1. #1
    RMStanley
    RMStanley's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-03-11
    Posts: 824
    Betpoints: 114

    I'm such an idiot (49ers vs Bears related) - Hedge ideas/advice?

    I thought I was onto a "hot scoop" this AM when I heard on Sirius NFL radio at about 6am that Alex Smith was likely to be cleared to play in tonight's game - I hopped on San Francisco in a couple teasers that brought them to +0.5 coupled with LSU at -5.5. Dumb as rocks, I know but I was still kind of hung over from yesterday's games and fully in the afterglow of my best weekend of the year yesterday and Saturday.

    Now that he's not playing the line has dropped from -6.5 to -3.5. If I have $1000 on the 49ers/LSU teaser should I look to hedge out of this with a Bears-centric teaser or something? Or maybe I should just take my lumps and hope Ginn Jr. returns a punt or something tonight and SF holds on.

  2. #2
    p19101
    Giants!
    p19101's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-17-11
    Posts: 1,419
    Betpoints: 24

    Hard to find a hedge that makes sense for that one.

  3. #3
    Brutus84
    Brutus84's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-08-11
    Posts: 5,188
    Betpoints: 402

    Niners still win

  4. #4
    k13
    k13's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-16-10
    Posts: 17,537
    Betpoints: 1836

    So you think they lose?

  5. #5
    yisman
    yisman's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-01-08
    Posts: 75,682
    Betpoints: 246162

    I made a bunch of teasers last night with SF -.5 because SportsOptions claimed he was probable.

  6. #6
    mwhelan11
    mwhelan11's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-24-11
    Posts: 75
    Betpoints: 95

    Agree with Brutus 49's will win, LSU looked bad against Ole Miss.

    I would let it play out even tho you have alot at risk.

  7. #7
    Trmeyer
    Trmeyer's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-03-11
    Posts: 1,836
    Betpoints: 578

    niners

    I'm a little biased since I'm a Bears fan. I'm taking chicago and the points. Niners may win, but I don't se them winning by more than 3. As for LSU, I feel sorry for Arkansas. LSU is pissed and will blow them game out of the water. I'm taking LSU- it doesn't matter.

  8. #8
    milwaukee mike
    milwaukee mike's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-22-07
    Posts: 26,906
    Betpoints: 7585

    easy enough to hedge out of some of that with bears moneyline

  9. #9
    p19101
    Giants!
    p19101's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-17-11
    Posts: 1,419
    Betpoints: 24

    Quote Originally Posted by milwaukee mike View Post
    easy enough to hedge out of some of that with bears moneyline
    So what happens when SF wins and his other part of the teaser fails? Double fail.

  10. #10
    YorkHunt
    I JUST RELEASED
    YorkHunt's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-11-10
    Posts: 7,496
    Betpoints: 1507

    Ride it out pussy
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: samgurt

  11. #11
    Jimmy0607
    Jimmy0607's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-09-09
    Posts: 7,785
    Betpoints: 285

    Ride it out

  12. #12
    Big Bear
    Love your neighbor
    Big Bear's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-01-11
    Posts: 43,253
    Betpoints: 14

    ride it out. you will win your bet pal. relax

  13. #13
    milwaukee mike
    milwaukee mike's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 08-22-07
    Posts: 26,906
    Betpoints: 7585

    Quote Originally Posted by p19101 View Post
    So what happens when SF wins and his other part of the teaser fails? Double fail.
    um the other half of the teaser isn't until saturday. so "if" sf wins then he hedges off with an alternate line or tries for a middle on the lsu game.

    seriously p19101, you really couldn't think about this for more than 2 seconds before criticizing?

  14. #14
    jimminn
    jimminn's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-23-11
    Posts: 1,174
    Betpoints: 5771

    After watching Campbell play in Chicago's last game . I don't believe Chicago will win . I like a dummy bet on SF this am at -6-.5 and just added more at -3 . Sit back and watch Campbell throw interceptions and get sacked and fumble. I said after the last game he played in, he should be bagging groceries. Papernick is much better than Campbell plus the game is at SF . Relax and enjoy your bets.

  15. #15
    Wilfred
    Wilfred's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-19-12
    Posts: 1,908
    Betpoints: 528

    Ted Ginn has you covered

  16. #16
    Deol
    Deol's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-01-11
    Posts: 1,340
    Betpoints: 5712

    Hedging a 2 game teaser, for real? just ride it out, probably still gonna hit.

  17. #17
    4TH AND STUPID
    best NFL capper at SBR
    4TH AND STUPID's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-08-09
    Posts: 2,338
    Betpoints: 1990

    sell your wedding ring and hedge the bet and break even...


    then when your wife asks for a divorce turn into a degenerate gambler and kill yourself. thats what most people here end up doing anyway. there is no winning, regardless of whether you hedge or not.

    get out of the game if you are looking for "hot tips"


    the fact that you thought alex smith playing is a reason to hammer the 9ers indicates you are in trouble in the future if you dont get out of the game. im not trying to be mean im being serious. smarten up in the future. when you win a bet, or lose a bet, you dont act on impulse and start dumping money to win more or get out of a hole.

    you are heading down the wrong road

  18. #18
    keyboarding
    SBR's Respected Garbage
    keyboarding's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-30-09
    Posts: 6,817
    Betpoints: 972

    Kaepernick didn't look that bad last week. Will be interesting to see how he handles a week of preparation against CHI defense.

Top