1. 10-18-12 01:27 PM #1
    i_pick_winners1
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    SEATTLE +320 and Over 38.5 Are the PLAYS tonight.

    Here's a few reasons why I'm backing Seattle on the road and I'm doing it without the points. I feel there's GREAT value in Seattle +320 here:

    1. Seattle has the momentum here, SF coming off a loss and I truly believe Seattle is going to play HARDER because they're road dogs.
    2. Seattle's defense is up for this game, especially their secondary. I see 21+ points from SEA tonight, but 14 of them from special teams or defense. Seattle's bigger secondary could give Smith problems.
    3. These two teams have a history of their games being BRAWLS, they do not like each other.
    4. Seattle is going to pound the run on offense, especially if SF tries to pressure Wilson early, which I'm guessing they will. Seattle's run game isn't amazing, but can be dangerous.
    5. Everybody and their mother is on SF ML. This game tonight starts the books off on the right foot this weekend IMO.
    6. Carroll vs. Harbaugh personal vendetta.

    24-21 SEATTLE
    Last edited by i_pick_winners1; 10-18-12 at 01:55 PM.
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  2. 10-18-12 01:33 PM #2
    i_pick_winners1
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    Proud to be the first one to post this play, also. Coming off the Manning magic of MNF, this'll be a start of a nice run for me.
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  3. 10-18-12 01:35 PM #3
    PromiseLand
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    Jim Harbaugh OWNS Pete Carroll. We saw it with Stanford and SC (when they pulled one of the biggest upsets of all time), and we've seen it with Seattle and SF (Don't think Pete Carroll has beaten him once- I may be wrong on this as I'm too lazy to look up the stats).
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  4. 10-18-12 01:35 PM #4
    hurricane1091
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    I'm thinking tease SF. Seattle won't win this game but it might be a 3 point win for SF. On the other hand teasing Seattle to +13 seems good too.
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  5. 10-18-12 01:42 PM #5
    gh0zt
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    Quote Originally Posted by PromiseLand View Post
    Jim Harbaugh OWNS Pete Carroll. We saw it with Stanford and SC (when they pulled one of the biggest upsets of all time), and we've seen it with Seattle and SF (Don't think Pete Carroll has beaten him once- I may be wrong on this as I'm too lazy to look up the stats).
    I believe its 4-1. Carroll's 1 win being a USC/Stanford game.
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  6. 10-18-12 01:44 PM #6
    ermzzy
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    lol at seahawks beating 49ers SU.
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  7. 10-18-12 01:53 PM #7
    PromiseLand
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    Quote Originally Posted by gh0zt View Post
    I believe its 4-1. Carroll's 1 win being a USC/Stanford game.
    Thanks ghozt...I meant to say that I don't think Carroll's beaten him once yet in the NFL. If he didn't have a winning record against Harbaugh in college ball with that stacked team of is in SC, then that's just sad. Carroll has yet to give the Seahawks a winning record in a division where he gets to play the rams and cards twice a year. Without the 12th man, Seahawks got nothin.
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  8. 10-18-12 02:00 PM #8
    PromiseLand
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    Haha...nice editing job there ipickerwinners. After the arguments posted about Harbaugh being a better coach and kicking Carroll's ass throughout his career, suddenly this appears: "6. Carroll vs. Harbaugh personal vendetta." That's just funny.
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  9. 10-18-12 02:05 PM #9
    bleedtoledo
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    It's true though, harbaugh HATES carrol & he'll wanna whoop eem good
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  10. 10-18-12 02:10 PM #10
    bleedtoledo
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    The underdog hasn't just covered in every seagull game this season..the dawg has won straight up. Every seagull game. This season.

    Via @RJinVegas twitter
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  11. 10-18-12 02:26 PM #11
    A4K
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    Quote Originally Posted by i_pick_winners1 View Post
    Here's a few reasons why I'm backing Seattle on the road and I'm doing it without the points. I feel there's GREAT value in Seattle +320 here:

    1. Seattle has the momentum here, SF coming off a loss and I truly believe Seattle is going to play HARDER because they're road dogs.
    2. Seattle's defense is up for this game, especially their secondary. I see 21+ points from SEA tonight, but 14 of them from special teams or defense. Seattle's bigger secondary could give Smith problems.
    3. These two teams have a history of their games being BRAWLS, they do not like each other.
    4. Seattle is going to pound the run on offense, especially if SF tries to pressure Wilson early, which I'm guessing they will. Seattle's run game isn't amazing, but can be dangerous.
    5. Everybody and their mother is on SF ML. This game tonight starts the books off on the right foot this weekend IMO.
    6. Carroll vs. Harbaugh personal vendetta.

    24-21 SEATTLE
    I think your reasoning is flawed, but I agree that there is way too much value on the Seahawk's moneyline to pass up. At +320 the oddsmakers are giving Seattle a ≈ 24% chance to win. I think if these two teams squared off under these variables that Seattle could win 1 in 4. BOL on your play.

    I have a feeling this line will climb, so I will wait her out.
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  12. 10-18-12 03:23 PM #12
    A4K
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    Line up to +340 under reduced section @ 5Dimes. Still holding out.
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  13. 10-18-12 04:17 PM #13
    cgiordani85
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    It moved down to +310 on Sportsbook.ag, and that's what I took it at. I like the road dogs in this one, especially with the Niners now looking vulnerable.
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  14. 10-18-12 04:25 PM #14
    A4K
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    Quote Originally Posted by cgiordani85 View Post
    It moved down to +310 on Sportsbook.ag, and that's what I took it at. I like the road dogs in this one, especially with the Niners now looking vulnerable.
    Back up to +335 at 5Dimes reduced section.
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  15. 10-18-12 04:28 PM #15
    bleek88
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    I am confident that the 49ers are going to kick the shitt out of the seacawks tonight.
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  16. 10-18-12 05:20 PM #16
    cotes17
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    on Seahawks +9. think the defense can hold SF pretty good and with all the running, dont see sf getting that far ahead
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  17. 10-18-12 06:14 PM #17
    theyknowthescore
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    haha...bookies fell for my bait....49'ers will murder seahawks

    my real play is san fran
    they will win this by a minimum of 14 pts
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  18. 10-18-12 06:16 PM #18
    cotes17
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    Quote Originally Posted by theyknowthescore View Post
    my real play is san fran
    they will win this by a minimum of 14 pts
    cause the bookies were all sitting there waiting for you to post so they knew what to do...
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  19. 10-18-12 06:25 PM #19
    matt1216
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    Quote Originally Posted by i_pick_winners1 View Post
    Here's a few reasons why I'm backing Seattle on the road and I'm doing it without the points. I feel there's GREAT value in Seattle +320 here:

    1. Seattle has the momentum here, SF coming off a loss and I truly believe Seattle is going to play HARDER because they're road dogs.
    2. Seattle's defense is up for this game, especially their secondary. I see 21+ points from SEA tonight, but 14 of them from special teams or defense. Seattle's bigger secondary could give Smith problems.
    3. These two teams have a history of their games being BRAWLS, they do not like each other.
    4. Seattle is going to pound the run on offense, especially if SF tries to pressure Wilson early, which I'm guessing they will. Seattle's run game isn't amazing, but can be dangerous.
    5. Everybody and their mother is on SF ML. This game tonight starts the books off on the right foot this weekend IMO.
    6. Carroll vs. Harbaugh personal vendetta.

    24-21 SEATTLE
    come on man, lets get serious. Im a huge Seahawks fan. I see SF sending SEA a message here. The Seahawks have been very lucky. Seattle was lucky to beat GB. Needed last min heroics to beat NE. SF coming off a huge loss, I see a big effort from SF tonight. Also Sea has been less that impressive on the road.

    Sea loses by 7+
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  20. 10-18-12 06:29 PM #20
    theyknowthescore
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    matt is right except they really put a hurting on seattle and win by 14 plus
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  21. 10-18-12 06:37 PM #21
    matt1216
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    Quote Originally Posted by theyknowthescore View Post
    matt is right except they really put a hurting on seattle and win by 14 plus
    ya, it sucks cause im a big Hawks fan.... I see SF taking the Seahawks to the woodshed.

    Im sorry, this thread is rediculous
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  22. 10-18-12 09:03 PM #22
    i_pick_winners1
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    Quote Originally Posted by matt1216 View Post
    come on man, lets get serious. Im a huge Seahawks fan. I see SF sending SEA a message here. The Seahawks have been very lucky. Seattle was lucky to beat GB. Needed last min heroics to beat NE. SF coming off a huge loss, I see a big effort from SF tonight. Also Sea has been less that impressive on the road.

    Sea loses by 7+
    Still feel the same way at the half?
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  23. 10-18-12 09:15 PM #23
    i_pick_winners1
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    Oregon on pace to score 172 this game. No big deal.
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  24. 10-18-12 10:05 PM #24
    matt1216
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    Quote Originally Posted by i_pick_winners1 View Post
    Still feel the same way at the half?

    No need for me to say anything here....... I was an idiot and took SF ALt -14.5

    Im a true seahawks fan, with that being said I bet is sunk now. Hope Sea ties it up!


    Bol!
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