[Beetlejuice]

Hi folks, this is sort of piggybacking off of McDuggly's -350 experiment thread, and his recent success of rolling $100 into $1000. It's an awesome thread that I suggest you follow, because he is already now on his second attempt.

I'm sort of a newb at wagering, however, I've recently discovered under my sportsbook's "game props," second, "adjusted lines and totals." I've had a lot of success this weekend laying down points on games that are -310 and up. For instance, I cashed on Colts +14.5, Redskins +10.5, 49'ers ML, and Seahawks +10.5. The only difference btween mMcDugly and myself, is tat I use a unit system, have steadily been gaining ground, (slowly, albeit surely) and not betting the whole roll each time.

I guess the question I have, is what is the book's incentives to post these highly favored lines that appear to be somewhat sure things? Not sure how their action is evened out by offering these on some games. I know very little about sports, but comparitively speaking, these "adjusted lines," seem surefire, and I just watch the original posted line, (which we all know, can ultimately equate to a coin flip if the handicappers had it right in the first place). and then bet accordingly. It seems too good to be true/easy. What am I missing?

[fishmonger]

Laying that much juice on the adjusted lines will burn you in the long run. Yeah you hit a couple but you better off doing teasers than adjusted lines. Payouts on teasers will be a lot better than paying that much juice on the adjusted line single games. Now if you can pick the plus money adjusted lines at a good rate then that is a different story.

[Beetlejuice]

Laying that much juice on the adjusted lines will burn you in the long run. Yeah you hit a couple but you better off doing teasers than adjusted lines. Payouts on teasers will be a lot better than paying that much juice on the adjusted line single games. Now if you can pick the plus money adjusted lines at a good rate then that is a different story.

Not that I'm trying to rationalize my choice and not heed the advice, but if I'm taking $25 units, and basically betting to win $7 or so each game, (and I AM hitting wins on each game), you're basically saying that the juice is so exorbitant, that it's a lously long run proposition? Forget the adjusted lines, what if I'm basically betting the same way on games that are -300 and up?