Originally Posted by
stevenash
Disagree 100 percent.
Easiest sport to beat is MLB.
80 percent of my wagers are barking dogs, and the faves I do bet are never more than -125.
Plenty of match up diagnosis.
Start with the starting pitchers, then check the bullpen status.
Then go to lineup versus starting pitcher history, who hits what pitcher hard, what pitcher has trouble with certain teams, what pitcher has their way with certain line ups.
All the data is out there, I do two hours plus homework everyday of the MLB season, crushed it in April and May, cooled down some in August, crushing it this month again, I am 58 percent this season, which may not be eye-popping, but consider most of my bets are bow-wows, I am plus bank.
I don't pretend to do this for a living, I don't, I supplement my income betting bases, I win, I lose, I lose, I win.
MLB can be beat, you need a nice roll to start, and you need to do the work, but like I said, it can be beat, but very few can make a living at it, I am good, and I can't, but I don't want to, I have a career with a pension and benefits, that's a sure thing, a sure thing is not Verlander versus Cook, because a 5-4-3 ending inning DP could hit a pebble or the third base bag for a 3 run double instead of a routine 2 out grounder.