1. 09-07-12 11:03 PM #1
    C-Gold
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    Which HOME DOGS will win week 1?

    Week 1 home dogs
    Titans +5.5 vs Patriots
    Cleveland +10 vs Eagles
    Kansas City +2.5 vs Atlanta
    Tampa +1.5 vs Carolina
    Arizona +2.5 vs Seattle

    History says that these home dogs go 3-2.

    Just thinking out loud - look at the QB disparity
    2nd year QB < Tom Brady
    rookie QB < Vick
    Matt Cassell < Matt Ryan
    Freeman < Newton
    Kolb vs a rookie qb ???

    Betting percentages
    Pats 74%
    Eagles 62%
    Atlanta 66%
    Carolina 70%
    Seattle 67%

    In every instance I'd take the road favorite head coach EXCEPT I like Wisenhunt better than Pete C.

    Other observations
    Titans defense is better than the Pats defense
    Pats haven't been as good on the road the past few years
    Eagles were underachievers last year - do they think they can just show up and win?
    Double digit dogs at home win at a very good clip, don't forget the backdoor covers.
    Vick has about a 25% chance of getting knocked out of every game this year.
    KC is a very tough place to play, Falcons are not nearly as good on the road
    Seattle is laying points starting a rookie on the road

    Jeff Fisher became coach of the Rams because he liked Bradford as a franchise QB but he strongly considered the Bucs because he said that the team was a lot more talented than their record and that they'd be easier to improve than other teams. Raheem Morris was horrible head coach - so bad you only see one that bad a few times per decade.
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  2. 09-07-12 11:11 PM #2
    Huego
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    C-Gold, good to see you posting. You are very knowledgeable when it comes to the NFL and I've been reading your thoughts for years on various forums.

    I like the Cardinals and the Chiefs. I think both should win outright.

    GL with your plays.
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  3. 09-08-12 09:10 AM #3
    C-Gold
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    Quote Originally Posted by Huego View Post
    C-Gold, good to see you posting. You are very knowledgeable when it comes to the NFL and I've been reading your thoughts for years on various forums.

    I like the Cardinals and the Chiefs. I think both should win outright.

    GL with your plays.
    Thanks.

    Another thing. Andy Reid Eagles teams have a history of starting off SLOW.
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  4. 09-08-12 11:18 AM #4
    calmeat
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    have to say out of those games ARI seems to be the most likely to win. Dont see KC beating ATL. TEN game is scary with that line drop i still think NE wins at least by 3.
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  5. 09-08-12 11:46 AM #5
    SteveRyan
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    Me personally, I think it's safer to bet totals during these iffy early season games.

    I'm fairly convinced that a majority of this weekends games will go under.
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  6. 09-08-12 03:05 PM #6
    chopperocker
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    Matt Ryan is 0-4 SUATS in Road Openers, 1-5 SUATS on Road in first 3 weeks
    Matt Cassel is 6-1 ATS as Home Dog

    KAN +2.5 w/ML sprinkle
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  7. 09-08-12 03:09 PM #7
    onlooker
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    Chiefs, Cardinals, and Buccaneers. All have a good shot to win SU.

    Cardinals are starting Skelton in week 1. Just a FYI.
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  8. 09-08-12 03:18 PM #8
    meader99
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    Chiefs and Bucs.
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  9. 09-08-12 04:19 PM #9
    JohnBlaze
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    Titans shock the world! Pats look brutal in preseason and all the fights isnt good.
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  10. 09-08-12 05:51 PM #10
    HardCore
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    Lol who doesn't look brutal in the preseason
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  11. 09-08-12 06:32 PM #11
    rwd201
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    None!
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  12. 09-09-12 08:28 AM #12
    xraygord
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    Quote Originally Posted by Huego View Post
    C-Gold, good to see you posting. You are very knowledgeable when it comes to the NFL and I've been reading your thoughts for years on various forums.

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  13. 09-09-12 08:40 AM #13
    2daBank
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    luv Bucs teased and also ml...
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  14. 09-09-12 08:43 AM #14
    NardVa
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    The Chiefs and Cards have the best chance to pull the upset.
    Last edited by NardVa; 09-09-12 at 08:47 AM.
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  15. 09-09-12 08:44 AM #15
    agharah1
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    I can't figure out why an unstable team like the Eagles are such a large and gaining favorite. The Browns could be a 6-win team this year. If the Pats don't win this game today they don't make the playoffs. Fade Jake Locker, he's like a less talented, less accurate Tim Tebow.

    Alex Smith and Matt Stafford will regress this year.
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  16. 09-09-12 08:46 AM #16
    p19101
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    Quote Originally Posted by agharah1 View Post
    I can't figure out why an unstable team like the Eagles are such a large and gaining favorite. The Browns could be a 6-win team this year. If the Pats don't win this game today they don't make the playoffs. Fade Jake Locker, he's like a less talented, less accurate Tim Tebow.

    Alex Smith and Matt Stafford will regress this year.
    Locker will be much improved since last year, that being said I have no opinion on the game.
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  17. 09-09-12 09:10 AM #17
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by agharah1 View Post
    I can't figure out why an unstable team like the Eagles are such a large and gaining favorite. The Browns could be a 6-win team this year. If the Pats don't win this game today they don't make the playoffs. Fade Jake Locker, he's like a less talented, less accurate Tim Tebow.

    Alex Smith and Matt Stafford will regress this year.

    no opinion on gm but this is str8 ignorance...
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  18. 09-09-12 09:32 AM #18
    HOT WINGS
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    Like the Bucs and chiefs a bit.
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  19. 09-09-12 09:35 AM #19
    House
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    Bucs , not gonna happen ...come on lol ..... KC imo, Im on Seattle and Carolina
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