1. 01-22-12 01:01 PM #1
    Deol
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    Winning Margins

    I'm fairly confident NE will win and have no idea what will happen in the other game besides thinking it will be a close game. I think BAL will keep it relatively close so therefore I am thinking of betting winning margins:

    NE 1-6 + SF 1-6 (22.5 to 1)
    NE 1-6 + NYG 1-6 (25 to 1)
    NE 7-12 + SF 1-6 (27.5 to 1)
    NE 7-12 + NYG 1-6 (35 to 1)

    Is this stupid, is there a better way to do this? I'm only betting 1 unit (0.25 each), maybe 2 total for the 4 plays, any suggestions?
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  2. 01-22-12 05:18 PM #2
    Deol
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    Thank You Billy Cundiff!!!!!!!!!!

    Small hedge so I basically break even at worst if the NYG-SF game stays within 12 points.

    NYG 7-12 (7 to 1)
    SF 7-12 (5.5 to 1)

    Also all I need is NYG +8 to hit my 3 game teaser. Perfect final would be NYG to win by 1-6 and this will be an extremely profitable weekend. I know noone here cares, but I sure as hell do!!!
    Last edited by Deol; 01-22-12 at 09:02 PM.
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  3. 01-22-12 09:10 PM #3
    Deol
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    Quote Originally Posted by Deol View Post
    I'm fairly confident NE will win and have no idea what will happen in the other game besides thinking it will be a close game. I think BAL will keep it relatively close so therefore I am thinking of betting winning margins:

    NE 1-6 + SF 1-6 (22.5 to 1)
    NE 1-6 + NYG 1-6 (25 to 1)
    NE 7-12 + SF 1-6 (27.5 to 1)
    NE 7-12 + NYG 1-6 (35 to 1)

    Is this stupid, is there a better way to do this? I'm only betting 1 unit (0.25 each), maybe 2 total for the 4 plays, any suggestions?
    OVERTIME!!!!!!!! Going to hit my teaser for sure and either +2150 or +2400.
    Unless I don't understand the rules correctly but I think I'm good.
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  4. 01-22-12 09:13 PM #4
    convick
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    You money. They don't have to kick extra point if they score td.
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  5. 01-22-12 09:28 PM #5
    Deol
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    ^^ Thats what I thought. I so wish I bet 2 units overall on the winning margins, oh well, no need to be greedy. Still down on the year, but this and my teaser win puts a big dent in the losses. Yay!!
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  6. 01-22-12 10:12 PM #6
    Deol
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    Dont think anyone cares but I stuck with my original thoughts for this week, and therefore am gonna do the same for the Superbowl. I have NE winning a semi-close game. So most likley will go BIG with Winning Margins, NE 1-6 and NE 7-12 depending on the lines from 365. Most likely will be ~5 to 1 for both. Basically using the sharp lines kinda to my advantage. Hope this approach wins again.
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  7. 01-28-12 07:41 PM #7
    Deol
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    Having great luck with Winning Margins (hit a +2400 on the Championship games) lately, hopefully continues with the superbowl. My prediction: (NE ~27-31 to NYG ~21-24)

    NE to win by 1-6 +350
    NE to win by 7-12 +450

    NE ML & U55 +230
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  8. 02-05-12 12:26 PM #8
    Deol
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    Quote Originally Posted by Deol View Post
    Having great luck with Winning Margins (hit a +2400 on the Championship games) lately, hopefully continues with the superbowl. My prediction: (NE ~27-31 to NYG ~21-24)

    NE to win by 1-6 +350
    NE to win by 7-12 +450
    NE ML & U55 +230
    Also threw a small bet covering some of my losses at +750 with NE to win by 13 to 18 (BET365)
    GO PATS!!!
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