All I see on this forum is how you guys call NFL spreads one of the toughest things to beat. With that being said, wouldn't that make betting the moneyline favorite fairly easy to make money from?
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09-11-12 07:45 PM #1
Shouldn't betting NFL be easy?
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09-11-12 07:46 PM #2
Duggly try it and you will be selling fukkin lemonade in front of your house
Best of luck CuzNomination(s):This post was nominated 4 times . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: MexicanStallion, Domestic, Inkwell77, and Nick Papageorgio
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09-11-12 07:48 PM #3
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09-11-12 07:48 PM #4
Yes absolutely. Especially if you put them into a $6000 if bet....
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09-11-12 07:49 PM #5
Originally Posted by jjgold
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09-11-12 07:52 PM #6
NFL ML's were expected to win 70% of games and won exactly 70% of them.
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09-11-12 07:52 PM #7
I'm 42 years old and have been retired for 4 years. I will not be selling lemonade anytime soon, thank you very much.
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09-11-12 08:00 PM #8
It depends on the ML.
Also, it's easier to win on College football than NFL.
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09-11-12 08:05 PM #9
You have something against lemonade Mcnutty?
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09-11-12 08:18 PM #10
Absolutely not. I'll hire you to bring it bedside every morning if you're interested. Originally Posted by Bostongambler
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09-11-12 08:20 PM #11
it is easy but there is variance so you will not win betting favorites on the ML blindly or doing teasers blindly
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09-11-12 08:39 PM #12
HEY!!!! You trying to pick me up? Sorry, I don't swing that way. Originally Posted by mcduggly
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09-11-12 08:41 PM #13
Ummm you spent the entire summer in France, pretty sure you swing that way. Atleast a little.
Nomination(s):This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: borednaz
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09-11-12 08:46 PM #14
France has skinny woman that smoke cigs. You should of studied harder in grade school.
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09-11-12 09:48 PM #15
Betting NFL moneylines will get you buried. Ask anyone who took the Saints last week. They will tell you
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09-11-12 09:56 PM #16
if you have a huge roll and spot bet a good ML here and there it can be successful, but check out brock landers thread last weekend and you'll witness the exact polar opposite of how its done...betting 3 -500 favs in one weekend is like flushing money down the toilet...forcing yourself to go 3 for 3 is just plain dumb
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09-11-12 10:06 PM #17
I think one of the biggest reasons why so few people make money betting on sports is because they don't understand the Lines. Especially the MoneyLines. For instance... New England is -800 this weekend against Arizona. It's seems like an obvious pick that New England will win right? But let's assume they played 100 times. How many times would New England have to win in order for you to make a profit? In other words... what percent chance do you think New England has of beating Arizona? Originally Posted by mcduggly
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09-11-12 10:23 PM #18
blindly betting ML favs last week -2.5 units, betting the six games with ML's greater than -300 +1 unit.
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09-11-12 11:04 PM #19
.8888889.
More importantly, do you have an edge and if so, how much of one?
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09-12-12 12:10 AM #20
dont overreact to previous week
have giant balls
spot bet big
sweat out games
yell at your wife
dry heave and stare at yourself in the mirror if you lose
profitNomination(s):This post was nominated 3 times . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: icancount2one, Sunde91, and keyboarding
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09-12-12 12:13 AM #21
play 2 team teasers much easyer on the pocket book if you lose
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09-12-12 12:24 AM #22
See people complaining about the NFL and NBA all the time. Last year the NBA was my highest earning sport and I have had profitable years the last two seasons in NFL. College Football and Baseball though...
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09-12-12 12:41 AM #23
Damn I feel behind so far behind you. I am around the same age and I haven't even had my first job yet. Originally Posted by mcduggly
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09-12-12 12:42 AM #24
you want to play the moneyline? buy 49ers.
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09-12-12 01:04 AM #25
McNugget, show us how its done, man!!!
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09-12-12 01:09 AM #26
Originally Posted by coop
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09-12-12 01:20 AM #27
dry heave and stare at yourself in the mirror if you lose
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09-12-12 03:28 PM #28
Originally Posted by coop
That's what I've been doing for the past year haha.
Yea, baseball has sucked for me. I had a great NBA and college basketball season last year though. Originally Posted by Duff85
Haha, well I had to work my ass off for about 12 years and a lot of luck came into play. Turned a chain of HMOs into giants and then sold them to some guy from India for about $34 million. They were actually going under when I took control of them, so all that hard work supposedly paid off. Originally Posted by MeatWad
Haha, I might start a thread where I try to go from either $100 to $1,000 or from $1,000 to $10,000 depending on however much I feel like starting with. I would just place "large" bets on moneyline favorites between -300 and -600 or something. The wife doesn't really like me throwing money around though on this kind of stuff, so it might have to be $100 haha. Originally Posted by DiggityDaggityDo
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09-12-12 05:00 PM #29
Muggles if you just bet ML's you cannot beat NFL
Lines too tight
League pretty even
So hard even to go 4-0 with ML's
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09-12-12 05:28 PM #30
another point to examine: each week there are X amount of college football games. College football, having so many games, is harder to monitor as a whole by the books- or another way to look at it, you can find the hidden gem a little easier with there being so many games. Every week in the NFL, there are much fewer games. They got those few games strapped TIGHT, and just when you think you have them, I'd advise you to bet the opposite of your guess =), all kidding aside, BOL- as long as its fun for you, then you are doing the right thing (excluding hard drugs that kill you overtime and excluding psychopaths that harm others for fun). cheers !!
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09-12-12 10:11 PM #31
Haha I like the numerous different nicknames I've received in this thread alone.
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