[StrictlyBusiness]

I posted a HUGE play on my bowl special just weeks ago EASY WINNER, and now I am here with an even bigger game.

Guys we have a very special opportunity here that does not come around very often. I have been posting about the Patriots for weeks now, and every week just confirms the information I have gathered. Listen if you are someone who just plays spreads this thread may not be for you, but I will tell you what the Pats most likely cover the 7.5 unless the Ravens get a backdoor cover.

If you bet NBA or College Basketball you could be TEASING or ML PARLAYING EVERY SINGLE WAGER WITH the PATRIOTS ML. Alright since flukes do happen I would suggest setting aside 1/2 - 1/4 of your bets throughout the week, and just rack up parlays/teasers. Look if a group of oddsmakers sat you down in a seat, and told you that minus the possibility of some freakish events there would be no way the Patriots lose would you play it ? If Billy Walters, and his crew himself told you they put a million on the Patriots and you should play it would you ?

The Stars have really aligned for this one my friends. Some of you might not like the tone in here, but I have been in this game for quite a while. Most of the guys you hear talking about fading public or vegas traps are clueless. 99% of them. They don't know what they see, because in order to know you also have to be able to break down the games yourselves.

The Patriots have a GREAT matchup with the Ravens alright ? The Pats offensive line will MORE than hold their own against the Ravens dline, and the secondary will get torched. The Ravens can't contain the group Brady/Belly will put out there. I see a ton of people talking about the Ravens, but save your money. It WILL NOT happen. You can say I am cocky this, and that. When the game ends then come back, and understand I am just sharing a GEM. These games just DO NOT come around like this. It even fits MULTIPLE systems of mine, and one of them is 92% over 8 YEARS. To further complicate things for the Ravens they are just NOT A GOOD ROAD TEAM. I don't know why so many people just DON'T UNDERSTAND this BASIC concept. Look at THREE of the BETTER playoffs teams which were BAD on the ROAD. ATLANTA WAS CRUSHED, NEW ORLEANS FELL BEHIND 17-0 TO ALEX SMITH, and the THIRD *DRUM ROLL* THE BALTIMORE RAVENS !! On the flip side look at the solid teams who PROVED to be SOLID road teams. The TEXANS who gave the Ravens all they could handle, and the NY GIANTS who just beat last years SB champion PACKERS !!!

Weak road team ATS 0-2 with 1 RAVENS PENDING... Strong road teams 2-0 ATS
^More SOLID trends in YOUR favor. This is such a fantastic play it really isn't fair.

I could go on forever breaking down the game, but it will all be discussed. If you have a question I will try to answer. Like I said I have had Patriots as the probable AFC champs for weeks, and now ONE game away what do the oddsmakers set this game at ? They set this game at MINUS 9. They are in agreement with ME, and with every other capper that has pegged this game who is worth a damn.

Look it is the NFL playoffs guys. The books know where the sharp money is coming from, and it is the one time of year they can MAKE THE MOST off the public. Casinos, and offshore books get pounded with thousands of new customers right now. They KNOW the sharp money will be on the Patriots alright. They make this line MINUS 9, because they know they will attract 70-80% of those types of bettors on it. They will suck them dry!!! This is not rocket science.. it really isn't guys that is why outside of answering questions a detailed writeup is worthless. If your not catching on do you really think if they thought the Ravens would give them a game or they would get sharp money on the Ravens they would give almost 10 full points???? HELL SOME OUTS HAVE THIS GAME AT 10!!!


Now how to bet using a basic unit. You will get the picture, and play it however you like. Here is the safest way so you don't have ALL of your eggs in one basket.



Monday:

You like Team A > Team B

1. Bet .75u on Team A (Flat)
2. (Parlay) Team A + Patriots ML for .25u


Tues:

You like Team W > Team X

1. Bet .75u on Team W (Flat)
2. (Parlay) Team W + Patriots ML for .25u


RINSE AND REPEAT. YOU CAN AVOID JUICE. YOUR PLAYING +EV INSTEAD OF LAYING THE NORMAL JUICE

Hell you can get your college hoops plays on ML instead of laying 3/4/whatever. Some of you guys will understand this better than others, but this is a rare opportunity that really doesn't come around often.

The bowl play I posted was 10u play. I will keep my parlays going until I have a +15-20u which is max I will go on a single game.



Thank me later. Seriously fellas. Be careful with your Ravens.

[StrictlyBusiness]

San Fransisco is the play on the NFC side.

This will be a very profitable weekend my friends.

[StrictlyBusiness]

Anyone that bets the Ravens after watching this season unfold, and reading this thread needs to make this their LAST wager. Get your head examined. No winning sports investor will be betting the Ravens this weekend. Might sound harsh, but ALSO the cold hard truth and GREAT advice that will improve your life.

[SXRD71]

Ravens needed to win against a 'rookie' qb and had a hard time doing it. No can.

[agendaman]

rules/anything that sounds to good to be true usually is/next ravens are 7-3 in road playoff games/finally some guy posted huge thread like yours extolling ravens -7.5 vs.texans/he said bet hose car kids 401k etc./yea something freakish happened allrite/the damm hook got him just one half a fkng.pt./oh well/ok my money is allready down where my mouth is/49rsml and -2.5/gl

[StrictlyBusiness]

Yes, but only thing that is "too good to be true" is the '9' points the squares are drooling all over now until tip off. Oh they will be plunking down cash on the ML as well kidding themselves that they are getting great value with the Ravens to win at the very least. Sheep will be slaughtered this weekend mark my words, and this thread/pats will win this game and the bets to go with it. Money in the friggen bank my friend... If by some chance the Ravens win on some highly unlikely play like Brady fumbling the kneel down at the end so be it. I am not putting my 401k or my entire bankroll. I will however put much more than normal you better believe that! Like I said these situation do not come around often, and sometimes you wait years and years.

[broadway6]

Anyone that bets the Ravens after watching this season unfold, and reading this thread needs to make this their LAST wager. Get your head examined. No winning sports investor will be betting the Ravens this weekend. Might sound harsh, but ALSO the cold hard truth and GREAT advice that will improve your life.

tell that to the ravens, packers, and steeler bettors that laid 7.5 + in a playoff game. good luck with your bet sir.

[StrictlyBusiness]

tell that to the ravens, packers, and steeler bettors that laid 7.5 + in a playoff game. good luck with your bet sir.

Actually glad you mentioned that. Just another ANGLE in FAVOR of the Patriots. When this one gets over your all going to realize why I am drooling over this opportunity. Not one that comes along often trust me.

[GamblerSpirit]

StictlyBusiness, I think ravens with the points +7.5 is an excellent bet.

[StrictlyBusiness]

StictlyBusiness, I think ravens with the points +7.5 is an excellent bet.

Your not the only one buddy. All I can say is lay off or don't bet it with much money! Ravens do not have much of a shot, and the spread your going to be hoping for a backdoor. If you have to play the Ravens I would wait to see the tip, and if the Pats get the ball first bet them after the Patriots score. You will get 10.5 to 14ish at least.

Ok that is all the talk I have for Ravens as I feel like I am doing a disservice mentioning them. Again just very little chance in this one up in NE

[gti175]

Does anyone remember what pittsburgh did to New England? Ravens beat them twice, good luck with that. Ravens play down to the level of shit teams there facing and beat the good teams...Defense wins games, both pass happy teams got knocked out, and the pats are next.. Rice is going to run up and down on this team , and flacco will just have to complete the little screens whenever they face a 3rd down. I dont even want the points, but i'm a little bias.. lol

[5mike5]

HERE WE GO AGAIN

the 145,288th "lock of the century" thread of the NFL season, how original

yawn

[StrictlyBusiness]

Here for winners Mike please catch up.

[jspectyper]

Does anyone remember what pittsburgh did to New England? Ravens beat them twice, good luck with that. Ravens play down to the level of shit teams there facing and beat the good teams...Defense wins games, both pass happy teams got knocked out, and the pats are next.. Rice is going to run up and down on this team , and flacco will just have to complete the little screens whenever they face a 3rd down. I dont even want the points, but i'm a little bias.. lol

You can't say since team a beat team b and team b beat team c that team a would beat team c. Football math doesn't work. If so, I guess when green bay smoked oakland and oakland beat kc green bay should of killed kc right? I just don't see how pats lose, I mean new england is at home, where the ravens yes beat ne in 09 but traditionally they aren't very good in gillette stadium and this is going to be a road game for the ravens where they are mediocre at best. Plus flacco won't be able to match brady on offense. I could be wrong I could be right but I just feel ne covers here.

[StrictlyBusiness]

Exactly right jspect

crazy talk !

[andywend]

New England has between a 75% and 80% chance of beating Baltimore this weekend. NO MORE AND NO LESS.

The money line is hanging around -350.

There is NO VALUE in betting the Patriots on the moneyline and the spread is accurate.

Anytime you hear someone use the word "lock", you know their advice is worthless and you're better off fading than tailing.

That is the case with this thread as well.

[StrictlyBusiness]

New England has between a 75% and 80% chance of beating Baltimore this weekend. NO MORE AND NO LESS.

The money line is hanging around -350.

There is NO VALUE in betting the Patriots on the moneyline and the spread is accurate.

Anytime you hear someone use the word "lock", you know their advice is worthless and you're better off fading than tailing.

That is the case with this thread as well.

Guess we will see after the game won't we little andrew ?

Difference between you, and I ? I will determine how likely a play will hit from my own numbers unlike you who apparently let the books decide for you. Guess who wins, and who loses ? Head to head ? Anytime !

[FindTheLock]

Patriots are a stone cold

[StrictlyBusiness]

Patriots are a stone cold

I agree buddy. Just wait till Lang picks the Ravens !

[FindTheLock]

lang is a mush he will be all over the patriots just like all the other squares.

[StrictlyBusiness]

You mean Lang will be on Ravens like all the other squares. You would be correct kiddo.

[FindTheLock]

You mean Lang will be on Ravens like all the other squares. You would be correct kiddo.

Lang will make a teaser play on the patriots there is no doubt in my mind. He caps like you do. He looks at last weeks results to pick this weeks winners. There is no way lang would pass up the chance to take brady at home coming off a blowout win. Lang thinks like you do.

[Big Bear]

what is this saying the play is?

[StrictlyBusiness]

what is this saying the play is?

Patriots, and preferably in a teaser or ML parlay if you play college buckets. I couldn't make it back here last night, and wasn't able to post my tease with sparta. Was just a small one anyways, and I will have a handful of plays to choose from with tonight's card. Like I said earlier this is a great opportunity to get extra points or pay less vig on your other plays. Playing the straight line opens yourself up to backdoor possibilities as NE will likely be winning most of the game, but you don't want to be moosed at the end with real dollars.

[nyplayer33]

The line is usually right out of vegas. I know the saints and packers lost as favs...however the 7.5 screams pats are feared to roll..combine that with the even money to win super bowl...vegas/pro cappers think the pats are lock city to go to Super Bowl

[Mr Handicapable]

I think NE covers 7.5 easily but the Ravens won't be facing Houston's D this week either. Those guys are for real! Rice will have more running room and Flacco will make some plays too. Its defensively where Baltimore is old/overrated in my book. They didn't play NE, GB, NO, or anyone really explosive this year. They did give up 34 @ San Diego to a balanced offense with alot of weapons. They also got manhandled upfront last week by Houston and would've lost vs Schaub. Brady is on auto pilot and they're rewriting history w/the 2 tight-end thing but they have no real deep speed either. If Reed is healthy and Suggs/Ngata are busting up the gut on Brady early like their last meeting then I'm ready to hedge quickly with live betting on Baltimore because NE does have holes but I really don't see it happening. Brady will be in shotgun and dealing before they get close. NE by 17

[dilaudid8]

never ever say lock because this is really a joke don't get me wrong I like the chalk, here a lot but that;s not being to smart saying something like that now that is 100 percent fact there is only 1 thing that's a lock and that is death gl

[5mike5]

never ever say lock because this is really a joke don't get me wrong I like the chalk, here a lot but that;s not being to smart saying something like that now that is 100 percent fact there is only 1 thing that's a lock and that is death gl

theres AT LEAST 100 of the "lock of the century" threads every single week...i agree, its laughable

[StrictlyBusiness]

never ever say lock because this is really a joke don't get me wrong I like the chalk, here a lot but that;s not being to smart saying something like that now that is 100 percent fact there is only 1 thing that's a lock and that is death gl

Its only a word guys, but I do feel you. I know its not 100%... over 90% though.

Nothing big yet, but here are some of the wagers I have so far for today:


Wiscy ML + Pat ML 4u : 2u

N.Iowa +8 + Pat PK 2.6u : 2u

Marsh +10 + Pat PK 2.6 : 2u

Nebraska +10 + Pat PK 2.6 : 2u

Texas +11 + Pat PK 2.6 : 2u

Ole Miss +7.5 + Pat PK 1.3 : 1u

Missouri St +7 + Pat PK 1.3 : 1u

[StrictlyBusiness]

Feel free to get back to me if you think you have any teaser/ML locks for tonight, and I will get back to you

[chopperocker]

San Fransisco is the play on the NFC side.

This will be a very profitable weekend my friends.

let's call the favorites locks? do you have any idea how square you are? novice cappers are gonna see this shit and think you have some special skill. LOCKS DON"T EXIST, SSSSSTTTTTTTTTTUUUUUUUUPPPPPPPPPPIIIIIII IIIIDDDDDDDDDDDDDDD!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[DOMINATER]

I thought you would be in agreement with them , Patriots will win the game they may not cover ,but they will win.

[StrictlyBusiness]

chopperrocker

you let me know how square I am in about a month, ok friend ?

Already hit my first TOP play posted here too by the way. I also have a Ravens future from before the season started at big money, but that is neither here nor there. I was not around then, and it has nothing to do with the game which I believe the PATS will win. Future was one thing.. this game is another, and I will NEVER back off of a play I love for any reason other than analysis. Emotions can't get in the way here or you loose. Sooner or later you will catch up, but until then you might not want to open your mouth as it could come back to make you look a bit foolish.

[isotopes]

Why does anyone call something a lock of the century? if you claim that the patriots covering -7.5 is the lock of the century and they cover no one cares cause it is the most obvious play on the board and will be the public favorite, if they dont' cover than people will hound you on your lock of the century. It's dumb, just bet your games and quit with the lock crap, that type of attitude is when people lose their bankrolls on one bet. Hope you cover, but no need for lock of the century posts.

[chopperocker]

Why does anyone call something a lock of the century? if you claim that the patriots covering -7.5 is the lock of the century and they cover no one cares cause it is the most obvious play on the board and will be the public favorite, if they dont' cover than people will hound you on your lock of the century. It's dumb, just bet your games and quit with the lock crap, that type of attitude is when people lose their bankrolls on one bet. Hope you cover, but no need for lock of the century posts.

ditto!