1. #1
    Jeff Grant
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    NFL Week 13 Picks: New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons


  2. #2
    dnguyen258
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    Falcons all the way there going to avenge that lost earlier in the season

  3. #3
    Jeff Grant
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    Quote Originally Posted by dnguyen258 View Post
    Falcons all the way there going to avenge that lost earlier in the season
    Good luck this week

  4. #4
    Jeff Grant
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    Quote from William Hill's Jimmy Vaccaro out of Las Vegas:

    New Orleans vs. Atlanta
    "The Saints just scored. Bet the game over. It's going to be a high-scoring game where nobody stops anybody. No field goals. We're talking 80 percent scoring coming in the form of touchdowns. I truly believe the loser of this game will score in the 30s."

  5. #5
    hockeynut
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    I don't think I cold bet over on 56 points. Maybe these teams play a little defence at crunch time of the schedule.

  6. #6
    Jeff Grant
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    New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons


    -Won 15 straight November games until Sunday’s loss to the 49ers (momentum killer - other teams lost ahead of them in WC race)
    -Lost three right tackles in the last four games (Zach Strief could be back, practiced some last week)
    -The Saints are 0-2 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 2010
    -The Saints are 1-2 ATS when playing on Thursday, 2010 and 2011 season openers, Cowboys on Thanksgiving Day


    -Falcons are 11-0 when facing a first time head coach under Mike Smith
    -Seven wins by seven or fewer points
    -Gone 30-1 when Matt Ryan’s QB rating is over the century mark
    -The Falcons are 2-0 ATS when playing on Thursday since 2010 (6-1 ATS since 1992)
    -Outscored Jacksonville and Baltimore by a 37-0 combined margin in the first half in those games
    -Very inviting schedule this year in terms of alternating back and forth


    -The Saints are 11-2 SU against the Falcons since 2006, Snapped their perfect record earlier this year
    -Mike Smith is 2-7 against the Saints (49-15 against the rest of the league)
    -Teams that win the rushing battle in midweek games are 14-0 SU and 11-3 ATS
    -Winning teams are 11-3 ATS in the first half in midweek games (195-45 advantage in those 11 wins)
    -Saints won the rushing battle (148-46 in first meeting), won the rushing battle in four of seven meetings since 2009 (Ryan’s second year)

  7. #7
    NLDB
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    Very nice and helpful stats and infor Jeff , thank you and have a great and a winning week .

  8. #8
    double
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jeff Grant View Post
    Falcons are 11-0 when facing a first time head coach under Mike Smith
    Uhhh, the Falcons lost to Joe Vitt coached Saints back in Week 10. Good stats otherwise though.

  9. #9
    NLDB
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    Hello dnguyen258 , first meeting between these two the hi/low were 53' and the game ended up with 58 . This time line came out with 55' and currently at 56 , there a reason why the point went up 2' from the first gm would you think . Just a thought . Good luck buddy and have a nice weekend....make the NGUYEN's pround .

  10. #10
    Jeff Grant
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    Quote Originally Posted by double View Post
    Uhhh, the Falcons lost to Joe Vitt coached Saints back in Week 10. Good stats otherwise though.
    Uhh....he's still in his first year

    I understand where you're coming from though

  11. #11
    MobFade
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    Good video. Halftime line is pretty much 3-100 across the board now.

    Jeff, if you could take 1st half -3-100 or -2.5-125 or Full Game -3-135, which is your play? I'm thinking -3-100 first half probably the safest play but wonder what you think.

  12. #12
    amarius87
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    i dont understand how he is 11-0 against first year? 11-1 ?? lost to saints few weeks ago.

  13. #13
    Melda
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jeff Grant View Post
    New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons


    -Won 15 straight November games until Sunday’s loss to the 49ers (momentum killer - other teams lost ahead of them in WC race)
    -Lost three right tackles in the last four games (Zach Strief could be back, practiced some last week)
    -The Saints are 0-2 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 2010
    -The Saints are 1-2 ATS when playing on Thursday, 2010 and 2011 season openers, Cowboys on Thanksgiving Day


    -Falcons are 11-0 when facing a first time head coach under Mike Smith
    -Seven wins by seven or fewer points
    -Gone 30-1 when Matt Ryan’s QB rating is over the century mark
    -The Falcons are 2-0 ATS when playing on Thursday since 2010 (6-1 ATS since 1992)
    -Outscored Jacksonville and Baltimore by a 37-0 combined margin in the first half in those games
    -Very inviting schedule this year in terms of alternating back and forth


    -The Saints are 11-2 SU against the Falcons since 2006, Snapped their perfect record earlier this year
    -Mike Smith is 2-7 against the Saints (49-15 against the rest of the league)
    -Teams that win the rushing battle in midweek games are 14-0 SU and 11-3 ATS
    -Winning teams are 11-3 ATS in the first half in midweek games (195-45 advantage in those 11 wins)
    -Saints won the rushing battle (148-46 in first meeting), won the rushing battle in four of seven meetings since 2009 (Ryan’s second year)
    .... Good stats...but I dont know how you can be advocating the Falcons so hard, with looking at some of the very stats you posted. The line is 3.5...they have 7 wins by 7 or fewer.. Don't you think the Saints are a formidable enough opponent to be one of those teams? Say they lose by 3? Not to mention Darren Sproles is back now......

  14. #14
    Jeff Grant
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    Quote Originally Posted by Melda View Post
    .... Good stats...but I dont know how you can be advocating the Falcons so hard, with looking at some of the very stats you posted. The line is 3.5...they have 7 wins by 7 or fewer.. Don't you think the Saints are a formidable enough opponent to be one of those teams? Say they lose by 3? Not to mention Darren Sproles is back now......
    Liking the Falcons in the first half

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