1. #36
    Sunde91
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    These guys are so good they take a "sharp" play with the Panthers, with basically split action so no fading public, and it gets blown out.

  2. #37
    pulledclear
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sunde91 View Post
    http://espn.go.com/nfl/picks

    12 of 12 at espn took the giants. Jeesus. Some guy on ESPN yesterday said Giants had a 90% chance to win






    Should be a rule to fade any play under a 4.5 pt spread where 8 of 12 take the same side

    Already loved these plays but the ones that fit this week

    Tampa
    Cards
    Pitt

    getting +money on all


  3. #38
    KingJD31
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    All were on saints,all on niners,all but 1 on colts all but one on lions. Now they are all own balt. Really considering using this

  4. #39
    sneakerhead
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    Quote Originally Posted by sneakerhead View Post
    Correct me if I am wrong but these plays seem to qualify with the current lines:
    Giants
    Seahawks
    Patriots
    Raiders
    Broncos
    Dolphins (push ats)
    Jaguars
    Titans
    Browns
    The bolded teams won SU. The underlined teams covered spread.

    SU last week if u bet ML should be ~ +4.06
    ATS should be ~ +3.8
    Last week was inconsistent though cause of refs and a lot of home teams covered. Lets see how this week goes, this is what falls into criteria:

    Bills
    Vikings
    Chiefs
    Jets
    Jaguars
    Bears

  5. #40
    ElCapitan
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    Quote Originally Posted by sneakerhead View Post
    Bills
    Vikings
    Chiefs
    Jets
    Jaguars
    Bears
    I like Vikings, Jets, and Bears to win SU. Also like Bills but staying away from KC and JAX.

  6. #41
    bigsmitty
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ghenghis Kahn View Post
    the sad thing is the public listen to these goofs and get buried week after week...
    Good stuff here. Like CLE, SEA, DEN, NYG. Remember the broadcasters are there primarily to be liked by the public so they'll spout back the basic public perception to be popular...Cheers

  7. #42
    Full Time Hobo
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    Funny stuff. This the first year you've been doing this?

  8. #43
    HardCore
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    on some real sh*t i wonder how many of them acually gamble i mean with all thier resources you cant tell me thier not raping books

  9. #44
    GunShard
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    So for Week 4, fade the spread on their unanimous decision. Basically fading the public.

    Fade the following spreads:

    Ravens
    Falcons
    Patriots
    49ers
    Texans
    Broncos
    Cardinals
    Bengals
    Packers

  10. #45
    Rous
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    NOOOO!!!! has to be a spread of 4.5 or less and at 8 least 8 out of 12 on the side. Read the ENTIRE thread before you throw plays and opinions out your aceeeeeee. Thanks.

  11. #46
    Sunde91
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    Sneakerhead's units are right on

    After 3 weeks

    14-7 +13.26 SU
    14-6-1 +7.4 ATS

    The spread came into play in 3 games

    Rams are an excellent play and I can't believe 5 of them picked em this week. Not lovin this card but the system dont give a shit

  12. #47
    ZetaPsi808
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    sunde solid angles

    i might blindly fade these fools in week 4

  13. #48
    paco
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    Every espn analysts picked Houston, Sunde: does this theory prevail tonight?

  14. #49
    PromiseLand
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    I thought I would be on the list with my 0-5 posted plays yesterday. I guess I can always dream...

  15. #50
    testertips
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    Quote Originally Posted by paco View Post
    Every espn analysts picked Houston, Sunde: does this theory prevail tonight?
    cbs 100% on houston to cover too

  16. #51
    paco
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    Quote Originally Posted by testertips View Post
    cbs 100% on houston to cover too

  17. #52
    paco
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    Quote Originally Posted by testertips View Post
    cbs 100% on houston to cover too
    And it continues,

  18. #53
    testertips
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    Quote Originally Posted by paco View Post
    And it continues,

  19. #54
    sneakerhead
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    didnt keep track this week but quick calculations:
    ATS: 3-2 (+.8 Units)
    ML: 2-3 (-.5 Units)

  20. #55
    NYSportsGuy210
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    What website can I get these picks on?

  21. #56
    leetreaper
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    cbs, it was mentioned a million times here...

  22. #57
    sneakerhead
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    Quote Originally Posted by NYSportsGuy210 View Post
    What website can I get these picks on?
    http://espn.go.com/nfl/picks

  23. #58
    NYSportsGuy210
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    Quote Originally Posted by sneakerhead View Post
    Thanks sneaker. I Googled "CBS NFL Football Picks Week 5" too.

    I got this link: http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/feature...s/expert/picks

  24. #59
    leetreaper
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    Quote Originally Posted by NYSportsGuy210 View Post
    Thanks sneaker. I Googled "CBS NFL Football Picks Week 5" too.

    I got this link: http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/feature...s/expert/picks
    Thats the one, click on college football, ull get the cfb picks as well...

  25. #60
    NYSportsGuy210
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    Quote Originally Posted by leetreaper View Post
    Thats the one, click on college football, ull get the cfb picks as well...
    Are the CBS guys good fades for college football though?

  26. #61
    sneakerhead
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    Quote Originally Posted by NYSportsGuy210 View Post
    Are the CBS guys good fades for college football though?
    i didnt track this year, last year one dude was pretty solid though

  27. #62
    leetreaper
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    Quote Originally Posted by NYSportsGuy210 View Post
    Are the CBS guys good fades for college football though?
    College is pretty easy, st8forward, fading NFL is a better idea if u want to do that...

  28. #63
    Sunde91
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    I think CBS guys have a much better clue. Their ATS numbers for sure aren't bad enough to fade.

    Week 4 to be literal Miami moved to 4 so count
    2-5 -1.8 SU
    3-4 -1.4 ATS

    Week 5
    2-3 -.5 SU
    3-2 +.8 ATS

    Overall
    18-15 +10.96 SU
    20-12-1 +6.8 ATS

    Spread came into play in 5 of 32 games

    I don't remember or care to comeback and track consistently so Sneaker feel free if it comes to mind.

  29. #64
    NYSportsGuy210
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    Okay so only play games that have spreads of 4.5 or lower and fade the ESPN guys when 8 or more of the 12 are on a certain team SU.

    Got it. When do their picks come out....every Wednesday?

  30. #65
    PAYTON20
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    It's actually crossed my mind that ESPN and popular media is working in direct conjunction with the books because of how often they're dead wrong.

    It's almost as if they promote a losing play at times

  31. #66
    Sunde91
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    All picks should be up by Thursday.

    Profit in the NFL is profit and I'm confident fading them any number of ways wings long term because they are the ultimate perception meter. They live week to week and only buy teams when they're high and sell when they're low. It's reflected in inflated lines that have added value.

    It's better than fading public %s. An example is Giants/Pathers with split action, yet they all took Panthers. Why? Because Panthers were off a win over Saints, a team they still think is elite, so they believe Panthers are super legit. While Giants were off a sloppy win vs Tampa, so they suck.

  32. #67
    hockey216
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    you could just wait for the nba playoffs and fade michael wilbon. the guy is an auto-fade.

  33. #68
    Thor4140
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    Quote Originally Posted by PAYTON20 View Post
    It's actually crossed my mind that ESPN and popular media is working in direct conjunction with the books because of how often they're dead wrong.

    It's almost as if they promote a losing play at times
    that crossed my mind fifteen years aggo but try convincing nitwits of this. That ticker is another thing to suck u in on a bet. This country is great for this kind of sneaky shit. Remember Kramer giving out stock picks and getting caught misleading people into buyin AIG? Fade those stock shows also.

  34. #69
    The Seer
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sunde91 View Post
    Profit in the NFL is profit and I'm confident fading them any number of ways wings long term because they are the ultimate perception meter. They live week to week and only buy teams when they're high and sell when they're low. It's reflected in inflated lines that have added value.
    listen up boys, Sunde gets it

  35. #70
    jjgold
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    You have to out guess them

    Real simple

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