1. 10-12-12 10:26 PM #1
    Seaweed
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    I Have A Very Special Gift For Everyone Tonight...

    It will be posted shortly.

    Stay tuned, and if you have time, deposit some money into your sportsbook account in the meantime. I Will post this bet once i lock it in because i do not want the lines to change after everyone takes it at the same time. Act quickly once it's posted, do not even think twice about it. This bet is for Seaweed Nation.
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  2. 10-12-12 10:28 PM #2
    neverstoppers23
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  3. 10-12-12 10:28 PM #3
    jjgold
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    seaweed have you ever managed in big leagues??
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  4. 10-12-12 10:29 PM #4
    Bostongambler
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    Blonde, brunette, or redhead?
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  5. 10-12-12 10:35 PM #5
    Seaweed
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    Here it is. This bet is strictly business. I have been studying it since Monday intensely. I pretty much know every minor detail surrounding this game.

    Risking: $1,000 to win $970


    DALLAS COWBOYS +3.5 @ BALTIMORE RAVENS

    PICK: DALLAS COWBOYS +3.5

    I could write an essay on why this should be the only bet for you this weekend, but i need to get this play out before the line shifts. According to my tested methodology, it has about a 91% chance of hitting.
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  6. 10-12-12 10:44 PM #6
    Resler
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    Quote Originally Posted by Seaweed View Post
    Here it is. This bet is strictly business. I have been studying it since Monday intensely. I pretty much know every minor detail surrounding this game.

    Risking: $1,000 to win $970


    DALLAS COWBOYS +3.5 @ BALTIMORE RAVENS

    PICK: DALLAS COWBOYS +3.5

    I could write an essay on why this should be the only bet for you this weekend, but i need to get this play out before the line shifts. According to my tested methodology, it has about a 91% chance of hitting.
    LOL right around 91%. Pretty much the dumbest thing I have ever heard.
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  7. 10-12-12 10:46 PM #7
    Bostongambler
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    Seaweed u keep going lower and lower. smh

    gl with ur future wagering
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  8. 10-12-12 11:01 PM #8
    Seaweed
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bostongambler View Post
    Seaweed u keep going lower and lower. smh

    gl with ur future wagering
    Boston Gambler, this is no laughing matter. This is a serious wager that i have put a lot of time into. I don't make up numbers. The 91 is what i got when i put together all the information and trends.
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  9. 10-12-12 11:09 PM #9
    Resler
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    Quote Originally Posted by Seaweed View Post
    Boston Gambler, this is no laughing matter. This is a serious wager that i have put a lot of time into. I don't make up numbers. The 91 is what i got when i put together all the information and trends.
    What mathematical equation, or algorithm, or what gave you 91%? It is a complete made up number and ridiculous. I understand you saying I like this play a lot or highly likely this outcome will happen, but to put a statistical probability or percentage on it is just so funny. What correlations did you use to draw that conclusion? what is your confidence interval?
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  10. 10-12-12 11:33 PM #10
    Seaweed
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    Quote Originally Posted by Resler View Post
    What mathematical equation, or algorithm, or what gave you 91%? It is a complete made up number and ridiculous. I understand you saying I like this play a lot or highly likely this outcome will happen, but to put a statistical probability or percentage on it is just so funny. What correlations did you use to draw that conclusion? what is your confidence interval?
    It took me days to arrive at that number. You want me to go over every influential detail? i did the dirty work for all of us and i get accused for it?

    Listen, Resler, i know you want confirmation because this is your money you are investing in this play too. I'll just briefly tell you that differences in the lines on the same event at different books play a major factor. This game is a prime example of a middle where we defeat the books edge by the formula 1-(w+1)/tn. I have a diagram in my room that i use for sports handicapping. It has been proven and tested to be profitable, not perfect. There are no such thing as foolproof system, but this one has worked for 4.5 years now. For this game, i used the diagram which is an important part of my methodology. My methodology gave Dallas +18 points on the factors compared to +2 to the Ravens.
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  11. 10-12-12 11:35 PM #11
    Ghenghis Kahn
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    baltimore -3.5 it is!!!
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  12. 10-12-12 11:37 PM #12
    ProfaneReality
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    Does it bother you that you missed +4 ?
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  13. 10-13-12 12:04 AM #13
    Seaweed
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    Quote Originally Posted by ProfaneReality View Post
    Does it bother you that you missed +4 ?
    Yes, but i couldn't lock it in because i had to cross reference my information from Thursday to make sure it was valid.
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  14. 10-13-12 01:00 AM #14
    Pete0
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    The fix is in.

    BAL wins by 3.

    You heard it here first.
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  15. 10-13-12 01:35 AM #15
    Seaweed
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    I hope everyone locked it in
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  16. 10-13-12 01:50 AM #16
    ssmann
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    like this pick
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  17. 10-13-12 01:55 AM #17
    Seaweed
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    Quote Originally Posted by ssmann View Post
    like this pick
    Finally an educated comment.
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  18. 10-13-12 02:06 AM #18
    The Giant
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    Wow, 91%? This is the highest percentage your methodology has spit out since January 31st, 1993. SuperBowl XXVII, Dallas -6.5 versus Buffalo.

    Lets hope for similar results.
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  19. 10-13-12 02:13 AM #19
    Seaweed
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Giant View Post
    Wow, 91%? This is the highest percentage your methodology has spit out since January 31st, 1993. SuperBowl XXVII, Dallas -6.5 versus Buffalo.

    Lets hope for similar results.

    I would have to check my documents but i believe you could be right. I remember after the Superbowl you called me and told me about the series premiere of the X files coming up. I think that was the time when you bought your new Toshiba Television and invited me over to watch it in the dark.
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  20. 10-13-12 02:19 AM #20
    The Giant
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    Quote Originally Posted by Seaweed View Post
    I would have to check my documents but i believe you could be right. I remember after the Superbowl you called me and told me about the series premiere of the X files coming up. I think that was the time when you bought your new Toshiba Television and invited me over to watch it in the dark.
    Those were magical times, my friend. Speaking of the X-Files, did you know David Duchnovy is a known sex addict? On August 28th, 2008, he checked himself into a clinic. It's been a constant strain on his marriage with actress Tea Leoni. Currently they are split up again. I think we should keep them in our thoughts this weekend as we are watching the Cowboys and Ravens play.
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  21. 10-13-12 02:33 AM #21
    Seaweed
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Giant View Post
    Those were magical times, my friend. Speaking of the X-Files, did you know David Duchnovy is a known sex addict? On August 28th, 2008, he checked himself into a clinic. It's been a constant strain on his marriage with actress Tea Leoni. Currently they are split up again. I think we should keep them in our thoughts this weekend as we are watching the Cowboys and Ravens play.
    Unbelievable. You think you know someone and then they go ahead and do something disgusting like that. Your vast knowledge never ceases to amaze me. I don't need to watch Entertainment Tonight when you have all the dirty gossip secrets nobody else does in the industry. Thanks for letting me know, I'm never watching that show again.
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  22. 10-13-12 03:21 AM #22
    Bbr
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    No rep. No blind tailing. You have to provide the essay. No one knows you here brother.

    I don't hate you, I don't like you. I'm solely accentuating the fact that you need to provide your reasons until u gain some rep and then ppl will be confident to blindly tail and know your not a gambler.

    Educated bettors win. Gamblers lose
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  23. 10-13-12 03:37 AM #23
    pulledclear
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    Sammy Sammy Sammy.
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  24. 10-13-12 08:49 PM #24
    Seaweed
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bbr View Post
    No rep. No blind tailing. You have to provide the essay. No one knows you here brother.

    I don't hate you, I don't like you. I'm solely accentuating the fact that you need to provide your reasons until u gain some rep and then ppl will be confident to blindly tail and know your not a gambler.

    Educated bettors win. Gamblers lose
    I have a big reputation so i don't know what you are talking about. I've been around for years, and many already know me here at SBR.
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  25. 10-13-12 08:53 PM #25
    Bbr
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    You are math deprived. Sports betting is a game of numbers and you're struggling to work out how many months there are in a year.Lol
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  26. 10-13-12 08:59 PM #26
    Seaweed
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bbr View Post
    You are math deprived. Sports betting is a game of numbers and you're struggling to work out how many months there are in a year.L
    ol
    This is not the only site on the internet. When i said i've been around i was referring to the general scene of sports handicapping. I've been capping games for a long time.
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  27. 10-13-12 09:02 PM #27
    onacloud
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    Quote Originally Posted by Seaweed View Post
    Yes, but i couldn't lock it in because i had to cross reference my information from Thursday to make sure it was valid.
    I thought all you had to do was look at the chart on the wall?

    This must be pickwinners
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  28. 10-13-12 09:03 PM #28
    Jrod124
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    Weeder u are a odd duck
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  29. 10-13-12 09:09 PM #29
    Dirty Sanchez
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  30. 10-13-12 09:09 PM #30
    pologq
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    i think cowboys are the play. the ravens should be favored by 5 and they are not. i feel the same about the falcons. i think the falcons line should be higher and its not which makes me wonder.
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  31. 10-13-12 09:09 PM #31
    Seaweed
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jrod124 View Post
    Weeder u are a odd duck
    Thanks. If i was normal, i wouldn't be a winner. I have decided to adapt the odd lifestyle because in order to beat the books you have to go to the deepest measures, which at times sacrificial.
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  32. 10-13-12 09:11 PM #32
    Seaweed
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    Quote Originally Posted by pologq View Post
    i think cowboys are the play. the ravens should be favored by 5 and they are not. i feel the same about the falcons. i think the falcons line should be higher and its not which makes me wonder.
    The Ravens are the trap play of the weekend. Cowboys are always better on the road, we all know that. 58% of the public are on the Ravens ML and the spread. The 3.5 is huge for us. Dallas will cover this one.
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  33. 10-13-12 09:16 PM #33
    homerbush
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    Yes 91%... I don't think any matchup in NFL even ML would ever have a 91% chance of hitting.
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  34. 10-13-12 09:18 PM #34
    homerbush
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    Obviously Seaweed and The Giant are the same poster.
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  35. 10-13-12 09:21 PM #35
    Chimneyfish
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    The chart in my bedroom tells me Baltimore wins by 10.
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