I lean Jax -4
Eli Manning is not a good road QB. He is in last place in INT's in the league and every week just seems to struggle with his decision making. Throwing some jump balls to Plax or just the way he doesn't get teammates involved. This might have a bit to do with their O-Coordinator, but it happens like clockwork. Even with Garrard in, he has played well. More mobile than Byron and plenty capable of running this offense. Giants will need to get 120 yards out of Tiki tonight who is nursing a banged up right thumb. He said on his radio show "The Barber Shop" that if it continues to bother him he might have to carry the ball in his left hand. This might seem like a minor detail, but its the little things that can lead to turnovers. The Jags receivers are big enough to give a poor NYG secondary fits all game long. In this last stretch where the Giants won 4 in a row, their secondary was not really tested. And when they were, it was disastrous. Do you remember the Seattle game? All in all you look at this line and see a team in the top of the NFC getting over a FG and with a potential MVP at RB and a Super Bowl hyped team keeping it close should be no problem and you might even expect an outright win. I disagree. Jax has a very good defene especially at home and Tiki will need to have another solid 120+ game in order for the Giants to win this game. A 10 pt Jax win, would not suprise me.
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