1. 09-11-12 07:34 AM #1
    LT Profits
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    NFL - Week 2

    SUNDAY, 9/16
    Colts +105 ML (5 Dimes)

    MONDAY, 9/17
    Broncos +3.5 -124 (Heritage)

    YTD: 4-1, +2.90
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  2. 09-11-12 07:52 AM #2
    sweep
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    With ya on the colts, also like STL this weekend +pts
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  3. 09-12-12 12:27 PM #3
    LT Profits
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    2 Sunday Additions

    SUNDAY, 9/16
    Colts +105 ML (5 Dimes)
    Chiefs +3.5 -123 (Heritage)
    Jaguars +7.5 -115 (Rebate Wager)

    MONDAY, 9/17
    Broncos +3.5 -124 (Heritage)
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  4. 09-12-12 12:33 PM #4
    p19101
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    SUNDAY, 9/16
    Colts +105 ML (5 Dimes)
    Chiefs +3.5 -123 (Heritage)
    Jaguars +7.5 -115 (Rebate Wager)

    MONDAY, 9/17
    Broncos +3.5 -124 (Heritage)
    Like all of those bets.

    But I might opt for Broncos ML and Chiefs ML if I touch those games.
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  5. 09-13-12 01:38 AM #5
    PRIMO99
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    San francisco .......

    They win this game 93x out of 100....

    Im 'key'ing' this game at 0.5 with 6 games teased (all 2 gamers)vs the -320 which the line has moved to...
    They made 'captain rodgers' anxious, in his backyard !!
    Might i remind you that green bay has lost 1 in last 20 at home !! Not inc. Playoffs...
    Defensive technique and pressure detroit will endure harshly at primetime this sunday

    detroit , no mobility in pocket, fresh gore, manningham, and moss,
    they make statement to the world,
    san fran wins handidly,
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  6. 09-13-12 02:00 PM #6
    fitguy67
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    Quote Originally Posted by PRIMO99 View Post
    They win this game 93x out of 100....
    Meaning there's value for you at any book odds -1328 or better

    (don't mind me, Primo...I'm just being silly...and a calculator was unfortunately nearby)
    Last edited by fitguy67; 09-13-12 at 02:04 PM.
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  7. 09-14-12 07:21 AM #7
    LT Profits
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    1 Sunday Add

    SUNDAY, 9/16
    Colts +105 ML (5 Dimes)
    Chiefs +3.5 -123 (Heritage)
    Jaguars +7.5 -115 (Rebate Wager)
    Redskins / Rams UNDER 44 -110 (5 Dimes)

    MONDAY, 9/17
    Broncos +3.5 -124 (Heritage)
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  8. 09-14-12 07:29 AM #8
    Big Bear
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    Very interesting picks, not what I would have expected at all
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  9. 09-14-12 08:28 AM #9
    daimoshokage
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    This idiot LT don't know shit about NFL.. or any other sports...
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  10. 09-14-12 10:26 AM #10
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by daimoshokage View Post
    Lock: 0-5

    This idiot LT don't know shit about NFL.. or any other sports...
    Show me one losing record right now. 4-1 in NFL, 11-8 in CFB, +46.32 in MLB. Hmmmm?
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  11. 09-14-12 10:50 AM #11
    TC Woods
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Show me one losing record right now. 4-1 in NFL, 11-8 in CFB, +46.32 in MLB. Hmmmm?
    why do you respond to that fukken moron?
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: sergiudec
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  12. 09-14-12 10:59 AM #12
    dmiles1021
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    yeah that guy is an idiot LT, but I see you like Jax +7.5....that worries me I have Houston -1.5 at the end of a two team teaser (had Baltimore teased to -1) for a nice chunk of change....anyway JAX wins outright and I lose my teaser???
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  13. 09-14-12 11:41 AM #13
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by dmiles1021 View Post
    yeah that guy is an idiot LT, but I see you like Jax +7.5....that worries me I have Houston -1.5 at the end of a two team teaser (had Baltimore teased to -1) for a nice chunk of change....anyway JAX wins outright and I lose my teaser???
    Not impossible for Texans to lose outright, but I don't think they will. Still, just that doubt would prevent me from teasing them.
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  14. 09-14-12 11:42 AM #14
    LT Profits
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    Another Sunday Addition

    SUNDAY, 9/16
    Colts +105 ML (5 Dimes)
    Chiefs +3.5 -123 (Heritage)
    Jaguars +7.5 -115 (Rebate Wager)
    Texans / Jaguars UNDER 41 -110 (Bookmaker)
    Redskins / Rams UNDER 44 -110 (5 Dimes)

    MONDAY, 9/17
    Broncos +3.5 -124 (Heritage)
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  15. 09-14-12 12:04 PM #15
    Rich Boy
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    LT only takes dogs and unders

    Anyone can make money doing that shit.

    Take every under with a little bit of line shopping and you cant lose...
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  16. 09-14-12 12:14 PM #16
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Rich Boy View Post
    LT only takes dogs and unders

    Anyone can make money doing that shit.

    Take every under with a little bit of line shopping and you cant lose...
    Ah, if it were only that simple.
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  17. 09-14-12 12:25 PM #17
    fitguy67
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    Quote Originally Posted by Rich Boy View Post
    LT only takes dogs and unders

    Anyone can make money doing that shit.
    Take every under with a little bit of line shopping and you cant lose...
    Great thesis for a research project. Backtest it thoroughly for the last several seasons, and report back to us...errr...major complication: that "little bit of line shopping" is impossible to quantify as it's an acquired art...

    Guess you're down to "putting up or shutting up" (more formally known in academics as "action research")...do it & document it for an ENTIRE MLB season and report back to us (about 13 months from now) on just how easy/profitable it is...

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    Last edited by fitguy67; 09-14-12 at 12:34 PM.
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  18. 09-14-12 12:26 PM #18
    Rich Boy
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    History doesnt lie guy, unders in every sport are money cant fkn lose
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  19. 09-14-12 12:56 PM #19
    fitguy67
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    Quote Originally Posted by Rich Boy View Post
    History doesnt lie guy, unders in every sport are money cant fkn lose
    ...agreed...as are dogs...the only problem is how to operationalize and capitalize on that general observation in the real world with real "numbers-of-games-in-the-day-to-follow/time-in-the-day-to-do-it/money-in-the-accounts-to-play-them-all" constraints...

    capiche?...it's not nearly as easy as it sounds...so, i repeat my challenge...

    if you think it's so easy...then, do it/document it/report your results...

    till then refrain from naive "it's so easy...all you have to do is______" musings...

    if you start a thread, i'll follow with interest

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    "It's so easy to make money in business...ALL YOU HAVE TO DO IS....buy low/sell hi...collect early/pay late...etc. etc."...easy to say, hard (not impossible...just HARD=the exact opposite of "easy") to operationalize
    Last edited by fitguy67; 09-14-12 at 01:03 PM.
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  20. 09-14-12 02:40 PM #20
    Blackroc78
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    Quote Originally Posted by Rich Boy View Post
    LT only takes dogs and unders

    Anyone can make money doing that shit.

    Take every under with a little bit of line shopping and you cant lose...

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  21. 09-14-12 04:40 PM #21
    Timmay
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    Prick likes over in the Wash game from what I remember.

    I usually like your picks LT. I'm kind of confused on this card, and just haven't done enough research to feel comfortable on any game.

    I think A.P. is still healthy, so I would lean more on Minny until Indy gets more comfortable w/their new team.
    I also feel the same way w/ATL. Anyways, best of luck.

    Keep them picks coming
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  22. 09-14-12 04:52 PM #22
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Timmay View Post
    Prick likes over in the Wash game from what I remember.

    I usually like your picks LT. I'm kind of confused on this card, and just haven't done enough research to feel comfortable on any game.

    I think A.P. is still healthy, so I would lean more on Minny until Indy gets more comfortable w/their new team.
    I also feel the same way w/ATL. Anyways, best of luck.

    Keep them picks coming
    Here is some analysis. http://www.sportsbookreview.com/nfl-football...eek-2-a-26579/
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  23. 09-14-12 09:08 PM #23
    bobbyk1133
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    Are you worried about no Dwight Freeney or do you think Pagano's scheme can compensate? The man-to-man approach in the secondary is so completely different than what we've seen from IND's defense in quite some time. Indy certainly could be undervalued ...

    I like the Jags in week 1, but no Smith, Cox on D and missing 3 starters on O-line? Not sure they can get away with that against Texans.

    Really like KC and DEN picks...I'm surprised books allowed us the hook at an affordable price.
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  24. 09-14-12 09:10 PM #24
    Capnitrite
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    Winners?
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  25. 09-14-12 09:15 PM #25
    k13
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    Chiefs season will end if they don't win on Sunday.

    Don't look good right now.
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  26. 09-14-12 09:28 PM #26
    bobbyk1133
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    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    Chiefs season will end if they don't win on Sunday.

    Don't look good right now.
    Agree I think KC is in a semi-must-win situation if they hope to be relevant this season. Their division is too tough to let games like this slide. Having Flowers and Hali back is HUGE. No Jones and Jackson hurts an already erratic offense too. KC wins this game as long as Cassel doesn't feel the need to be a hero...
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  27. 09-14-12 09:35 PM #27
    k13
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    Quote Originally Posted by bobbyk1133 View Post
    Agree I think KC is in a semi-must-win situation if they hope to be relevant this season. Their division is too tough to let games like this slide. Having Flowers and Hali back is HUGE. No Jones and Jackson hurts an already erratic offense too. KC wins this game as long as Cassel doesn't feel the need to be a hero...
    If they lose they have @Saints, San Diego, Baltimore, @tampa, oakland, @SD, @Pit, looks ugly.

    I think Bills win still somehow.
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  28. 09-14-12 09:51 PM #28
    Vinnie Paz
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    Feeling the colts a lot too, getting +115, how are vikings even favoured??
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  29. 09-15-12 12:01 AM #29
    Goat Milk
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    you always bet the stupidest games
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  30. 09-15-12 02:26 AM #30
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    you always bet the stupidest games
    Yep, that's why I usually finish + units. And what exactly are the stupid games?
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  31. 09-15-12 02:31 AM #31
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by k13 View Post
    Chiefs season will end if they don't win on Sunday.

    Don't look good right now.
    Chiefs had 5 guys inactive on defense last week, there is a chance all 5 could play this week but the 2 most important ones will definitely play. Offense was actually OK vs. Atlanta, almost 400 yards. Was 20-17 at half before lack of defensive depth caught up vs. Falcons' hurry-up.
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  32. 09-15-12 04:42 AM #32
    Timmay
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    You guys like Indy that much? I can't see how people can't see Minny being a 2 pt. favorite here.

    Way more believable than Indy being like a 3 pt fave. I think the number is spot on.

    Isn't A.P. playing? Vikings should win by 9-10???
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  33. 09-15-12 04:58 AM #33
    cankid
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    the guy s winning and people are still pissed, go figure.
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  34. 09-15-12 05:07 AM #34
    Vinnie Paz
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    Why are colts +140 now??????
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  35. 09-15-12 07:09 AM #35
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vinnie Paz View Post
    Why are colts +140 now??????
    Wish I would have waited. Apparently a lot of people share the sentiment of some posters here.
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