1. 11-04-12 03:47 PM #1
    Goat Milk
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    I'm Taking Dallas +200 Tonight in ATL.

    I'm normally not a guy that reads too much into the way lines are set--I'm more about matchups. Seems here like they want people to take ATL and are cutting the line short. It should be 7 here at least imo.

    ATL can easily win this game, but I like Dallas for a few reasons.

    1) Dallas is one of the best defenses in the NFL. I predicted they would be top 3 this year and they have not dissappointed. Claiborn and Carr should be able to somewhat guard the double threat of Julio and Rodney. Dallas plays a lot of man coverage and they're definitely taking a risk with these two WR but they have a great duo of CBs that can play with the best of them. Dallas front 7 is all healthy and expect a big game for Ware and co. Ryan should get sacked a few times and I see him making 1-2 big mistakes.

    2) Jason Witten is in a zone right now. When a TE is posing a bigger threat than any receiver on the team, that's always a good sign for the O. There's no one on ATL's D that can cover him. Asante Samuel should be able to take Miles Austin--somewhat limit him, although Austin always a threat in the red zone. Even if Dez Bryant doesn't play, I still like Dallas.

    3) Turner is not gonna have a good game imo. Dallas D will stuff him and I don't think ATL will ever get in a rhythm running the ball.

    4) Romo is a bitch, but is a boss in Novemeber. Ryan is hard to stop at home. ATL was my sleeper pick in the NFC before the year started, but they are not as good as their record shows.

    Still deciding on amount. Will post.
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  2. 11-04-12 03:48 PM #2
    WvGambler
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    I'm probably taking the points, but gonna be on the same side. Or may tease it with the over.
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  3. 11-04-12 03:49 PM #3
    JMon
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    Got +170 early...good luck!
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  4. 11-04-12 03:50 PM #4
    JMon
    I'd be a lot cooler if you did.
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    ^ also teased +10/ un 54
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  5. 11-04-12 03:53 PM #5
    crustyme
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    this mofo's airbet better not jinx my real bet.......

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  6. 11-04-12 03:53 PM #6
    onacloud
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    So you think the line should ATL -7 but you took Dallas ML?

    Turner has only ran once this season for 100 yards he hasn't had a rhythm all season, but they keep winning.
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  7. 11-04-12 03:59 PM #7
    Goat Milk
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    Quote Originally Posted by onacloud View Post
    So you think the line should ATL -7 but you took Dallas ML?

    Turner has only ran once this season for 100 yards he hasn't had a rhythm all season, but they keep winning.
    That's my point. The line seems off and that's 1 reason why I'm taking Dallas.
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  8. 11-04-12 03:59 PM #8
    House
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    Atl wins by throwing it, the Cowboys lose games this year through the air ...Atl finally got it together last week vs Philly, Cowboys have Romo behind center,Dallas is 7-0 vs undefeated teams since 1992....keep it going
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  9. 11-04-12 04:06 PM #9
    meader99
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    Atlanta got pushed around by Carolina and Oakland at the Georgia Dome. Dallas will do the same.
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  10. 11-04-12 04:08 PM #10
    SportsPedagogy
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    You mush.
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  11. 11-04-12 04:08 PM #11
    onacloud
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    Quote Originally Posted by House View Post
    Dallas is 7-0 vs undefeated teams since 1992
    What does this have to do with this game tonight?

    Why does it matter that a Cowboy team in 92 beat an undefeated team?

    I just don't comprehend these trends
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  12. 11-04-12 04:11 PM #12
    House
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    Quote Originally Posted by onacloud View Post
    What does this have to do with this game tonight?

    Why does it matter that a Cowboy team in 92 beat an undefeated team?

    I just don't comprehend these trends
    Its just a trend ....kinda like Manning was 7-0 vs the Bungles over the last decade until today ...now he's 8-0 comprehend that ?
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  13. 11-04-12 04:13 PM #13
    crustyme
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    goat boy, i'll give you all my pts to switch your airbet to the falcons.
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  14. 11-04-12 04:28 PM #14
    pokernut9999
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    Atl 20-3 last 23 games , hardly ever lose at home with Ryan
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  15. 11-04-12 04:38 PM #15
    TR35
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    I don't understand how just the squares like the Falcons.

    They are better coached.

    They have a better QB.

    They are at home.

    Dallas implodes every game.

    "You are what your record says you are"

    I like Falcons ml.
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  16. 11-04-12 04:45 PM #16
    mynameismud
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    anyone is nuts to back the cowboys. they are the most unpredictable and ridiculous team. cowboys vs jacksonville i wouldnt touch.
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  17. 11-04-12 04:54 PM #17
    zilchy
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    Kudos to Atlanta for going 7-0 but they've had it rather easy to be honest. Dallas has not and could have been 5-2 if not for some close losses. They are still in the hunt for a playoff spot with easier opponents remaining after today.

    I have to go with what I still think is the better team and agree with Goat Milk here. I'm taking a shot at Dallas ML and hope it brings me to 5-0 for the day.
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  18. 11-04-12 04:56 PM #18
    Paul Kemp
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    I've got ATL ML to finish a 12 teamer. Assuming NYG and OAK wins, which still has be glued to the TV.

    Would anyone hedge this parlay with a Dallas ML play?
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  19. 11-04-12 04:56 PM #19
    Goat Milk
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    Quote Originally Posted by crustyme View Post
    goat boy, i'll give you all my pts to switch your airbet to the falcons.
    you've been here over 2 years. no one knows who you are.
    Points Awarded:

    lakerboy gave Goat Milk 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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  20. 11-04-12 04:57 PM #20
    Goat Milk
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    Quote Originally Posted by Paul Kemp View Post
    I've got ATL ML to finish a 12 teamer. Assuming NYG and OAK wins, which still has be glued to the TV.

    Would anyone hedge this parlay with a Dallas ML play?
    neither giants or oakland are locks bro, what do you mean. tampa can easily win.
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  21. 11-04-12 04:59 PM #21
    vinndy
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    If Romo can hold it together for 60 minutes Dallas would have a chance. But I don't think he can, not in that environment.
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  22. 11-04-12 05:02 PM #22
    Chi_archie
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    leaning OVER
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  23. 11-04-12 05:09 PM #23
    jakeloftin2186
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    DAL plays better on the road believe it or not
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  24. 11-04-12 05:34 PM #24
    Paul Kemp
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    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    neither giants or oakland are locks bro, what do you mean. tampa can easily win.
    Typo on my part - I was trying to say I'm glued the TV because I know NYG and OAK can still lose, easily.

    Juts trying to plan ahead - in case they win and then ATL mucks the whole parlay for me.
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  25. 11-04-12 05:52 PM #25
    matt1216
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    I would think Dallas woud like the astro turf here better. ATL is due. Sick of this 7-0 ATL team being undefeated, they have played average teams a best
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  26. 11-04-12 06:37 PM #26
    Goat Milk
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    $200 on Dallas +200 ML
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  27. 11-04-12 06:39 PM #27
    Lakers714
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    Goat, I got DAL +3.5 as the last leg of my 6 team parlay. $90 to win $2,300. Should I hedge? If so how much? Rarely do parlays.
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  28. 11-04-12 06:39 PM #28
    Smoke
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    Dallas
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  29. 11-04-12 06:41 PM #29
    Goat Milk
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lakers714 View Post
    Goat, I got DAL +3.5 as the last leg of my 6 team parlay. $90 to win $2,300. Should I hedge? If so how much? Rarely do parlays.
    hedge for at least 500 imo. most people would tell you to hedge for a lot more (at least half). it's your call bro.
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  30. 11-04-12 06:42 PM #30
    forloveofthegame
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    On dallas as well
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  31. 11-04-12 06:51 PM #31
    crustyme
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    Quote Originally Posted by Smoke View Post
    Dallas
    where ya been, smokester?

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  32. 11-04-12 06:54 PM #32
    Br0nxer
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    Quote Originally Posted by Smoke View Post
    Dallas

    smokeeeeeeeeeey
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  33. 11-04-12 06:56 PM #33
    Louisvillekid1
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    R u Fukkin kidding me, goat is on the dog!

    I just bought out of my +5 and rebought -2.5..


    unreal
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  34. 11-04-12 06:58 PM #34
    kwramsey2
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    I like Dallas with the points for sure Atl doesn't cover spreads. I also have Dallas as my last leg of a ML parlay. They win tonight you know next week is heartbreak city.
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  35. 11-04-12 06:58 PM #35
    crustyme
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    dez bryant starting so that's good news.
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