1. #1
    EaglesPhan36
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    Monday Night Under The Lights: Plus Money Prop

    These are real nice in the right spots. Tonight looks like a spot.

    DEFENSE/SPECIAL TEAMS SCORES A TD [+160]
    Bears are rolling with defensive TDs in three straight - five defensive TDs in that stretch. The Bears lead the league with 13 INTs and should get some good pressure on Stafford to force some potential mistakes. Jay Cutler is always a potential pick waiting to happen, especially in a prime time scenario where he likes to gun sling it. Don't forget to throw in Devin Hester in a Monday Night setting against a Lions special teams that has given up two punt returns and two kickoff returns for TDs this season and you have even more chances potentially. Sure, why kick to Devin Hester? Because players and coaches are stupid.

    :

  2. #2
    Papadontpreach
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    at what point, even at plus money, does this bet become overvalued?

    seems to obvious that it hits, doesn't it?

  3. #3
    nayslayer
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    Took it, why not. Only 1 unit. Thanks

  4. #4
    newbottles
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    I like this one too.

    Is anyone else considering the total sacks prop?

    5Dimes has o5.5 at +115 and o5 at -145

  5. #5
    EaglesPhan36
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    Quote Originally Posted by Papadontpreach View Post
    at what point, even at plus money, does this bet become overvalued?

    seems to obvious that it hits, doesn't it?
    This price is about standard for a football game. So there is no real edge to it number wise. Picks & Return TDs are still very difficult to get, so most often books are not going to adjust it very much.

  6. #6
    TankHankerous
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    Quote Originally Posted by EaglesPhan36 View Post
    Sure, why kick to Devin Hester? Because players and coaches are stupid.

    :

  7. #7
    unitedlad
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    EP, what do you think about FG in 1st quarter at -109?

  8. #8
    cutlerfan
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    Look for Bears to focus on run and short quick passes. Think their OL keeps them upright with giving up 1 sack. I don't like the O 5.5

  9. #9
    A4K
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    Quote Originally Posted by unitedlad View Post
    EP, what do you think about FG in 1st quarter at -109?
    Have you looked up the weather in Chi-town, USA?

  10. #10
    Dom177
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    The game comes down to field goals, at least in the first half anyways. For the lions you gotta take the points when you can and hang in. For the Bears you gotta take points out of fear for cutler turning the ball over near the redzone. Field goal prop looks good United. Check out both teams make fg over 37 yards too for +195. Hanson is money from outside of 35 yards and Gould is 10-10 so far this season on his kicks, 7 outside of that range. Good luck fellas.

  11. #11
    EaglesPhan36
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    FG props are coin flips. I don't generally like playing the total on them. I think you can find some good spots to play the props on FG length, especially in domes with big legs. Outdoors in Soldier Field, not big on that.

  12. #12
    JayLA
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    Lol you're absolutely right. thanks, haven't checked bovada yet. i appreciate the sincere advice and not the head games most play on here

  13. #13
    JayLA
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    Quote Originally Posted by Papadontpreach View Post
    at what point, even at plus money, does this bet become overvalued?

    seems to obvious that it hits, doesn't it?
    so take it. there's your fairy tale "edge".

    EDIT: don't wager your mortgage on it, but within your means for a dessert prop bet on the NFL.
    out of all the snaps we'll see,
    Chicago's defense (assuming you've read ANY NFL stats sheet) will probably get a pick-6 on this Detroit offense. Devin Hester just makes this line so weak. I expect it to fall before gametime.

  14. #14
    A4K
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    I like the prop....

    Will there be a touchback on a punt? YES -160

  15. #15
    unitedlad
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dom177 View Post
    The game comes down to field goals, at least in the first half anyways. For the lions you gotta take the points when you can and hang in. For the Bears you gotta take points out of fear for cutler turning the ball over near the redzone. Field goal prop looks good United. Check out both teams make fg over 37 yards too for +195. Hanson is money from outside of 35 yards and Gould is 10-10 so far this season on his kicks, 7 outside of that range. Good luck fellas.
    Quote Originally Posted by EaglesPhan36 View Post
    FG props are coin flips. I don't generally like playing the total on them. I think you can find some good spots to play the props on FG length, especially in domes with big legs. Outdoors in Soldier Field, not big on that.





    Appreciate the responses boys. Wind isn't too bad in Chicago by the looks of it - 10mph. I can see both teams relying on their FGs tonight, especially Lions. Lions have made 16/17 FGs, joint 3rd highest FG made in the league. Bears with a 100% FG record but only attempting 10.

  16. #16
    swordsandtequila
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    CHI -6½ & game under 46½ +250* vs DET +6½ or game over 46½



    Good luck on your prop EP!

  17. #17
    5mike5
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    Any punt return for a TD (+850)

    Pettigrew scores a TD (+170)

    thats all props for me tonight...

    Goodluck EP36

  18. #18
    swordsandtequila
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    Quote Originally Posted by swordsandtequila View Post
    CHI -6½ & game under 46½ +250*


    Good luck on your prop EP!
    F*k me, garbage time td.

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