Sample Theory: Team loses outright at home with negative three turnovers or worse. Take any points as home dog following week.
The thinking is the team will focus on ball protection in the
second week, especially at home (amends). Also, with a
minimum -3 turnover ratio the previous week, the score will
have been misleading as to this team's capabilities when not turning over. Public opinion going against this team would,
in theory, lead to pointspread value.
Now that I have a theory, I'll chart it's performance going
back in time. If it turns up a decent winning percentage, I'll
start playing it every time this scenario transpires from then
on.
My question is this:
How Much Clock Does it Take to Back a Theory's Winning Percentage?