[agharah1]

In fairness, the Lions were the best bet ATS last year. Their biggest weakness was inability to stop the run last year and they are much improved in that area this year. Secondary is irrelevant because they way you beat a young (terrible) QB is to apply pressure. If you get to him, he'll miss wide open receivers. If they had pressured Jake Locker earlier this season that game wouldn't have been close. Lions could just as easily be 6-1 right now.

Granted, the Lions haven't beaten anyone by more than 4 pts this year, so -5 is a stretch, I got it at -4 for BTP. And I keep having flashbacks to that game in Jax on MNF vs. the Ravens. Although the Jags D isn't neary as good this year.

[rjpickswinners]

Line has jumped almost 2 points the past few days. Lions will dismantle one team this year like they did to the Broncos last year. I personally thought that would be TENN but I will take a team from the same division--Jax. This game has all the makings of a beat down.

I don't know JAX team very well but Gabbert is below average. Cecil Shorts is a good WR and Blackman is average. No Jones Drew again this week and I don't think JAX will be able to sustain enough drives to hang with the Lions offense.

Calvin is listed as Q but you better believe he will play and will have a big game too. DET picked up Mike Thomas too from JAX and he should be activated for tomorrow. DET is starting to pick it up slowly and this is their break out game, watch.

The Lions mostly don't show up til the 4th Q but JAX just doesn't have the offense to threaten the Lions. I see a lot of punts and DET will have plenty of opportunities to get in a rhythm early.

$440 on the Lions -5 -110

I got them -3 when the line came out this week, couldn't believe it.
i parlayed them with Baltimore -3 as well
i don't see them goin down to the browns by any means.

[Sportsbetting123]

This looks like a 3 point game to me..could go either way. Best of luck

[rjpickswinners]

Nuff said.
I think they'll play like the lions of last year, and at least cover my -3 =)

[meader99]

In fairness, the Lions were the best bet ATS last year. Their biggest weakness was inability to stop the run last year and they are much improved in that area this year. Secondary is irrelevant because they way you beat a young (terrible) QB is to apply pressure. If you get to him, he'll miss wide open receivers. If they had pressured Jake Locker earlier this season that game wouldn't have been close. Lions could just as easily be 6-1 right now.

Granted, the Lions haven't beaten anyone by more than 4 pts this year, so -5 is a stretch, I got it at -4 for BTP. And I keep having flashbacks to that game in Jax on MNF vs. the Ravens. Although the Jags D isn't neary as good this year.

Why is it that no one is mentioning Detroits awesome special teams?

[slacker00]

Also, Megatron with only 1 TD this year?? Look for him to FINALLY break out against an awful Jax secondary, ranked 23rd in the league in pass defense. Making a bold prediction here 7 rec 140 YDs 2 TDs!

He might not even play. The guy is hurt, probably why he has sucked all year. They should rest him and get him right.

[SmittyZ28]

Slacker I agree they should rest him, but Schwartz has been saying all week he is going to play. Whether or not he is limited remains to be seen, if he steps on the field he will produce against the Jags

[slacker00]

Slacker I agree they should rest him, but Schwartz has been saying all week he is going to play. Whether or not he is limited remains to be seen, if he steps on the field he will produce against the Jags

Schwartz has to be the dumbest coach is a division full of dumb coaches.

[bobbyk1133]

How F is -5 a "best bet" when -3 was available earlier in the week.

Good lord this fckin place.

[GamblerSpirit]

How F is -5 a "best bet" when -3 was available earlier in the week.

Good lord this fckin place.

Don't judge the entire board based on this one junkie retard. He makes up for great fade material.

[bobbyk1133]

Don't judge the entire board based on this one junkie retard. He makes up for great fade material.

Yea yur right. How about SBR creates some kind of "square filter" so these kind of topics can't be started?

[pimike]

How F is -5 a "best bet" when -3 was available earlier in the week.

Good lord this fckin place.

Hey buddy,

How u doing Bobby? I think you may be missing the point. Don't think Goat is saying the # 5 is great. Obviously the # 3 would be better. But the fact is he believes Lions win easy and any line under 7 makes this the best play.

To be fair, you can't win by 3. Hence 3-5.5 is not a big difference with this specific play.

Hope u are doing well otherwise bud.

[bobbyk1133]

Don't think Goat is saying the # 5 is great. Obviously the # 3 would be better. But the fact is he believes Lions win easy and any line under 7 makes this the best play.

To be fair, you can't win by 3. Hence 3-5.5 is not a big difference with this specific play.

What crack you on? 3-5.5 isn't a big diff? Any line under -7? No wonder books always win...

[pimike]

What crack you on? 3-5.5 isn't a big diff? Any line under -7? No wonder books always win...

Oh you young gun. Lol
You still have a lot to learn. You are funny but you really are missing the point with this situation. This is NOT a good line. I.e a typical 3 point game.



Lol hope u have a great day bud.

[ttrace35]

Goat on point as usual.

[pimike]

Goat on point as usual.

Lol wouldn't go that far. Only in this situation. Lol

[No coincidences]

Goat on point as usual.

"As usual"? He's hit like 4 NFL bets all year.

[k13]

What crack you on? 3-5.5 isn't a big diff? Any line under -7? No wonder books always win...

Bad lines have only lost 2 times out 119 games this year.

Unlikely to matter here.

[bobbyk1133]

Oh you young gun. Lol
You still have a lot to learn.

You say that to all 55% long-term winners?

Results doesn't validate a square bets. #handicapping101

You have a better day pal.

[bobbyk1133]

Bad lines have only lost 2 times out 119 games this year.

Unlikely to matter here.

Small sample size = irrelevant. Take away a few of your wins each season and turn them into pushes/losses and tell me how your bottom line looks. If you bet more than 20$ a game, yur gonna feel it.

[k13]

Small sample size = irrelevant. Take away a few of your wins each season and turn them into pushes/losses and tell me how your bottom line looks. If you bet more than 20$ a game, yur gonna feel it.

Yes but do you get the perfect line every time?

I think people have enough trouble picking a winner let a lone the best line.

[bobbyk1133]

Yes but do you get the perfect line every time?

I think people have enough trouble picking a winner let a lone the best line.

If you have a documented edge, you'll beat the closing line over 80% of the time.

Take Lions game for example. I agree with Goat there was value on Detroit, but when -3 is on the board why wait until late in the week to lock in -5? What info was acquired now that wasn't available on Sunday/Monday?

[k13]

If you have a documented edge, you'll beat the closing line over 80% of the time.

Take Lions game for example. I agree with Goat there was value on Detroit, but when -3 is on the board why wait until late in the week to lock in -5? What info was acquired now that wasn't available on Sunday/Monday?

I think the Megatron activation sent the line flying.

What if you grabbed -3 and it went to -1? Easy to say now.

I agree though, if you like a play, grab it early. Maybe he plays with a local. Idk.

[Jago2008]

Line has jumped almost 2 points the past few days. Lions will dismantle one team this year like they did to the Broncos last year. I personally thought that would be TENN but I will take a team from the same division--Jax. This game has all the makings of a beat down.

I don't know JAX team very well but Gabbert is below average. Cecil Shorts is a good WR and Blackman is average. No Jones Drew again this week and I don't think JAX will be able to sustain enough drives to hang with the Lions offense.

Calvin is listed as Q but you better believe he will play and will have a big game too. DET picked up Mike Thomas too from JAX and he should be activated for tomorrow. DET is starting to pick it up slowly and this is their break out game, watch.

The Lions mostly don't show up til the 4th Q but JAX just doesn't have the offense to threaten the Lions. I see a lot of punts and DET will have plenty of opportunities to get in a rhythm early.

$440 on the Lions -5 -110

Great play man I just took the moneyline back on Thursday, this Detroit offense was too inconsistent for me to lay 4 at the time.

143959376-1

11/1/12 2:49am

$445.45

$202.47

Pending

11/4/12 1:00pm NFL Football 427 Detroit Lions -220* <small>vs</small> Jacksonville Jaguars

[pimike]

Bobby,

Now Steelers Vs Giants would be a game you would have a claim to call Giants -5 would be a bad play. I think this game will be a 3 point final. Now Giants could win by more but its not the same situation as the Lions play was.

I have a small play on Steelers + 4 and a smaller play on Steelers Ml.

Enjoy!!!

[naslax13]

easy money.

[paco]

[slacker00]

Also, Megatron with only 1 TD this year?? Look for him to FINALLY break out against an awful Jax secondary, ranked 23rd in the league in pass defense. Making a bold prediction here 7 rec 140 YDs 2 TDs!

Dang man, nice call. Still no TDs, but every report I saw had him sitting or very limited to 3rd downs or whatever.

C. Johnson	7	129	18.4	0

I gotta be more careful with the injury reports, teams really over-report injuries. Same thing with Jordy Nelson.