1. #1
    AmpleGamble
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    Bookie Not Changing Lines

    I've got a question that I hope some of you may have an answer to. There's a local bookie I can bet through that NEVER changes his lines, and often times has a bad line to begin with altogether.

    My question is, if I would 'blindly' bet on every team in which the line I can get is way more favorable to any other book, would I be expected to win in the long run? I've posted the NFL lines that I can get from him this weekend below...

    These are the two that are underdogs according to him, but favorites elsewhere
    Detroit: +2.5 on his site, -1 most other places
    Dallas: +4.5 on his site, -1 most

    These are the other lines he has

    Denver: -3
    Tampa: -2.5
    Miami: -4.5
    New England: -9.5
    Baltimore: -6
    New York Giants: -6
    New Orleans Pick
    Seattle: -5.5
    San Fran: -11
    Pit: -11


    Any and all input would be greatly appreciated!

  2. #2
    AmpleGamble
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    In addition to this, there are several of his college lines that are 4-5+ points off every week

  3. #3
    Easy-Rider 66
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    You are getting value if you play those games where the line is off. You would probably do OK in the long run. Would definitely play Detroit/Dallas if I had those lines that you posted.

  4. #4
    fishmonger
    Very sharp square
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    Would bet ALL the bad lines the were 2 points off or more.

  5. #5
    esulima
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    Quote Originally Posted by AmpleGamble View Post
    In addition to this, there are several of his college lines that are 4-5+ points off every week
    what college games he have that r off ?

  6. #6
    AmpleGamble
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    These are the most notable: Most are only 2-3 points off this week it looks like..

    Stanford +1
    Northwestern +13
    Virginia +3
    North Carolina -5.5
    OK State -7.5
    Oklahoma -19
    Clemson -27.5
    Memphis +1.5
    Utah +2

  7. #7
    esulima
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    Quote Originally Posted by AmpleGamble View Post
    I've got a question that I hope some of you may have an answer to. There's a local bookie I can bet through that NEVER changes his lines, and often times has a bad line to begin with altogether.

    My question is, if I would 'blindly' bet on every team in which the line I can get is way more favorable to any other book, would I be expected to win in the long run? I've posted the NFL lines that I can get from him this weekend below...

    These are the two that are underdogs according to him, but favorites elsewhere
    Detroit: +2.5 on his site, -1 most other places
    Dallas: +4.5 on his site, -1 most

    These are the other lines he has

    Denver: -3
    Tampa: -2.5
    Miami: -4.5
    New England: -9.5
    Baltimore: -6
    New York Giants: -6
    New Orleans Pick
    Seattle: -5.5
    San Fran: -11
    Pit: -11


    Any and all input would be greatly appreciated!
    he mite be real sharp too seems like he wants u on dallas and minn did he have lines like this last week who was he favoring? what college games is he favoring too

  8. #8
    esulima
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    Quote Originally Posted by AmpleGamble View Post
    These are the most notable: Most are only 2-3 points off this week it looks like..

    Stanford +1
    Northwestern +13
    Virginia +3
    North Carolina -5.5
    OK State -7.5
    Oklahoma -19
    Clemson -27.5
    Memphis +1.5
    Utah +2
    do they stay the same at game time too? he mite be a real sharp bookie wanting u too bet the other way

  9. #9
    esulima
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    whats he have louville and nebraska ?

  10. #10
    Stack-N-Chips
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    I use 3 dif locals.. and all three have diff lines through out the week.
    I even had one local that let me give him the line.. i cant use him anymore cuz I made him go broke 2 weeks ago.. hahaha

  11. #11
    esulima
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    Quote Originally Posted by Stack-N-Chips View Post
    I use 3 dif locals.. and all three have diff lines through out the week.
    I even had one local that let me give him the line.. i cant use him anymore cuz I made him go broke 2 weeks ago.. hahaha
    who u like this weekend?

  12. #12
    AmpleGamble
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    Yes, once the lines are opened they NEVER change. It's the same every week - he opens his line and never adjusts it, regardless of what every other book does. For instance, I got the Texans at + points vs the Jets a few weeks back.

  13. #13
    esulima
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    Quote Originally Posted by AmpleGamble View Post
    Yes, once the lines are opened they NEVER change. It's the same every week - he opens his line and never adjusts it, regardless of what every other book does. For instance, I got the Texans at + points vs the Jets a few weeks back.
    did u ever follow the lines he has bumped up or down?

  14. #14
    thefastship
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    1. introduce me to your bookie.. lol

    2. Jump on Dallas asap.

    3. I rarely play 2 side/ 6 pt teasers ,but him not changing the lines will cross you over key numbers often... You can break his ass.

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