1. 11-29-12 05:17 PM #1
    EaglesPhan36
    EaglesPhan36's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-06
    Posts: 71,662
    Betpoints: 0

    Longest Pass Completion OVER 39.5 [-135]
    Saints have given up big pass plays ALL season. Last week. the Niners burned them for two plays over 40 yards. The week before, Oakland hooked up for a 56 yard pass play. When these two met three games ago, ATL tallied a 49 yard pass play to Roddy White and a 52 yarder to Julio Jones. Even Philly's anemic offense mustered a 77 yarder to Desean Jackson. You have to go back eight games to find a team that has not hit for at least one 40 yard completion against the Saints D and surprisingly, that was Green Bay. So only twice this season in eleven games have the Saints not given up a pass play that would beat this number tonight. ATL meanwhile has been hitting home runs with their pass offense with regularity. Last week, Jones scored on an 80 yarder from Ryan. Jones has been a big part of the long ball with catches of 48 yards or more in four of the last five. White has big play ability as well, but is the secondary threat for big plays with just two this season that would meet tonight's criteria. A darkhorse to help cash this prop is 'Quizz Rodgers. His activity in the screen game could yield a big play. He has a couple 30+ yard catches in the last four games and is just a missed tackle or bad angle from taking one to the house. This is my prop tonight and I am a mother f-ing Propaholic.




    Last edited by EaglesPhan36; 11-29-12 at 05:23 PM.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 11-29-12 05:29 PM #2
    Chi_archie
    GASPING FOR AIR
    Chi_archie's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-22-08
    Posts: 63,130
    Betpoints: 2368

    I like it
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 11-29-12 06:02 PM #3
    MobFade
    MobFade's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-13-12
    Posts: 677
    Betpoints: 987

    Sounds good.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 11-29-12 06:03 PM #4
    tto827
    tto827's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-01-12
    Posts: 9,078
    Betpoints: 76

    Definitely a good play.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 11-29-12 06:09 PM #5
    CDMKMP
    CDMKMP's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-18-12
    Posts: 774
    Betpoints: 651

    Screw it, I'll tail on this for a smallish wager.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 11-29-12 06:17 PM #6
    khaden
    khaden's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-19-09
    Posts: 1,864
    Betpoints: 1124

    fck you talked me into this might make this my only play tonight. If atl wins big this should hit and if they are trailing and trying to come back this should hit.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 11-29-12 06:20 PM #7
    coop
    coop's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-11-11
    Posts: 616
    Betpoints: 127

    Can we get some Falcons/Saints homers in this thread posting props???

    I feel like with as many props as there are for these primetime games, surely someone who follows the team closely has at least a semblance of an edge.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 11-29-12 06:30 PM #8
    EaglesPhan36
    EaglesPhan36's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-06
    Posts: 71,662
    Betpoints: 0

    I think Julio Jones Over 86.5 yards is another good play tonight. Jones was gimpy last time they played and still made an impact with 75 yards on just four catches. I think he tops 100 if this game is competitive and allows both teams to do what they want to do passing wise.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 11-29-12 06:31 PM #9
    vitalogist
    GET LOOSE!
    vitalogist's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-11-08
    Posts: 2,820
    Betpoints: 474

    Thinking hard about this one. Looks good.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 11-29-12 06:33 PM #10
    coop
    coop's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-11-11
    Posts: 616
    Betpoints: 127

    Quote Originally Posted by EaglesPhan36 View Post
    I think Julio Jones Over 86.5 yards is another good play tonight. Jones was gimpy last time they played and still made an impact with 75 yards on just four catches. I think he tops 100 if this game is competitive and allows both teams to do what they want to do passing wise.
    Aren't the Saints atrocious at pass defense also?

    I like both of these. Do you know what a typical Longest Pass Complete prop is set at in terms of yards? I don't remember seeing too many
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 11-29-12 06:34 PM #11
    2daBank
    2daBank's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-26-09
    Posts: 88,966
    Betpoints: 90

    Quote Originally Posted by EaglesPhan36 View Post
    I think Julio Jones Over 86.5 yards is another good play tonight. Jones was gimpy last time they played and still made an impact with 75 yards on just four catches. I think he tops 100 if this game is competitive and allows both teams to do what they want to do passing wise.
    He on my fantasy team. Dude never does shit at home..
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 11-29-12 06:36 PM #12
    EaglesPhan36
    EaglesPhan36's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-06
    Posts: 71,662
    Betpoints: 0

    No, I haven't played that prop too much. I see Brees set @ 41.5 though. So I am guessing unless there is a tremendous trend for a team scoring on big pass plays that somewhere around 40 looks normalish.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 11-29-12 06:38 PM #13
    jinxpro13
    jinxpro13's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-31-12
    Posts: 1,434
    Betpoints: 4

    love this play phan..

    also like
    roddy white under 6.5 completions
    chris ivory under 44.5 yards
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 11-29-12 06:40 PM #14
    vitalogist
    GET LOOSE!
    vitalogist's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-11-08
    Posts: 2,820
    Betpoints: 474

    5 dimes juiced this thing all the way to -205. Well done, guys.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 11-29-12 06:41 PM #15
    khaden
    khaden's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-19-09
    Posts: 1,864
    Betpoints: 1124

    also added Jizz Rodgers rushing and receiving yards over 64.5 yards
    Points Awarded:

    EaglesPhan36 gave khaden 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 11-29-12 06:41 PM #16
    BlurredOut
    BlurredOut's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-21-12
    Posts: 430
    Betpoints: 460

    good prop, but i see it at -205
    not worth it at that price imo
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 11-29-12 06:42 PM #17
    coop
    coop's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-11-11
    Posts: 616
    Betpoints: 127

    Yo this shit is at -205 now. The longest pass completion prop
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 11-29-12 06:43 PM #18
    BlurredOut
    BlurredOut's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-21-12
    Posts: 430
    Betpoints: 460

    i've never seen a prop jump like that in an hour. guess a lot of people are reading
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 11-29-12 06:44 PM #19
    EaglesPhan36
    EaglesPhan36's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-06
    Posts: 71,662
    Betpoints: 0

    #1 reason I hate 5Dimes. Their prop lines are way too reactionary.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 11-29-12 06:46 PM #20
    jules11
    WHY ALWAYS ME
    jules11's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-24-12
    Posts: 717
    Betpoints: 3075

    Eessh my over is at "Over 53½ yards -115" I think i'll pass.
    GL NINJHA
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 11-29-12 06:48 PM #21
    coop
    coop's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-11-11
    Posts: 616
    Betpoints: 127

    Quote Originally Posted by jules11 View Post
    Eessh my over is at "Over 53½ yards -115" I think i'll pass.
    GL NINJHA
    this could be why there was such significant movement, someone probably bet the under wherever that is and crushed the 5Dimes over 39.5
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 11-29-12 07:09 PM #22
    BiffTFinancial
    BiffTFinancial's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-29-09
    Posts: 22,670
    Betpoints: 5368

    got it 40' -125, tailing 1u.

    5D juicing over 39' to -195, gotta like that.

    BOL EP.
    Last edited by BiffTFinancial; 11-29-12 at 07:17 PM.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 11-29-12 08:23 PM #23
    CDMKMP
    CDMKMP's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-18-12
    Posts: 774
    Betpoints: 651

    C'mon Ryan, get this shit early so I don't end up netting something stupid like 10 bucks tonight.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  24. 11-29-12 08:24 PM #24
    CDMKMP
    CDMKMP's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-18-12
    Posts: 774
    Betpoints: 651

    Quote Originally Posted by BiffTFinancial View Post
    got it 40' -125, tailing 1u.

    5D juicing over 39' to -195, gotta like that.

    BOL EP.
    lol the ' symbol means feet bro, not yards.

    Longest pass over 39 feet would be like -10000
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  25. 11-29-12 09:43 PM #25
    EaglesPhan36
    EaglesPhan36's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-06
    Posts: 71,662
    Betpoints: 0

    Can't believe how terrible the Falcons have been with the passing game against this D ...one time Juuuulio.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  26. 11-30-12 07:29 AM #26
    BiffTFinancial
    BiffTFinancial's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-29-09
    Posts: 22,670
    Betpoints: 5368

    Quote Originally Posted by EaglesPhan36 View Post
    #1 reason I hate 5Dimes. Their prop lines are way too reactionary.
    it's not just prop lines, EP. Tony at 5D is a flat-out spaz when it comes to any line where he can't just trail the Pinny line (which is plenty since 5D makes it a point to offer as many options and as much action as they can).
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  27. 11-30-12 07:29 AM #27
    BiffTFinancial
    BiffTFinancial's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-29-09
    Posts: 22,670
    Betpoints: 5368

    Quote Originally Posted by CDMKMP View Post
    lol the ' symbol means feet bro, not yards.

    Longest pass over 39 feet would be like -10000
    apostrophe = the hook (e.g., 1/2, .5).
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  28. 11-30-12 11:28 AM #28
    Pick'nParlays
    My Wifi Name is PrettyFly4aWifi
    Pick'nParlays's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-22-08
    Posts: 3,134
    Betpoints: 738

    Sorry EP still was a solid play
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
Top
« Previous Thread | Players Talk | Next Thread »