1. #1
    No coincidences
    Baseball at The Corner
    No coincidences's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-10
    Posts: 76,300
    Betpoints: 16541

    I love underdogs and fading the public, but I can't take SEA tonight

    I know the Seahawks are off to a good start, they have a good D, it's a tough place to play, just killed Dallas at home, etc., etc. But I don't want Seattle at +3.5. I don't think I'd even want Seattle at +5.5. Looks like a really good spot to square up and take Green Bay.

    Thoughts?
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: PAULYPOKER

  2. #2
    No coincidences
    Baseball at The Corner
    No coincidences's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-10
    Posts: 76,300
    Betpoints: 16541

    I see GB -7.5 is only +170. Is that low, or pretty standard? Seems like it should be higher, especially given the low total.

  3. #3
    celticsboy
    celticsboy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-21-11
    Posts: 736
    Betpoints: 1621

    Gb -3 is the play unless nfl wants to rigged this game too like all the other games that happened on sunday.

  4. #4
    k13
    k13's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-16-10
    Posts: 17,537
    Betpoints: 1830

    Quote Originally Posted by celticsboy View Post
    Gb -3 is the play unless nfl wants to rigged this game too like all the other games that happened on sunday.
    Seattle is the play but I'll still be taking GB most likely.

  5. #5
    lunchbawks
    NB#
    lunchbawks's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-31-10
    Posts: 12,873
    Betpoints: 173

    Seattle ML is the only option for this game

  6. #6
    freakydave
    freakydave's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-23-11
    Posts: 1,106
    Betpoints: 589

    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    Seattle is the play but I'll still be taking GB most likely.
    Hey man I was really counting on SF to take out minny--WTF?
    GB should win this but it is the NFL.

  7. #7
    Brutus84
    Brutus84's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-08-11
    Posts: 5,188
    Betpoints: 402

    GB by 14+ I dont care about how they beat a lousy dallas team or tough at home or have a good D. GB defense will cause some turnovers and Rodgers will finally play like Rodgers.

  8. #8
    k13
    k13's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-16-10
    Posts: 17,537
    Betpoints: 1830

    Quote Originally Posted by freakydave View Post
    Hey man I was really counting on SF to take out minny--WTF?
    GB should win this but it is the NFL.
    I would have told you to stay away if you asked. :/

  9. #9
    compsmoker
    compsmoker's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-27-12
    Posts: 127
    Betpoints: 1550

    I ended up just taking the over 46 at -110. I was leaning towards GB -3 but the payout is -120 so the over just seemed a better option.

    I expect both teams to put up at least 20 so getting that extra 7 FTW seems like a good play. Plus it's great to root for both sides to score. Makes for a very enjoyable game.

  10. #10
    Bbfromgpt
    Cappin
    Bbfromgpt's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-24-12
    Posts: 6,115
    Betpoints: 4429

    Just seems like Vegas is begging all of us to take GB. If I play it it will be Sea or no play. Seattle is the correct play here, but it's hard as hell to take them.

    One thing I like is they can run the ball which is one thing GB can't do and can't stop. Also, Seattle has the secondary to slow Rodgers down.

    Seattle has outrushed their 1st two opponents 149-46.* Green Bay has been outrushed 140-76.*


    Only two plays I'll consider are the Over or Seattle! Good luck guys

  11. #11
    Mercersux
    Mercersux's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-03-12
    Posts: 1,516

    People need to remember also, GB has had since last Thursday to prep for this game. Week plus for game planning, especially when they were the home team in that Thursday game goes a long way. GB 3-0 w/ a 7.6 pt margin of victory avg since 09' when coming off a Thursday game. Jennings i also a go tonight as well.

  12. #12
    Easy-Rider 66
    Easy-Rider 66's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 02-14-12
    Posts: 33,186
    Betpoints: 3353

    Quote Originally Posted by celticsboy View Post
    Gb -3 is the play unless nfl wants to rigged this game too like all the other games that happened on sunday.
    What games do you think were rigged?

  13. #13
    HoulihansTX
    Bowl $ea$on
    HoulihansTX's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-11-09
    Posts: 30,566
    Betpoints: 295

    under

  14. #14
    eatdarich
    Yo Momma's Pimp
    eatdarich's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-21-12
    Posts: 173
    Betpoints: 54

    The Packers are 7-0 SU and ATS when playing on MNF with extra rest

  15. #15
    newbottles
    newbottles's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-22-12
    Posts: 312
    Betpoints: 475

    I sniffed out the 49ers and Steelers trick lines Sunday and avoided those. But I can't resist the Packers tonight. I bought it down to -3 at -123. I am counting on the front seven that shut down Cutler AND the run game, and Rodgers vs Wilson, all well-rested. A healthy Jennings would just be an added bonus.

    I had high conviction betting the Seahawks vs Dallas last week but their home magic is only so potent against a more capable team.

    I am not touching the total on this one.

    With these officials anything goes so who knows.

  16. #16
    tEABAG
    tEABAG's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-09-10
    Posts: 160
    Betpoints: 96

    Do not over think this one. Green Bay is the play.

  17. #17
    freakydave
    freakydave's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-23-11
    Posts: 1,106
    Betpoints: 589

    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    I would have told you to stay away if you asked. :/
    I didn't bet it I just hate the NFC north also rans.

  18. #18
    dante1
    dante1's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 10-31-05
    Posts: 38,640
    Betpoints: 392

    No coincidences, after decades of playing the NFL when in doubt I take the dog. I did that yesterday and won a huge majority of my plays. Late game I said screw it I really like the Ravens and played them both on ml and points. Naturally I lost the points bet. I too love the dogs in the NFL. At the end of the season you might not be a big winner but you definitely won't be a big loser.

  19. #19
    KingJD31
    KingJD31's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-04-11
    Posts: 8,167
    Betpoints: 7042

    Seattle giving up 5 sacks with 11 qb hits, GB 8 sacks 10 qb hits but Seattle only has 2 sacks and GB has 11 plus the Aaron Rodgers factor he will get sacked and then next play throw a td. Love the pack

  20. #20
    KingJD31
    KingJD31's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-04-11
    Posts: 8,167
    Betpoints: 7042

    Seattle I think is num 1 in rush d but I don't see that being much of factor, lynch is the only concern

  21. #21
    Deol
    Deol's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-01-11
    Posts: 1,340
    Betpoints: 5712

    Prolly gonna stay away from this game. Hoping Seattles up by 7ish at half and live bet GB ML for better value.

  22. #22
    R.P. McMurphy
    Update your status
    R.P. McMurphy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-15-12
    Posts: 9,654
    Betpoints: 175

    Kind of a tough game and Seattle is a tough place to play. Right now leaning with the better team though the Pack. I think Seattle may be a little over-valued here after thumping Dallas last week. The public perceives Dallas as a real good team but it simply is not the case. G.B. does not have to shut down Lynch just keep him to an average night and try to disrupt Wilson much as possible on defense. If they have a decent night on D and Rodgers has a big game I don't see Seattle keeping this closer than 7 and maybe even DD win for Pack. If Pack can get out to an early comfy lead on Seattle's defense then it could spell doom for Hawks who won't be able to utilize the running game so much if playing catchup down by 2/3 scores. Just some early thoughts GL everyone!

  23. #23
    sportcap
    sportcap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-03-10
    Posts: 354
    Betpoints: 7133

    ...
    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    I see GB -7.5 is only +170. Is that low, or pretty standard? Seems like it should be higher, especially given the low total.
    Local has it -7.5 +150..hmmmm

  24. #24
    JayLA
    On to the next one...
    JayLA's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-11-12
    Posts: 7,806
    Betpoints: 1219

    I'm looking at the over.

  25. #25
    shift_knob
    shift_knob's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-15-11
    Posts: 426

    i heard jenning's will not play tonight or is banged up? def not 100%

    i dont know how the extra rest will factor into this game as the sample size is small right now. but dallas layed an egg, and ny almost got beat by tb when they had the extra rest.

    looks like -7.5 +150 books are begging for gb money, is it a trap or are we over thinking?

    i got buried yesterday with colts, pits and large on det. so someone help me out

  26. #26
    shift_knob
    shift_knob's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-15-11
    Posts: 426

    wait a min...where te efff are you guys getting -7.5 +150? i see it at .3 in my books

  27. #27
    sportcap
    sportcap's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-03-10
    Posts: 354
    Betpoints: 7133

    This is a alternate spread....it can sometimes be telling...

  28. #28
    Big Bear
    Love your neighbor
    Big Bear's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-01-11
    Posts: 43,253
    Betpoints: 14

    should have went with your gut big fella.

  29. #29
    TwoWays
    TwoWays's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-24-10
    Posts: 13,145
    Betpoints: 3608

    You should have just waited til final like you usually do and then post some kind of trendy "fact".

Top