1. #1
    Raven66
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    Teasing across Zero and other myths

    http://*********************.blogspo...ser-myths.html


    Now that was a good read.....here are some blurbs.............

    If negative, you're looking at a poor tease possibility. For instance, look at teasing from -11.5 or -12 down to -5.5 or -6. That teaser won only 47% of the time, which is 26% less than you need to actually earn money as a leg of a 6 point teaser.

    The best 6 point teaser is teasing RIGHT ACROSS ZERO with a -3.5 or -4 point favorite and making that team a +2 or +2.5 point dog. It's hit 10% more than taking a -2.5 or -3 point favorite and making them a +3 or +3.5 point dog. Typically, you would think "why would I want to tease to +2.5? Wouldn't I want to make sure it was at +3? And you would think so, but based on historical lines, you would be wrong.

  2. #2
    Raven66
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    xxxxxxx.XXXXXXX.cxm/xxxxxxx/xxxxxxx/xxxxxxxs.xxxxxxxl
    Last edited by bigboydan; 09-12-11 at 12:47 PM. Reason: Please refrain from doing this type of thing again. no infraction levied

  3. #3
    RudyRuetigger
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    horrible

  4. #4
    rfr3sh
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    lmao youre so wrong , see wong teaser

  5. #5
    yisman
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    teasing across zero is not "a myth"

    it's also a terrible idea every time, and the reasoning is obvious. You're wasting the points around zero.

  6. #6
    d2bets
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    Teasing -3.5 to +2.5 has to be one of the dumbest gambling ideas of all time. If you don't understand why, then you are hopeless.

  7. #7
    Raven66
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    I read that whole fricken article. I am going to read wong teasers.

  8. #8
    B1GER1C828
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    unreal...

  9. #9
    pavyracer
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    Only time I tease across zero is if the home team is -1.5 and tease it to +4.5.

  10. #10
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    Only time I tease across zero is if the home team is -1.5 and tease it to +4.5.
    You sure you want to admit to that abomination?

  11. #11
    HoulihansTX
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    Teasing across zero is a no no.

  12. #12
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by d2bets View Post
    Teasing -3.5 to +2.5 has to be one of the dumbest gambling ideas of all time. If you don't understand why, then you are hopeless.
    Exactly.

  13. #13
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    Only time I tease across zero is if the home team is -1.5 and tease it to +4.5.
    You are giving away points dude.
    Game can't end on a tie in college, there's like 2 ties every 5 years in pros.
    So you by teasing across zero from 1.5 to 4.5 your only numbers are a 1 point win, or a 1, 2, 3, or 4 point loss.

  14. #14
    pavyracer
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    Quote Originally Posted by d2bets View Post
    You sure you want to admit to that abomination?
    Yes I do. Road teams rarely win by more than 4 points if they are a small dog.

  15. #15
    yisman
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    You are giving away points dude.
    Game can't end on a tie in college, there's like 2 ties every 5 years in pros.
    A lot less than that. Since 1997, there have only been two ties. Two ties in 13 seasons (1998-2010).

    I'd say 1 tie every 5 years would be a more reasonable estimate.

    Teasers are simple. You need to get the maximum value you can for your points. If you tease across zero, or even down to zero, you're hurting yourself. +.5 and -.5 and 0 are worthless.

  16. #16
    Raven66
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    Yesterday I never teased through zero....but I teased SD and Jets down.

  17. #17
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    Yes I do. Road teams rarely win by more than 4 points if they are a small dog.
    You mean like Tampa -1.5, losing the game by 7?

    Don't tease -1.5 across 0. Do consider teasing +1.5 to +2.5 up to +7.5 to +8.5. There is very little difference between 1 or 2 point favorites or dogs. But there is a very big difference getting your teased leg at +8.5 instead of +4.5.

    The numbers simply don't pan out teasing -1.5 to +4.5. Ever!

  18. #18
    d2bets
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    Quote Originally Posted by Raven66 View Post
    Yesterday I never teased through zero....but I teased SD and Jets down.
    I teased SD down too. That line was prime for a teaser.

  19. #19
    JayLA
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    duly noted, makes complete sense but i'm a newb with potential

  20. #20
    jjgold
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    Teasers all math

    Only high level math guys beat them

  21. #21
    yisman
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    Quote Originally Posted by pavyracer View Post
    Yes I do. Road teams rarely win by more than 4 points if they are a small dog.
    One of pavy's dumber posts, and that's saying something.

  22. #22
    LT Profits
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    Only +EV teaser that crosses 0 is 5 Dimes 6-point ties WIN at -105 for +3 to -3.
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: Louisvillekid1

  23. #23
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Only +EV teaser that crosses 0 is 5 Dimes 6-point ties WIN at -105 for +3 to -3.
    Should read from -3 to +3

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