelers defense has came alive and the Ravens offense has struggled on the road anyway. Steelers are a solid team one that when right can defeat any team in football. Willie Parker is running all over the place and is one of the best running backs in all of football BIG BEN is limiting his mistakes as well. Crowd should really be into this one..

Ravens shouldn't be able to match the Steelers emotion in here considering they've already made the playoffs.


1*CLEVELAND BROWNS -3 -110
Tampa Bay is still garbage and IMO maybe the worst team in all of football. Talked to a few Bears fan who none of them were impressed with TB in last weeks game. Bucs bettors/fans hope is Tim Rattay who looked good vs the Bears 2nd string defense but now the cats out of the bag and the Browns will be able to prepare for him.

Another thing to consider is the fact the AFC is sooo much better than the NFC that right there alone could even merit a wager on the Browns.

Personally I believe the Browns are not a bad team, they don't have chemistry but they have good players at a lot of positions. Winslow might be the best TE in football.

Browns are a good home team and players have contracts on their mind so I believe emotions should be even on both sides.

Let's take the better team from the better conference and only give 3 points.


1*SEATTLE SEAHAWKS +4.5 -104
Seahawks have had 10 days to prepare for this game and I have to believe they will be as prepared as ever to face the Chargers in this one.

Let's not forget that Qwest Field is still a very intimidating place for a team to play and if Seattle gets any kind of momentum in here the crowd might actually help them get the win here. I know the 49ers were able to defeat the Hawks but I'm starting to think that matchup just didn't favor the Hawks..

Hawks should be a lot more prepared for this one considering the playoffs are not in the bag quite yet. Seattle still has a lot of offensive weapons that can keep them in this game.. If they can limit their turnovers they should be right there.. Hassellback we need you boy..

Also believe Seattle just might even win this game, when is the last time they lost 2 in a row @ Home? Trust me it's been awhile.

This game has close game written all over it. I'll take the loud crowd,more desperate, focused,and better prepared team and the 4.5 points please..

Also recommend a Seattle 1st half wager. Hawks should come out firing..


1*PHILADELPHIA EAGLES +7.5 -120
This really has the look of a close game. I'll take my chances that Eagles do not lose by two possessions. Garcia is actually looking like a decent QB and Reid is doing a superb job keeping this team together despite losing McNabb. I don't see the Cowboys ever leading by 14 in here which will leave the backdoor open the whole game.

I also believe home field advantage is always overrated when it comes to the Cowboys and especially in this game considering the Eagles have played many a game in this stadium..

Eagles should have success offensively in here considering a lot of teams have had success versus the Cowboys recently. 7.5 is just too many points between two division rivals who have a long history of playing each other.


1*TEASER +100
KC -.5
ATL PK

KC is playing the Raiders a team who hasn't scored more than 14 points in 2 months. Nuff said.

ATL (see above)



O.K everyone there you have it. Looks like a solid week of football ahead for us and hopefully a profitable one as well.

Please if you have any thoughts or opinions on any of the plays mentioned above or any other game please feel free to include them.

Thank you for visiting my thread.. Let's make lots of money!!!

FEEDBACK is always appreciated!!

Good Vibes are always appreciated as well..

[bigboydan]

Man bro, I just can't agree with you on the Browns in that game. That team is just brutally bad IMO. However, I sure hope you prove me wrong on that game because I will be passing on it.

Keep it rolling bud

[slacker00]

imgv94, I'm with ya on the Browns game. Tampa is bottom of the barrel in a weak NFC and Ratty at QB. But Philly & Seattle bug me a little. I don't think Garcia is that great, and the Dallas D will chew him him up & spit him out. I'm sold on the Chargers as being on a championship run as well as Seattle's mediocrity. Give me Cleveland, San Diego, but Dallas-Philly is a no-play for me.

[Checkerboard]

Prick took BALT best bet! Now I really love PITT! LOL

[nevadaside]

GL im, hope you nail that damn teas just for retribution sake.....shouldn't be a problem like you said.

With you on ATL for sure, I have them @-6.5, as this game falls into my theme of the week for "playing against terrible teams at seasons end"
Also liking PHI @+7 (breakin away from theme for this one), feel a close game here & PHI players are fired up!

I might run GB too but already @-3.5, GL @-3 though.

I don't trust that PITT game at all even though many respectfulls here are all over it.
My gut won't let me go against SD right now no matter where they are.
I also don't trust the CLE game & will stay clear.

Were all good on two, the rest we're in different parts of the U.S. Thanks again for getting discussions going early & all you're Professional write ups. Happy Holidays dude.

LETS KILL IT FOR CHRISTMAS! TALKIN BOUT ANOTHER SPORTSBOOK

[MickChunky]

I'm with you on ATL, GB, Pitt and Philly
Nice writeups

[Peyton2MarvinN06]

Hey bro, love the write ups as always... I am loving the Steelers this week against the Ravens... Falcons should take care of business against a lousy Panthers team that has packed it in for the season... I'm definitely on Green Bay tonight as I think Favre will light it up is possibly his last game as you said... I think the Eagles are a great pick and possibly might even come out with the upset in that game...

I respectfully disagree with the Chargers/Seahawks game bro... I can't play a Seahawks team that has been beaten in the their last two games by the Niners and the Cardinals... The Chargers still have homefield throughout the playoffs to play for and I think they win this one by atleast 5, probably more like 10... You are the man though and I'm sure the Seahawks will end up covering!!!

Good Luck this week gentlemen!
Merry Christmas to everyone here @ SBR!
Let's make some money this weekend!

[SexyMit]

Im on you with ATL,GB,and PHILI but clevland I am not to sure about and with the seattle pick Chargers are still playing for home field advantage if I was to play the SD game I would have to take them but the first 3 I am all over.

[caseyking2]

Love the write ups and picks with ya all the way. GO ATL

[primo_skillz]

As usual, great reading your thorough write-ups. I wish you the best of luck for this week and the rest of the season. I am down with that Falcons play, and I love the confidence you have with this team. The Panthers rushing game is in shambles at the moment, and there is no excuse for rushing for less than 50 yards per game.

As for the other games, I don't think I will be playing Cleveland. I had Minnesota +3.5 yesterday. That was a good win. I am looking into the DAL-PHI matchup as it seems their is some value there. Philadelphia is playing very well as of late and is finding ways to win games. I am sure Manning would like to take back that Defensive Touchdown Int that he threw late in the game. I don't think I will bet against San Diego for the rest of the season. You never know when they will show up to play; but it is usually more often than not. Home field advantage is at risk and I think they play full-out for it. I really like the teaser as well. Most likely, I will throw down a unit or two on that play. This week you will break that streak of teaser losses. These are just my two cents.

Again, best of luck this weekend as usual. Let's kill the books.

[onlooker]

Wasnt around to disagree with you on that Packers play. I ended up taking the Vikings +4. I will be back to see if Im on or against anything esle you have. I do know Im leaning toward the Dolphins on Monday.

[Hoja Verdes]

I agree with you in principle on the Falcons play (ie fade Panthers), but I'd like it a lot more if Vick didn't have a tweaked hamstring. I hope it's not a factor.

[TexansFan]

Hey IMGV,

Didn't get to read ur plays until today. I played GB -3 and also under 37 yesterday. That's the kind of game that you just shake your head at. If you didn't see the game and just saw the final score of 9-7 one might think this was a good game.

Then you read the stats, although I know not all accurate just from memory.
Minny-3 first downs, about 40 yards passing, about 25 rushing. WTF? How many times did GB get it close and not push it in? Damn, that game really pissed me off. Oh well, I am kinda liking Oak in Saturdays game only because KC is really crappy on the road. They can't score any points when they play a good defense. Oak has I believe the #4 defense.

The only problem with Oak is that they can't score either. However, if I can get the 7 or 7 1/2 I might take it.

[babaoriley]

One of those two FG's converted in the first half, we have a different game, and quite possibly a GB cover, under cover.

[imgv94]

1*teaser +100
KC-.5 (WON)
Atl Pk


Got through the first leg of the teaser!!! Let's hope for a killer week!!

[bside]

I'm on every one of those except SD, can't bet against this team and the Seahawks are just a bad squad. GL to all

[imgv94]

Thanks man let's kill them this week...

[HAPPY BOY]

liking your Falcons play geo played them 5 units***** havn't had a run like this in years its pretty fvcking scary went 2-1 today up 5.5 units today and over 30 units since my free fall ended 3 weeks ago. Glad to see your doing so good too bro keep it up. Football season has a few more weeks left then Im off till late August. P.S. happy holidays to you and yours that goes to all my SBR brothers GL

[imgv94]

Will miss you man.. You are one of my favs

[onlooker]

Im just on two totals for Sunday. The OVER in the Bears/Lions and Chargers/Seahawks games. Thats it for me on Sunday in the NFL.

Good luck everyone.

[imgv94]

Panthers are 1-7-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Atlanta.

[zoneblitz]

I like the Atlanta pick, have that game myself.

The Cowboy-Philly game could get out of hand if Dallas gets a lead and then Philly gives up. Dallas is fighting HARD for the first round bye and wants revenge for the earlier loss to the Eagles.

Also, Philly has not seen Romo in person as Bledsoe started the previous game this year. I am passing on this one, too uncertain. But, good luck.

[imgv94]

[primo_skillz]

Best of luck for the 4o'clock games. Again that teaser got you.

[imgv94]

So far: 1-5 -6.70 Units

Seattle was the only good piece of capping today.. Sorry for the horrible showing today..

[GUNZ-05]

imgv...i was just wondering..is that what i think that is in flames...go saints??

[nevadaside]

imgv,
Just another crazy NFL day, the NFL givith.....and the NFL taketh away. I'm sticking with Bowl Games for the remainder of the season, as you can see I got MY ASS HANDED TO ME TODAY. Time for some
Hopefully you're still up, keep doin what you do man, it's been one hell of a year & if you're up like you said you're doin better than most.

Thanks for all the time you put into your write ups , man they get it all pumped up in here , I think everyone looks forward to them, I know I do. Great forum.....great cappers here......no bashing.....people helping people, the world needs more of what's here in this forum.

HAPPY HOLIDAYS

[imgv94]

Thanks man... Weeks like this are bound to happen..

What goes up must come down ya know..

[Peyton2MarvinN06]

IMGV, hey bro it was a rough one today... I know I took one hell of a bashing too, but I'm hopeful I can make up for it tomorrow with the New York Football Jets and/or the Eagles...
As Nevada said you are one hell of a capper buddy... You have had one hell of a year and you've got to be pretty proud of that... You have won THIS GUY a lot of cash this season and I'm really thankful for your insight bro! It has sure made this Christmas a good one! Crazy games like today are bound to happen... I did not have a nickel on the fvcking COLTS game today, but I could have cared less about all the money I lost if those bastards would have just won... I live and die each Sunday with my COLTS and it looks like my dreams are gonna come crashing down again this year... I just don't understand how a professional team can have a defense as pitiful as the Indianapolis Colts do... You can bank on a few people(Ron Meeks and several others on that side of the ball) are gonna be out of jobs a few days after this season is over!
Well bud, hope that you had yourself a few/LOT of cold ones today and took er easy! Everyone have a Merry Christmas tomorrow!

[imgv94]

Thanks for the kind words Peyton..

Yeah the COLTS are looking like pure shiit..

What goes up must come down..

[imgv94]

BTW someone brought this to my attention today that in week 14 I went 2-4 and I accidently counted myself going 2-6..

So I will get to take 2 losses of my YTD.. Not like thats gonna make me anymore $$ or anything.. But still cool..

[Hoja Verdes]

Merry Christmas everyone.

imgv, i've been following your threads all year, tough break this week. I'd seriously consider cutting way back at this point, as it is my personal opinion that you'll retreat further toward the mean between now and the Super Bowl.

[primo_skillz]

Anyone who can make money in the next couple of weeks is either very lucky or an extremely good handicapper. IMG don't sweat this weekend. You have been doing well all season, so you shouldn't let this get you down. Happy Holidays to all and best of luck today.

[mandy]

IMGV94, THANKS for posting your picks!

[imgv94]

Thank you to everyone that was supportive and nice throughout this rough week.. EAGLES straight destroyed the Boys...



WEEK 16- 2-5 -5.70 Units

YTD: 82-63 +18.19 Units 56%