1. #1
    acl123
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    Somebody tell me how the Tam/Oak game doesnt go over 8

    There is no logical explanation for this to be + money

  2. #2
    LT Profits
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    Well, they are two of the three worst hitting teams in baseball. That said, no play for me, just a tiny lean to the Over.

  3. #3
    acl123
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Well, they are two of the three worst hitting teams in baseball. That said, no play for me, just a tiny lean to the Over.
    Well that seems pretty logical.

  4. #4
    ChalkyDog
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    HA! Just played the under -115.

  5. #5
    boeing power
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    Can't fade you here kid

    Coin flip

  6. #6
    Bob Loblaw
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Well, they are two of the three worst hitting teams in baseball. That said, no play for me, just a tiny lean to the Over.
    With two of the three best bullpens in baseball and one of the best under parks out there that has seen 13 straight games finish with less than the 9 runs needed tonight
    Last edited by Bob Loblaw; 08-23-12 at 05:42 PM.

  7. #7
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bob Loblaw View Post
    With two of the three best bullpens in baseball and one of the best under parks out there
    They are in Tampa, not in Oakland. Oakland is the best under park in the AL. Tampa is fairly neutral I think, reason for the unders is shitty offense.

  8. #8
    ChalkyDog
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bob Loblaw View Post
    With two of the three best bullpens in baseball and one of the best under parks out there that has seen 13 straight games finish with less than the 9 runs needed tonight
    This makes me fell better. Now I can say I capped the game.

    Too bad it was after I placed the bet.

  9. #9
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    They are in Tampa, not in Oakland. Oakland is the best under park in the AL. Tampa is fairly neutral I think, reason for the unders is shitty offense.
    Should say combo of shitty offense and good Tampa pitching.

  10. #10
    acl123
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    The total has gone OVER in 10 of Oakland's last 13 games when playing Tampa Bay

  11. #11
    Bob Loblaw
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    They are in Tampa, not in Oakland. Oakland is the best under park in the AL. Tampa is fairly neutral I think, reason for the unders is shitty offense.
    The Under is 89-47-7 (65%) in Tampa over the last 2 years. Don't have the numbers from 3 years ago in front of me but that was another under year if I'm not mistaken.

  12. #12
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by acl123 View Post
    There is no logical explanation for this to be + money

    The same way the Mets with a AA scrub pitcher against a gas can named Chatwood with an ERA of over 5 went way under.

  13. #13
    PickWinnerAllDay
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    overs are square bets in all situations

  14. #14
    Bob Loblaw
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Should say combo of shitty offense and good Tampa pitching.
    The Under is 71-66-7 away from Tampa in that same timeframe. The park has something to do with it.

  15. #15
    tatddy
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    Quote Originally Posted by PickWinnerAllDay View Post
    overs are square bets in all situations
    Not this year. Past few years yes. But not this year. Too man bad pens out there.

  16. #16
    PickWinnerAllDay
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    Cobb's K per 9 rate at home is like 9, on road it is like 4.5... Just strange to see shit like that consistently.

  17. #17
    PickWinnerAllDay
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    Quote Originally Posted by tatddy View Post
    Not this year. Past few years yes. But not this year. Too man bad pens out there.
    This year has been my best unders year. Have improved last 3 seasons though. Would like to keep that going indefinitely, but unlikely haha

  18. #18
    tatddy
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    Quote Originally Posted by PickWinnerAllDay View Post
    This year has been my best unders year. Have improved last 3 seasons though. Would like to keep that going indefinitely, but unlikely haha
    I'm not saying you personally haven't been successful. I'm just stating that there is value in overs this year when, in prior years, they have been a complete stay away for me.

  19. #19
    acl123
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    Picker i dare you to fade this.

  20. #20
    PickWinnerAllDay
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    Quote Originally Posted by acl123 View Post
    Picker i dare you to fade this.
    One bet tonight, Phils/reds under7, will enjoy watching the game as both pitchers are fun to watch. If it loses, it loses. I like putting my money in the hand of cy young candidate pitchers and less than scary offenses.

  21. #21
    tatddy
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    Quote Originally Posted by PickWinnerAllDay View Post
    One bet tonight, Phils/reds under7, will enjoy watching the game as both pitchers are fun to watch. If it loses, it loses. I like putting my money in the hand of cy young candidate pitchers and less than scary offenses.
    Not to mention the + under ump behind the dish.

  22. #22
    acl123
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    Quote Originally Posted by PickWinnerAllDay View Post
    One bet tonight, Phils/reds under7, will enjoy watching the game as both pitchers are fun to watch. If it loses, it loses. I like putting my money in the hand of cy young candidate pitchers and less than scary offenses.
    Good luck picker

  23. #23
    jbart28
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    Tyson Ross will give up 5.

    Reddick and Cespedes will get Cobb and he will give up 3.

    The bullpen is a freeroll to victory lane

  24. #24
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bob Loblaw View Post
    The Under is 89-47-7 (65%) in Tampa over the last 2 years. Don't have the numbers from 3 years ago in front of me but that was another under year if I'm not mistaken.
    Yes but look at the pitching they have had, Is there anything specific about the Trop that should make it a pitcher's park?

  25. #25
    Bob Loblaw
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Yes but look at the pitching they have had, Is there anything specific about the Trop that should make it a pitcher's park?
    They bring the same team with them on the road. Their road era is almost a run higher, same thing last year. Offensively they hit 20 points better on the road, same thing last year. I don't know what it is exactly about the Trop but there's something.

  26. #26
    PickWinnerAllDay
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Yes but look at the pitching they have had, Is there anything specific about the Trop that should make it a pitcher's park?
    Attendance maybe.

  27. #27
    boeing power
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    The trop has a large foul ground that favors pitchers overall.

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  29. #29
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by boeing power View Post
    Thanks. I am VERY surprised that Pittsburgh and San Francisco are below Petco.

  30. #30
    boeing power
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Thanks. I am VERY surprised that Pittsburgh and San Francisco are below Petco.
    Lt,
    those stats were only for 2012 so not a huge sample size.

    But the trop was 29th in 2011
    and 30th in 2010

  31. #31
    ChalkyDog
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    Crazy, can't believe the trop is that pitcher friendly.

    And agreed with LT, how the hell is pittsburg more hitter friendly than the beast that is Petco?

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