Every NFL season when the playoffs come around I read Bill Simmons' "NFL Playoff Manifesto" just to brush up. This last MLB all-star game really drove home the importance of the following rule from the manifesto for me because I don't know if it's ever been clearer:
RULE NO. 4: When in doubt, check out the coaching matchups
An easy rule of thumb: Before you make a selection, imagine you're watching the game and seeing one of those split-screen thingies with both coaches pacing the sidelines. Could you handle knowing that you backed the coach who looks like the overmatched doofus? For instance, six years ago, I took Miami over Buffalo simply because I didn't want to see a spilt-screen shot and know that I gambled on the doofus (Wade Phillips) over the guy who looked like a real coach (Jimmy Johnson). Sounds stupid? It worked. Buffalo doubled Miami's yardage and dominated the time of possession ... yet they still blew the game with four turnovers. Go figure.
http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/page2...immons/060106a
When I look at these two pics the words "overmatched doofus" and "looked like a real coach" definitely come to mind: