Reasoning: Baltimore is tough at home. They manhandled Houston during their first meeting with a healthy Matt Schaub. If history is any indication, Arian Foster/Ben Tate will have a hard time finding running room, and expecting relatively untested TJ Yates to carry the team in an incredibly harsh and raucous environment is a tough task, especially against a hungry Ravens D. My guess: Baltimore 34-13.
One stat that caught my eye was Ravens are 4-0 under Harbaugh after a bye week. Their victories were won by an average of 15 points including the Texans game earlier this year.
They're definitely tough at home, especially this year being the first year they've gone undefeated at home during the regular season in team history. Their last home wins against Indy and Cleveland weren't the prettiest, but they were kind of on cruise control at that point, and I think they're going to be intensely focused. The Texans' offense is going to be struggling to find any room all game long.
The Texans are going to be on a high. Phillips dropped any rumors that he will be trying to be a head coach next year, and his defense is primed to reward his loyalty this week.