1. 02-05-12 01:43 AM #1
    MJT1212
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    Thinking about going all in on "NE will have lead in game -500"

    Of course NE will have the lead at some point in the game. Any disagree?
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  2. 02-05-12 01:44 AM #2
    SBRMAN23
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    No value better here you can make if u wanna go all in man just my tgt -500
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  3. 02-05-12 01:48 AM #3
    MJT1212
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    Quote Originally Posted by SBRMAN23 View Post
    No value better here you can make if u wanna go all in man just my tgt -500
    Not sure I understand, you saying that it's a good bet?
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  4. 02-05-12 01:50 AM #4
    zsr
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    Unless the giants get the ball first, score a TD and never give the lead up. That's what I'd be worried about, probably safe bet though
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  5. 02-05-12 01:51 AM #5
    shari91
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    Quote Originally Posted by SBRMAN23 View Post
    No value better here you can make if u wanna go all in man just my tgt -500
    Quote Originally Posted by MJT1212 View Post

    Not sure I understand, you saying that it's a good bet?
    what are you trying to say sbrman??
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  6. 02-05-12 01:52 AM #6
    zsr
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    Quote Originally Posted by shari91 View Post
    what are you trying to say sbrman??
    Was thinking the same thing
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  7. 02-05-12 01:54 AM #7
    RoadFavorites$$$
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    can't you just take pats +whatever for -500 or so?
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  8. 02-05-12 01:54 AM #8
    MJT1212
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    Quote Originally Posted by zsr View Post
    Unless the giants get the ball first, score a TD and never give the lead up. That's what I'd be worried about, probably safe bet though
    May just do it for 100 then...to be safe
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  9. 02-05-12 01:56 AM #9
    MJT1212
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    Quote Originally Posted by RoadFavorites$$$ View Post
    can't you just take pats +whatever for -500 or so?

    do you mean an alternate line? i can take pats +6.5 for -375 and pats +3.5 for -245
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  10. 02-05-12 01:56 AM #10
    The Giant
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    The Packers never led the Giants in their game. The Giants, did however trail, in their other two playoff games.

    The Patriots lost three games this year. Only in one of those games did they not lead. That was against the Steelers.

    So they have led in 17 of their 18 games this year.

    -500 might not be too much of a stretch.
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  11. 02-05-12 01:58 AM #11
    MJT1212
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Giant View Post
    The Packers never led the Giants in their game. The Giants, did however trail, in their other two playoff games. The Patriots lost three games this year. Only in one of those games did they not lead. That was against the Steelers. So they have led in 17 of their 18 games this year. -500 might not be too much of a stretch.
    thanks for that. that packers/giants game stat scares me a little though...
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  12. 02-05-12 02:28 AM #12
    sweep
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    Quote Originally Posted by RoadFavorites$$$ View Post
    can't you just take pats +whatever for -500 or so?
    What if NE has lead early on in the game then gets blown the fuk out in 2nd half? I'd go with the prop over an alt line @-500
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  13. 02-05-12 02:31 AM #13
    GamblerSpirit
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    I like it, but that's a lot of vig you're laying. GL!
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  14. 02-05-12 02:55 AM #14
    Marigold HD
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    I think it's a safe bet v
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  15. 02-05-12 02:59 AM #15
    MJT1212
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    heres a little kicker...NYG is almost guaranteed to receive first b/c pats defer and giants choose to receive
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  16. 02-05-12 03:02 AM #16
    shari91
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    I've been horribly sick for the past 3 days, so if this doesn't make much sense I apologise - Pats are -139 at Pinny to win so for you saying you're not sure they're going to win but they'll lead at some point so you're willing to lay -500, I'm pretty sure there's a math thing that can determine what you're giving up for that prop and what you should pay that for that prop. I however have no hope of figuring it out, least of all now (never), so hopefully one of the numbers guys comes in and lets you know.
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  17. 02-05-12 03:04 AM #17
    SBRMAN23
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    Quote Originally Posted by GamblerSpirit View Post
    I like it, but that's a lot of vig you're laying. GL!
    Basically what I was trying to say sorry spellcheck from the smartphone just don't like the value in it if the giants get out to a strong start money gone lol
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  18. 02-05-12 03:22 AM #18
    MJT1212
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    Quote Originally Posted by SBRMAN23 View Post
    Basically what I was trying to say sorry spellcheck from the smartphone just don't like the value in it if the giants get out to a strong start money gone lol
    Yea I may lay off due to the high vig...
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  19. 02-05-12 03:22 AM #19
    MJT1212
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    Quote Originally Posted by shari91 View Post
    I've been horribly sick for the past 3 days, so if this doesn't make much sense I apologise - Pats are -139 at Pinny to win so for you saying you're not sure they're going to win but they'll lead at some point so you're willing to lay -500, I'm pretty sure there's a math thing that can determine what you're giving up for that prop and what you should pay that for that prop. I however have no hope of figuring it out, least of all now (never), so hopefully one of the numbers guys comes in and lets you know.
    That would be interesting to know...anyone?
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  20. 02-05-12 04:05 AM #20
    rm18
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    Giants going to be up 14-0 early tough guy
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  21. 02-05-12 04:09 AM #21
    shari91
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    Quote Originally Posted by MJT1212 View Post

    That would be interesting to know...anyone?
    We'll try to keep bumping this for a bit before I go to bed. I believe they'll have some equation to figure it out but they might not have seen it yet.
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  22. 02-05-12 04:17 AM #22
    PAULYPOKER
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    Take the Pats ML-143 for game,now this is guaranteed.............
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  23. 02-05-12 04:52 AM #23
    MJT1212
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    Quote Originally Posted by PAULYPOKER View Post
    Take the Pats ML-143 for game,now this is guaranteed.............
    guaranteed eh?
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  24. 02-05-12 05:18 AM #24
    no.1cards
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    That sounds like a bad bet, -250 sounds more realistic.
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  25. 02-05-12 05:22 AM #25
    SlimZ
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    Quote Originally Posted by MJT1212 View Post
    heres a little kicker...NYG is almost guaranteed to receive first b/c pats defer and giants choose to receive

    Any thoughts on this prop bet any1 if it's so sure I wouldn't mind betting it ... Currenly -300 for this prop bet
    ?
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  26. 02-05-12 01:24 PM #26
    MJT1212
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    Quote Originally Posted by SlimZ View Post
    Any thoughts on this prop bet any1 if it's so sure I wouldn't mind betting it ... Currenly -300 for this prop bet ?
    I went in for max in the points book which is only 100. It's not in my real book, wish it was. Wish the gatorade was too b/c it's going to be clear.
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  27. 02-05-12 01:27 PM #27
    thetrinity
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    i hope u can find something better then this for today seriously.
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  28. 02-05-12 05:50 PM #28
    paranoyd androyd
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    you're in deep shit

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