WHY Eagles LOSE

[Itsamazing777]

Hey Bill, after rereading this post I just realized that even to the very end you still for some reason think (no matter how many times this season I brought up this cherry) that Mitch Trubisky played for The Steelers this year.

[Str8Mush4Life]

Hey Bill, after rereading this post I just realized that even to the very end you still for some reason think (no matter how many times this season I brought up this cherry) that Mitch Trubisky played for The Steelers this year.

[Str8Mush4Life]

Hey Bill, get stuffed

[stevenash]

Old Bill and Johnny V. both on KC, what could possibly go wrong?

[Itsamazing777]

[Itsamazing777]

In one word someone tell me who bill is on here

He's on the chiefs. Fade away!

[johnnyvegas13]

In one word someone tell me who bill is on here

[stevenash]

Thanks OB, Will decipher this stuff. Let me know when there is an app available!

Babbel Exclusive Offer

[Eddy Munny]

10 of those wins were penetrating garbage, good stuff Bill......

Saints opened up the season with two 40 point drubbings then got smacked with a reality check against the Birds in Week 3 but go on......

If the Eagles do win this game do you stop with your "no team has ever won the Super Bowl after losing to Tampa Bay in regular season" or does it become "only one team (actually two but New Orleans doesn't count because you say so the game didn't matter Bill) in the regular season?

Bill is a rabid animal with his trends, refusing to let go even in the face of opposing evidence. He said no team has ever won a Super Bowl in their home stadium, discounting the Bucs and Rams because, well, they don't count. He also used to trumpet his "no team that's played in London ever won a SB" campaign, even though there was a team who did, but again, they don't count.

So in other words his angles are air tight because any counterexamples are discarded. It's bulletproof lol.

[DJK]

John Murray (Westgate Superbook) said on a podcast something to the effect of 'the public is (or will be by kickoff) all over the Chiefs and that the sportsbook will need the Eagles'. Personally I think bet percentages mean absolutely nothing but if you're into that sort of thing it does seem that there is a bit of reverse line movement where the money is coming in on the Chiefs but the line is moving to the Eagles.

It sure is looking that way since The Action Network's bet percentages are practically even when they were 30/70 just yesterday.

Scoresandodds' bet percentages are also evening out.

So, I don't feel so bad about what I bet. Just hate to be on the same side as the public when it's lopsided.

[veriableodds]

Thanks OB, Will decipher this stuff. Let me know when there is an app available!

[Itsamazing777]

Just like when you said you would give 5k if Trump won?

[pimike]

Thanks!!!!

[Str8Mush4Life]

10 of those wins were penetrating garbage, good stuff Bill......

Saints opened up the season with two 40 point drubbings then got smacked with a reality check against the Birds in Week 3 but go on......

If the Eagles do win this game do you stop with your "no team has ever won the Super Bowl after losing to Tampa Bay in regular season" or does it become "only one team (actually two but New Orleans doesn't count because you say so the game didn't matter Bill) in the regular season?

[stevenash]

LOL

Bill said the Eagles will lose and you are fading the Chiefs and taking the Eagles?

Did you even read what Bill said? Given that it's not an easy read.

I'm so confused.

[DJK]

solid angle

fading chiefs!

LOL

Bill said the Eagles will lose and you are fading the Chiefs and taking the Eagles?

Did you even read what Bill said? Given that it's not an easy read.

[spiromoney23]

solid angle

fading chiefs!

[OldBill]

anot he r fact eagles season had 15 wins 2 losses well folks 10 wins were facking garbage Saints Giants Cowboys Browns jags carolina steeers bengals

another 100% fact no qb who had over 520 yrads rusing ever won a SB HURTS 665

the other losers were old eagles qb cunningham mike vc

[alecmatt5]

Haven't you seen where the public is all over one side and the opposite covers?

To me, it matters more often when there is either one or two games only like the Conference Championship games. The public was all over Washington and Buffalo and they both lost ATS.

When there are lots of games, some public bets are winners and therefore they offset.

But I swear, when it's like one or two games only like the Super Bowl Sunday, it's always best to take the less publicly wagered side when it's totally lopsided. As of now at BetMGM, it's still showing 53% Chiefs and 47% Eagles.

Also, RLM matters and just can't go against it. If the bet percentags are accurate at ActionNetwork and Scoresandodds where over 70% is on the Eagles, and then the line moves down towards the Eagles near the game time, I will definitely be on the Eagles.

Yes of course I have seen this. It happens roughly 50% of the time. Maybe to you it feels like it happens more often than it doesn't but I promise you that is just confirmation bias. If betting on sports were as simple as betting the 'sharp' side, then there would be a lot more winning bettors than there are in reality.

[stevenash]

I was just chatting with one of the writers at VSIN on X, he tells me the Eagles have been getting some loving the past couple of days.

[DJK]

Haven't you seen where the public is all over one side and the opposite covers?

To me, it matters more often when there is either one or two games only like the Conference Championship games. The public was all over Washington and Buffalo and they both lost ATS.

When there are lots of games, some public bets are winners and therefore they offset.

But I swear, when it's like one or two games only like the Super Bowl Sunday, it's always best to take the less publicly wagered side when it's totally lopsided. As of now at BetMGM, it's still showing 53% Chiefs and 47% Eagles.

Also, RLM matters and just can't go against it. If the bet percentags are accurate at ActionNetwork and Scoresandodds where over 70% is on the Eagles, and then the line moves down towards the Eagles near the game time, I will definitely be on the Eagles.

[alecmatt5]

Let me ask you this: If betting percentages provided ANY sort of advantage for the bettors, why would the sportsbook give out that information?

I think there's really only 2 logical explanations.

1. The betting percentages DON'T provide anything meaningful and sportsbooks give the information out as an illusion of giving helpful information. Personally this is what I believe.

2. The TRUE betting percentages do provide some sort of meaningful information that could help bettors, but rather the info they provide has been skewed to push the narrative that they want to push and therefore the information provided to the public isn't meaningful because it can't be trusted.

Either way, the result is the same. Just my 2 cents.

[DJK]

John Murray (Westgate Superbook) said on a podcast something to the effect of 'the public is (or will be by kickoff) all over the Chiefs and that the sportsbook will need the Eagles'. Personally I think bet percentages mean absolutely nothing but if you're into that sort of thing it does seem that there is a bit of reverse line movement where the money is coming in on the Chiefs but the line is moving to the Eagles.

I wasn't aware of that and can't really go against what the books need. LOL

Yeah, I think some of these sites those that provide the bet percentags are crooked providing some bullshit info.

I don't even know if BetMGM is providing accurate info either.

But, I must admit that going against the refs too isn't ideal.

[stevenash]

That was a tough read. And I mean that literally. It was literally tough to read.

But that's what makes Bill, Bill.
He's one of ours Bill is, he puts the 'fun' in dysfunctional.

[alecmatt5]

I'm leaning to bet the Eagles but not on the ML or even the point spread. I'm looking to move the line to Eagles +3.5 -175.

What I don't like is the public betting percentages from ActionNetwork and ScoresandOdds, but their percentages are way off from what BetMGM is showing.

ActionNetwork - 30% Chiefs 70% Eagles.
Scoresandodds - 31% Chiefs 69% Eagles on the handle. 23% Chiefs 77% Eagles on $$$.
BetMGM - 53% Chiefs 47% Eagles on $$$.

So, someone's lying or those numbers could be regional and not the whole nation.

I'm sure the last minute bets are going to be on the Chiefs and if the bet percentages pretty much even out everywhere, then I will pull the trigger on the Eagles.

John Murray (Westgate Superbook) said on a podcast something to the effect of 'the public is (or will be by kickoff) all over the Chiefs and that the sportsbook will need the Eagles'. Personally I think bet percentages mean absolutely nothing but if you're into that sort of thing it does seem that there is a bit of reverse line movement where the money is coming in on the Chiefs but the line is moving to the Eagles.

[alecmatt5]

That was a tough read. And I mean that literally. It was literally tough to read.

[stevenash]

Yeah, Bill is OK.
Now can anybody show Bill where the caps key is on the keyboard?

[Str8Mush4Life]

That's all relative and does not mean shit.

I looked at those games and guess who the QB's were for Denver? 2nd string QBs if that.

Joe Flacco 1st game in 2019. Lost 30-6.
Drew Lock 2nd game in 2019. Lost 23-3.

Drew Lock 1st game in 2020. Lost 43-16.
Drew Lock 2nd game in 2020. Lost 22-16.

Teddy Bridgewater 1st game in 2021. Lost 22-9.
Drew Lock 2nd game in 2021. Lost 28-24.

Jalen Hurts is much better than any of those 3 useless QB's. They didn't have Saquon nor did they have defensive players that the Eagles have now. Philadelphia drafted mostly defensive players in the last couple of years and they did quite well with that. I just wish Nakobe Dean wasn't injured.

By the way Bill, you are in Philadelphia and you are betting against the Eagles? Come on now.

I'll bet Kansas City ML against my Birds and hope that that money burns this Sunday.............

To be fair, Bill did bet The Eagles two years ago. That was after he correctly predicted Kansas City to win the Super Bowl since week 1 with all of his stats and variables and voodoo curses. EVERY SINGLE WEEK he said Kansas City was the play to win the Super Bowl.

Then come game day he bet Philly for God knows what reason (it had NOTHING to do with team loyalty) and Kansas City won the SB as he had correctly predicted for months.

[stevenash]

^
Passing on the side, but I love the under.

[DJK]

I'm leaning to bet the Eagles but not on the ML or even the point spread. I'm looking to move the line to Eagles +3.5 -175.

What I don't like is the public betting percentages from ActionNetwork and ScoresandOdds, but their percentages are way off from what BetMGM is showing.

ActionNetwork - 30% Chiefs 70% Eagles.
Scoresandodds - 31% Chiefs 69% Eagles on the handle. 23% Chiefs 77% Eagles on $$$.
BetMGM - 53% Chiefs 47% Eagles on $$$.

So, someone's lying or those numbers could be regional and not the whole nation.

I'm sure the last minute bets are going to be on the Chiefs and if the bet percentages pretty much even out everywhere, then I will pull the trigger on the Eagles.

[DJK]

another lil 100% nugget
"Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes has had a lot of success against Fangio. As Ryan Hannable of BetMGM pointed out on X, Mahomes has a perfect 8-0 record and a 10-2 touchdown-to-interception ratio against Fangio-led defenses."

That's all relative and does not mean shit.

I looked at those games and guess who the QB's were for Denver? 2nd string QBs if that.

Joe Flacco 1st game in 2019. Lost 30-6.
Drew Lock 2nd game in 2019. Lost 23-3.

Drew Lock 1st game in 2020. Lost 43-16.
Drew Lock 2nd game in 2020. Lost 22-16.

Teddy Bridgewater 1st game in 2021. Lost 22-9.
Drew Lock 2nd game in 2021. Lost 28-24.

Jalen Hurts is much better than any of those 3 useless QB's. They didn't have Saquon nor did they have defensive players that the Eagles have now. Philadelphia drafted mostly defensive players in the last couple of years and they did quite well with that. I just wish Nakobe Dean wasn't injured.

By the way Bill, you are in Philadelphia and you are betting against the Eagles? Come on now.

[stevenash]

ok nash thought it w as like 98% i know his fianl year with eagles when he lost his son he didint n eagles had bad year

I knew what you were talking about Bill, all good.
I've told you in the past, if I'm playfully breaking your stones here, I like you, and I do like you,
Now could you please do something about those walls of text.

[OldBill]

best way to get + money pick mvp of SB Mahoomes is +110 ty

Eagles are +105 on the ML

[Str8Mush4Life]

Pop quiz on this after the weekend Billy Boy, dust off those math books and bone up on your fractions.

How about he skips math class and learns some English first.

[Str8Mush4Life]

Two QBs have played in the Super Bowl wearing #1.

Cam Newton and Hurts.

What a sample size, Bill - this is great stuff................