1. 09-14-12 08:10 PM #71
    Dexter
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    Quote Originally Posted by doublecreek View Post
    DEX--this would be dallas this week--so the play would be Seattle to cover this with 80% confidence
    nice - sea is an A2..waiting for hopefully 4/4.5
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  2. 09-15-12 01:37 AM #72
    ProfessorGoatduk
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    Dex I think the Houston/J'ville game qualifies as an A4 play???
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  3. 09-15-12 04:44 AM #73
    Timmay
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    Quote Originally Posted by doublecreek View Post
    Also the skins were dog winners now road favorites--so the Rams should get the nod as well--hmm maybe parlay the two

    Or just take both as a home dog on the ML and hope just one hits
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  4. 09-15-12 08:32 AM #74
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    Quote Originally Posted by ProfessorGoatduk View Post
    Dex I think the Houston/J'ville game qualifies as an A4 play???
    yeah - i booked already...look back a page on post 58.
    Thanks for looking out. An extra set of eyes is needed.
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  5. 09-15-12 09:41 AM #75
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dexter View Post
    Sunday 9/16:

    (3u) Jaguars +9 (A4)
    (2u) Over Saints/Panthers 50.5
    (1u) Giants -7
    (3u) Seahawks +3.5 (A2)
    (1u) Rams +3.5
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  6. 09-15-12 04:06 PM #76
    ProfessorGoatduk
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    Doxshund, where did you get that % from? Is it something you researched on your own?
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  7. 09-15-12 09:52 PM #77
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    (1u) Over Bills/Chiefs 44.5
    (1u) Panthers +3
    (1u) Under Raiders/Dolphins 39
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  8. 09-15-12 11:56 PM #78
    Goat Milk
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    GL Dexter.

    80% confidence DC?

    Demarcus Ware Ratliff and Spencer are gonna eat that 5'9 rookie QB. Dallas is gonna play 1 on 1 coverage all day and blitz Wilson on every play and force him to make a throw which he can but with 6'4 guys coming at you as big as Ware....


    Seattle is in trouble tomorrow....

    Dallas defense one of the best in NFL this year.
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  9. 09-15-12 11:57 PM #79
    rumnblack
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    Like the Raider under, good luck
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  10. 09-16-12 12:27 AM #80
    bhodgin
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    Dex what's your thought behind the Seattle pick?

    I'm leaning towards buying a point on both the Texans (from -7 to -6) then on Dallas (from -3.5 to -2.5). I honestly don't see the Jags beating the Texans, defense is to stout. And rookie qb Wilson will be eaten alive, bump and run on the outside and a heavy blitz is what I'd expect
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  11. 09-16-12 03:25 AM #81
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    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    GL Dexter.

    80% confidence DC?

    Demarcus Ware Ratliff and Spencer are gonna eat that 5'9 rookie QB. Dallas is gonna play 1 on 1 coverage all day and blitz Wilson on every play and force him to make a throw which he can but with 6'4 guys coming at you as big as Ware....


    Seattle is in trouble tomorrow....

    Dallas defense one of the best in NFL this year.
    this is sports gambling - stop putting so much emphasis on individual match-ups.

    it doesnt surprise me that you like a team like dallas. they have very sexy individual players all over the field.
    the good thing for seattle backers is that this is a football game...
    Last edited by Dexter; 09-16-12 at 03:35 AM.
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  12. 09-16-12 03:27 AM #82
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    Quote Originally Posted by bhodgin View Post
    Dex what's your thought behind the Seattle pick?

    I'm leaning towards buying a point on both the Texans (from -7 to -6) then on Dallas (from -3.5 to -2.5). I honestly don't see the Jags beating the Texans, defense is to stout. And rookie qb Wilson will be eaten alive, bump and run on the outside and a heavy blitz is what I'd expect
    a2..see post 1.

    i think the texans win the super bowl this year....
    Last edited by Dexter; 09-16-12 at 03:35 AM.
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  13. 09-16-12 03:52 AM #83
    Goat Milk
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dexter View Post
    this is sports gambling - stop putting so much emphasis on individual match-ups.

    it doesnt surprise me that you like a team like dallas. they have very sexy individual players all over the field.
    the good thing for seattle backers is that this is a football game...
    no the main thing is that wilson is a rookie and i'm not willing to put money on him against a veteran front 7
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  14. 09-16-12 09:21 AM #84
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    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    no the main thing is that wilson is a rookie and i'm not willing to put money on him against a veteran front 7
    why did you shrink wilson down to 5ft9 in your earlier post?

    did you even make a play on dallas? i cant find it.......just start a thread bro.....so hard to find all your plays.
    Last edited by Dexter; 09-16-12 at 09:41 AM.
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  15. 09-16-12 12:03 PM #85
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    (2u) Over Eagles 46

    sorry wasnt around to post this in time...
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  16. 09-16-12 12:17 PM #86
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    i actually got 46.5, and not 46 on the eagles over...
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  17. 09-16-12 03:28 PM #87
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    what the fuk is andy reid doing there!!!!!!!!!!!

    qb sneak the friggin ball!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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  18. 09-16-12 03:30 PM #88
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    push the pile twice with vick now please
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  19. 09-16-12 03:31 PM #89
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    bang!!! and i own vick...

    god i love NFL Redzone....greatest invention ever
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  20. 09-16-12 06:29 PM #90
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    Quote Originally Posted by doublecreek View Post


    DEX--this would be dallas this week--so the play would be Seattle to cover this with 80% confidence
    Quote Originally Posted by doublecreek View Post
    Also the skins were dog winners now road favorites--so the Rams should get the nod as well--hmm maybe parlay the two
    say hello to A6.....i owe you DoubleCreek. Great find buddy. Will likely do 2u per play on these from here on out.
    i love the logic behind these plays - fits my style of situational handicapping to a tee....
    Last edited by Dexter; 09-16-12 at 06:36 PM.
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  21. 09-16-12 07:10 PM #91
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    dont thank me thank dachshund. hopefully a team will qualify next week. i did half to chuckle about how dallas is sooooo great and their defense is the best etc etc and they go out and get smoked. I love not thinking about bets, bc when I think I generally lose.
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  22. 09-16-12 07:20 PM #92
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    Quote Originally Posted by doublecreek View Post
    dont thank me thank dachshund. hopefully a team will qualify next week. i did half to chuckle about how dallas is sooooo great and their defense is the best etc etc and they go out and get smoked. I love not thinking about bets, bc when I think I generally lose.
    this is EXACTLY why i like to automate my heavier plays. takes the emotion out of capping and thats where we all go down in flames.
    think in the preseason when you backtest....
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  23. 09-16-12 07:20 PM #93
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    (1u) Under 49ers/Lions 46.5
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  24. 09-16-12 08:01 PM #94
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    Sunday 9/23:

    (2u) Over Saints/Chiefs 53
    (2u) Over Patriots/Ravens 48.5
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  25. 09-16-12 10:14 PM #95
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    wow - trap city next monday night. sea for me without blinking an eye. like the under as well....
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  26. 09-17-12 09:09 AM #96
    DanzeM
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    Thanks for the plays and insight into the way you bet Dex. A good level headed approach, that a lot of punters could learn from i'm sure.
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  27. 09-17-12 03:03 PM #97
    Donkeys2012
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    Man lot of money coming in on the under today. Down to 50.5 from 52 right now
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  28. 09-17-12 08:38 PM #98
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    what a pathetic disgusting game. the no huddles are gone and the running games are here.

    i guess just staring at late steam could set you up for retirement.....

    and to think....7 pts in the 1st minute.
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  29. 09-17-12 08:40 PM #99
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dexter View Post
    what a pathetic disgusting game. the no huddles are gone and the running games are here.

    i guess just staring at late steam could set you up for retirement.....

    and to think....7 pts in the 1st minute.
    Yea this is fuccin disgusting pure bullshit. With that quick td at the beginning this was looking good.
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  30. 09-17-12 08:42 PM #100
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    This is one of those games that makes you wonder about fixes. No huddle blah blah and now this shit.
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  31. 09-17-12 08:55 PM #101
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dexter View Post
    Week 1: 8-8 (-2.8u)
    Week 2: 7-4 (-6.6u)

    A2: 1-0
    A4: 0-1
    =======================
    YTD: 15-12 (-9.4u)

    A2: 1-0
    A4: 0-1
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  32. 09-18-12 06:38 AM #102
    Ville Helm
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dexter View Post
    Monday 9/17:

    (10u) Over Falcons/Broncos 51
    Ouch! think you'll have another 10u play this coming weekend dexter? They're certainly a risk - expecially a long time, ie a week, in advance..
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  33. 09-18-12 09:20 AM #103
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ville Helm View Post
    Ouch! think you'll have another 10u play this coming weekend dexter? They're certainly a risk - expecially a long time, ie a week, in advance..
    Ouch?

    They are a risk a week in advance. What are you talking about? I don't understand your point.

    No I will not.
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  34. 09-18-12 06:45 PM #104
    StackinGreen
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    OK, it looks to be a dangerous week coming up. I have a few leans but I think there's still loads of unpredictability out there. Good luck, bud
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  35. 09-18-12 09:47 PM #105
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    Thursday 9/20:

    (1u) Panthers +1.5
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