[E in AZ]

San Fran +9.5
- San Fran grossly underrated. I think they actually win straight up, so having the extra 9.5 feels really good! Teams are 3-18 in the playoffs against the spread since 1996 after scoring 40 or more the week prior. I hate these tid-bits, but I found that one interesting.

Baltimore -1.5
- Baltimore doesn't lose at home. 'Nuff said.

NE/DEN OVER 44
- Great offense and terrible defense for New England. Instead of trying to decide if Tim Tebow will be the savior again, just take the over. The last 6 Patriots games have totalled 70, 51, 64, 61, 56, 58. New England watched Tebow do his thing over Pittsburgh, so expect Tom Brady and Co. to come out of the gates firing in order to avoid such disaster.

GB/NYG OVER 47
- Just another case of two teams staying close throughout the game. One of these teams will be at least in the 30's, the other will be at least in the 20's. This one is going over 60 folks...

[E in AZ]

If you tail my picks and lose, you will be given 13 virgins that look like this chick. ...so yeah, its a win/win.

[BoutDemCowboys]

Ummmm can I get a name of the girl in that photo? Hot Damn!

[BoutDemCowboys]

Seriously though... Anyone? I may be in love!

[fud007]

If you tail my picks and lose, you will be given 13 virgins that look like this chick. ...so yeah, its a win/win.

I'm sold, where do I sign up?

[BoutDemCowboys]

Haha yeah im gonna need a name or maybe a link to this nice ladies photo..... I dont think I even looked at your teaser

[E in AZ]

Her name is Jordan Carver. Google "Jordan Carver yoga" - there are a ton more like this. SO HOTTTT

[BoutDemCowboys]

[Ambition]

There are better bets teased IMO.

Such as, Denver +19.5, Giants +13.5.

[subs]

San Fran +9.5
- San Fran grossly underrated. I think they actually win straight up, so having the extra 9.5 feels really good! Teams are 3-18 in the playoffs against the spread since 1996 after scoring 40 or more the week prior. I hate these tid-bits, but I found that one interesting.

Baltimore -1.5
- Baltimore doesn't lose at home. 'Nuff said.

NE/DEN OVER 44
- Great offense and terrible defense for New England. Instead of trying to decide if Tim Tebow will be the savior again, just take the over. The last 6 Patriots games have totalled 70, 51, 64, 61, 56, 58. New England watched Tebow do his thing over Pittsburgh, so expect Tom Brady and Co. to come out of the gates firing in order to avoid such disaster.

GB/NYG OVER 47
- Just another case of two teams staying close throughout the game. One of these teams will be at least in the 30's, the other will be at least in the 20's. This one is going over 60 folks...

the only good leg here is Balt -1.5 the rest r seriously -EV. if u like the plays fine but do not include in a teaser unless u have worked out the value of each additional point. clearly u haven't.

not trying to be a dick, but that is the wrong way to play teasers.

[BigDeem5]

Green Bay's defense steps up in playoffs

[E in AZ]

Subs, you are 9 years old. I'm still not sure why your mom lets you on this site.

Ambition, the Denver +19.5 is a nice big number, but there is a great chance that the Pats win 45-17. These +19.5 tease bets in Vegas are keeping the line from moving, but the smart money is on New England -13.5.

BigDeem, Green Bay will win because of their offense. Their defense will give up at least 3 touchdowns this weekend.

[oklahomaoutlaw]

I like it E in AZ looks sharp.

[bfour]

**** your teaser I'm just happened you taught me who Jordan Carver is.

[E in AZ]

I can only imagine that **** means LOVE.

[bfour]

Hell yea.

[subs]

Subs, you are 9 years old. I'm still not sure why your mom lets you on this site.

i'm going to do u a massive favour, thing is u prolly don't even understand what it means. these r the numbers for the 49ers

mov push %
-3 9.51%
-4 3.27%
-5 1.04%
-6 3.42%
-7 5.20%
-8 1.63%
-9 1.19%



so i suggest u either post ur numbers or stop losing money for people.... let's see them champ!


any1 who teases totals is an idiot. look just lose ur own money but don't lose every1 else's. u really don't know what u r doing.

the blind leading the blind

[wquine]

jordan carver..... ok got it. teasers? umm texans and miners. bank it.

[subs]

as for ur horrible teased totals u will be very hard pressed to find 1 number that gets >3.5% so u will never get the ~ 21% that u need for any EV.

people please don't tail these plays, any1 that tells u to tease totals is just making shit up.

[Gndias]

uau never liked yoga till today

[E in AZ]

Ok submarine sandwich. You go put your $5 bet on the Saints, but you better fukkin come back here and take it like a man when they don't cover little boy.

[E in AZ]

Subs, stop playing with numbers and just look at the facts dude...seriously.

If you sit there and play with percentages all day you will end up betting the over in the Giants/Falcons......oh wait....no...did you? Ah man....that blows.

[big0mar]

Subs, stop playing with numbers and just look at the facts dude...seriously.

If you sit there and play with percentages all day you will end up betting the over in the Giants/Falcons......oh wait....no...did you? Ah man....that blows.

You are inherently playing with percentages when you are playing a teaser buddy

Subs is just pointing out that the book is ripping you off

[subs]

dude please, when u buy a risk u should know its value, similarly when u buy points u should know their value, right?

u r paying for these points so how much r they worth? u should know the answer to this question. in a fixed price derivative market (teasers) the price for the derivative is set, typically -110. do u even know what % each leg needs to cover for u to break even?

if u can not even answer this question how do u know the points that u r buying r worth the price that u r paying for them?

it is ~ 72%. ATS is around 50%. sooo the points that u buy need to add ~22%. this is the very basics of teasers.

i'm really not trying to put u down, i hate seeing people destroyed by the bookies. i'm on ur side but u have to be man enough to understand that this is the wrong way to play teasers, ok?

look i really don't care to educate u, but before u start telling others what to do please understand what u r doing. the chick is fine tho

and please before u make ur silly assumptions about me u should know that assumptions r the mother and father of all fvk ups.

[E in AZ]

Ok, talk to me. I'll admit, I'm new to all of this talk. I've been betting on the NFL for two years. I made a killing last year and am honestly about even this year. I do well with teasers and since we are in the playoffs, I don't see any reason not to bet the totals since there are less games to work with.

I bet $200 to win $600, so I guess the answer is +300 on a 4-game tease.

[subs]

look bro i am not a sports guru (LOL) but i do know for a certainty that unless u get very very clever and combine a very select group of totals with the spread in the same game then totals r very bad to tease. honestly trust me on this 1.


best of luck



HINT: if u search in the think tank u will find all the answers to ur questions.

[E in AZ]

But my teases above are from 4 different games.

I'm in the think tank reading...interesting.

[E in AZ]

Ok, I understand your point, but I seriously feel like the Patriots will hit 40 points by themselves and that Green Bay will probably hit 35 at the least. If they both cover the spread, the overs hit. Is this what you are referring to?

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/handicappe...m-parlays.html