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The Packers game cost me $52,000

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  • POOLSIDE
    SBR MVP
    • 09-06-14
    • 2839

    #1
    The Packers game cost me $52,000
    I finished 14th in the Supercontest. Would have been 9th if they covered. Certainly not a game I intended to have fifty grand on lololol.

    ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
  • Grivas_Digeni
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 05-08-15
    • 5307

    #2
    what did first place pay and how far off did you end up?
    Comment
    • rake922
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-23-07
      • 11692

      #3
      9th place paid 52k? and 14th place got nothing?

      What the hell
      Comment
      • POOLSIDE
        SBR MVP
        • 09-06-14
        • 2839

        #4
        First place was over 900k. I believe he finished with 60.5 points. I finished with 54, so not particularly close. But there was a big gap between first and second. I was only a few points out of second place. Really makes you think about some of the bad beats and games that could have gone the other way this year haha. That Steelers/Raiders game. That phantom holding call on fourth down in the Titans/Raiders game. The Chargers/Steelers last play. Denver falling apart against Pittsburgh. Chicago missing a game tying field goal against Washington. There's no way to win these things without a lot of luck, no matter how well you've handicapped the games.
        Comment
        • rake922
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 12-23-07
          • 11692

          #5
          so how much did you win?
          Comment
          • POOLSIDE
            SBR MVP
            • 09-06-14
            • 2839

            #6
            Originally posted by rake922
            9th place paid 52k? and 14th place got nothing?

            What the hell
            Nah. 9th pays around 77k and 14th pays around 25k. Even though I won 25, I still feel like I lost 52 on that last game haha. Never enough.
            Comment
            • mikefan1034
              SBR MVP
              • 08-29-12
              • 2448

              #7
              Proof or it never happened
              Comment
              • POOLSIDE
                SBR MVP
                • 09-06-14
                • 2839

                #8
                Originally posted by mikefan1034
                Proof or it never happened
                Uh, go kill yourself whoever the fck you are? Or go to the Westgate Supercontest standings website and look for POOLSIDE. Who would lie about this here, to a bunch of people they don't even know..?

                They haven't updated yesterday's results yet but I'm sure they will soon. Idiot.
                Comment
                • 16kredit
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 11-16-13
                  • 572

                  #9
                  I saw pool in the top standings so he is right, well tough loss dude. I would go crazy as well. But hey you got an awesome record. You plan on joining next year too?
                  Comment
                  • POOLSIDE
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-06-14
                    • 2839

                    #10
                    Originally posted by 16kredit
                    I saw pool in the top standings so he is right, well tough loss dude. I would go crazy as well. But hey you got an awesome record. You plan on joining next year too?
                    Thanks man, appreciate it. Yeah I'll definitely join again. Win or lose, it's really a lot of fun.
                    Comment
                    • horja1
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 01-13-11
                      • 5646

                      #11
                      nice prize anyway
                      Comment
                      • freestyle raw
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 10-06-11
                        • 64

                        #12
                        I would like to do this contest next year

                        What are the terms
                        Comment
                        • Tboonepickem
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-21-13
                          • 1113

                          #13
                          Originally posted by POOLSIDE
                          I finished 14th in the Supercontest. Would have been 9th if they covered. Certainly not a game I intended to have fifty grand on lololol.

                          ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

                          The most important takeaway from LVH this year for me was the question; How many of the top players loses, came within .5 or 1 point.

                          Pool, you might be able to answer this for me. You went 54 and 31, how many of the 31 lost because of 1 point or less?

                          I don't even want to play this year, I may just tail the top. If someone tailed Roundy this year, making all bets with $2,500 units, they are up $84,250.

                          not bad
                          Comment
                          • POOLSIDE
                            SBR MVP
                            • 09-06-14
                            • 2839

                            #14
                            Originally posted by freestyle raw
                            I would like to do this contest next year

                            What are the terms
                            $1500 entry fee. Pick five games a week ats.

                            Comment
                            • Eddy Munny
                              Restricted User
                              • 08-13-13
                              • 15767

                              #15
                              How much is the buy in?
                              Comment
                              • Tboonepickem
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-21-13
                                • 1113

                                #16
                                So it would be really interesting to backtest your results, as a 16th place finisher with more loses than Roundy.

                                If you had bought the hook on key numbers, how many push?
                                Comment
                                • Tboonepickem
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 09-21-13
                                  • 1113

                                  #17
                                  Tough crowd Eddy, they get better and better algorithms every year
                                  Comment
                                  • dfish
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 12-17-10
                                    • 2730

                                    #18
                                    nice work nonetheless poolside
                                    Comment
                                    • POOLSIDE
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-06-14
                                      • 2839

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Tboonepickem
                                      The most important takeaway from LVH this year for me was the question; How many of the top players loses, came within .5 or 1 point.

                                      Pool, you might be able to answer this for me. You went 54 and 31, how many of the 31 lost because of 1 point or less?

                                      I don't even want to play this year, I may just tail the top. If someone tailed Roundy this year, making all bets with $2,500 units, they are up $84,250.

                                      not bad
                                      There were a handful, but I feel like there always are. For me, the worst beats that I can remember off the top of my head were the ones I listed above. The Broncos/Steelers game was a tough pill to swallow. Getting 6.5 points, up twenty points at half, and they lose by a touchdown. That was rough.

                                      The Titans/Raiders game was also brutal. Fourth down and the Raiders turn it over on downs. Game over. Then a phantom holding call comes in on a late flag and the Raiders are gift wrapped the win. The league apologized the next day and fined the official. There was nothing even close to holding on the play.

                                      But these things happen when you bet sports. When it's an isolated game, I never really think much about it except oh damn I lost that bet on some bad luck.

                                      The part that's killing me now is that, and I obviously didn't realize this at the time, but these games cost me a lot of money. Like, a potentially over a hundred thousand dollars lot of money.

                                      The other thing is wonder how many of these guys ahead of me were on the other side of those games. Or which ones had the Packers in the Hail Mary game. Things like that.

                                      Moral of the story is, you need to get very lucky to win this thing.
                                      Comment
                                      • POOLSIDE
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-06-14
                                        • 2839

                                        #20
                                        I guess I did the math wrong. I would have won almost 90k with one more point haha damn it
                                        Comment
                                        • JayDr3am
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 05-06-14
                                          • 18260

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by POOLSIDE
                                          $1500 entry fee. Pick five games a week ats.

                                          https://www.westgatedestinations.com...o/supercontest
                                          definitely gonna look into this! appreciate it man!
                                          Comment
                                          • Justfollow
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 10-10-15
                                            • 154

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Tboonepickem
                                            The most important takeaway from LVH this year for me was the question; How many of the top players loses, came within .5 or 1 point.

                                            Pool, you might be able to answer this for me. You went 54 and 31, how many of the 31 lost because of 1 point or less?

                                            I don't even want to play this year, I may just tail the top. If someone tailed Roundy this year, making all bets with $2,500 units, they are up $84,250.

                                            not bad
                                            Easy to tail after the fact.

                                            Past winners usually do bad the next year

                                            DFL 2013 champ, 2014 record was crap
                                            Ch ballers 2014 champ, 2015 vegas insiders record is crap

                                            How many years have u been in the contest poolside?
                                            Comment
                                            • McDabs
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 09-19-12
                                              • 888

                                              #23
                                              Def doing this next year, congrats.
                                              Comment
                                              • Calgunner23
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-06-15
                                                • 1357

                                                #24
                                                Congrats Pool. Solid work.
                                                Comment
                                                • JMon
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 12-11-09
                                                  • 9800

                                                  #25
                                                  Very nice!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • POOLSIDE
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 09-06-14
                                                    • 2839

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by McDabs
                                                    Def doing this next year, congrats.
                                                    Originally posted by Calgunner23
                                                    Congrats Pool. Solid work.
                                                    Originally posted by JMon
                                                    Very nice!
                                                    Thanks guys!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • POOLSIDE
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-06-14
                                                      • 2839

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Justfollow
                                                      Easy to tail after the fact.

                                                      Past winners usually do bad the next year

                                                      DFL 2013 champ, 2014 record was crap
                                                      Ch ballers 2014 champ, 2015 vegas insiders record is crap

                                                      How many years have u been in the contest poolside?
                                                      My first time. Definitely plan on entering again next year. Like I said earlier, it's a lot of fun wherever you win or lose. Especially when you consider that it costs less than $90 a week.

                                                      I'll continue posting my record here as well. Hopefully the winners doing poorly the next season doesn't extend down to 14th place haha.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • JGuer04
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 11-27-09
                                                        • 226

                                                        #28
                                                        that's crazy, cant imagine sweating that one out
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Eddy Munny
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 08-13-13
                                                          • 15767

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Tboonepickem
                                                          Tough crowd Eddy, they get better and better algorithms every year
                                                          What does this even mean?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • POOLSIDE
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 09-06-14
                                                            • 2839

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Eddy Munny
                                                            What does this even mean?
                                                            I was wondering the same thing. Figured it was an inside joke or something.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • GunShard
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 03-05-10
                                                              • 10031

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by POOLSIDE
                                                              $1500 entry fee. Pick five games a week ats.

                                                              https://www.westgatedestinations.com...o/supercontest
                                                              Nice run. I see you on their rankings list.


                                                              I was hoping to see some of the 2014 winners among the 2015 winners.
                                                              To see if sports betting is a game of skill or luck.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • POOLSIDE
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-06-14
                                                                • 2839

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by GunShard
                                                                Nice run. I see you on their rankings list.


                                                                I was hoping to see some of the 2014 winners among the 2015 winners.
                                                                To see if sports betting is a game of skill or luck.
                                                                Thanks. For what it's worth, I did not have a great 2014. Didn't enter the Supercontest that year, but definitely lost money last season after a really good 2013. Although, part of that has to do with the fact that I made a major change to my betting strategy this season. I used to assign different units in relation to how confident I felt about a play. You know, Dallas -3 for three units, Oakland +7 for one unit etc. I realized that even though I was hitting above a 55% clip, I was losing money. Now I just bet one unit per game. If I really love a dog, I'll bet one unit on the spread and one unit on the moneyline. No more of this four units on this game crap. Made a big difference.

                                                                One thing to consider with past winners is that they may enter under a different name. The guys that won last year used a different name. Either that or they didn't enter, but that seems unlikely. However, they have by all accounts been abysmal ats this season as touts. With them, it was probably lightning in a bottle.

                                                                I'll be entering next season under the same name. While it's obviously far more likely that I'll regress rather than improve, we'll have to wait until then to find out.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • freestyle raw
                                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                                  • 10-06-11
                                                                  • 64

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by POOLSIDE
                                                                  $1500 entry fee. Pick five games a week ats.

                                                                  https://www.westgatedestinations.com...o/supercontest

                                                                  Nice


                                                                  that's exactly like the contest I won this year.

                                                                  less money less players I'm sure

                                                                  sorry Green Bay cost you
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • POOLSIDE
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 09-06-14
                                                                    • 2839

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by freestyle raw
                                                                    Nice


                                                                    that's exactly like the contest I won this year.

                                                                    less money less players I'm sure

                                                                    sorry Green Bay cost you
                                                                    Thanks. Just read that the guy who finished in third place would have finished second if Green Bay had covered. Cost him almost 200k. Guess I shouldn't be complaining.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JayDr3am
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 05-06-14
                                                                      • 18260

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by POOLSIDE
                                                                      Thanks. Just read that the guy who finished in third place would have finished second if Green Bay had covered. Cost him almost 200k. Guess I shouldn't be complaining.
                                                                      lmao I was just about to say that.. .. don't be greedy! I'm seeing what place got paid what and you walked away FAT!
                                                                      Comment
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