[WinningIsKeY]

Looking for a BIG week fellas, and i'm seeing some good spots here..

IND/HOU under 40 - These teams game plans are not to air it out by any means. Pounding the rock will be the motives here, consuming up clock, BIGTIME. I also don't trust both QBs in converting 3rd downs frequently, resulting in tons of punts. This divisional game has 21- 17 or 17-14 written all over it IMO.

KC -1 - These players are playing tough this time of the year. If Aaron Rodgers couldn't handle the pressure(i know his O-line is diminished, but still) how will Palmer have any hope. OAK lost a crushing way last week, and see NO WAY they can get up here playing at Arrowhead. KC crowd will be the 12th man here, and the KC players will make the bigger plays. Divisional foes fighting for playoff spot, im with the HOME team here

DEN - 3- I understand the masses of people REALLY want to see San Diego in the playoffs , but I'm pretty damn sure DENVER is aware of the importance of their last two games. This week's match-up plays into the strength of Denver's offensive style. A porous Buffalo Defense that let Reggie Bush go over 200 rushing yards, WILL NOT be able to stop the Broncos rushing attack on Christmas eve. Buffalo's team has lost tons if not all of their motivation, and are playing terribly on both sides of the ball. Denver's D will clamp down on Buffalo's "offense" and will win convincingly IMO something like 24-7 or 21-3

Have more analysis for other games, but I encourage discussion.These are some more picks I am looking into

SEA ML
SD ML
NYG/NYJ UNDER 45.5
CLE/BAL UNDER 38.5
DAL/PHI OVER 50.5
PHI ML
JAC/TEN UNDER 40

So, any thoughts . Discussion WANTED

BOL to all this week!

[Deol]

I think the PHI-DAL game will go under for some reason. Just a gut feeling, game has huge significance and therefore I think more conservative play calling. 24-21 type game. I know SF lost to ARI, and SEA is playing hot, but I think SF comes away with the one. Played extremely well on MNF, and stil have a shot at the bye IIRC. My fav play is parlaying SD and PHI ML. Went big on that, I'm chasing with it and feel oddly good about it. Which means most likely I will lose. The rest of your plays I agree with.

[YaMotha]

I totally agree with the ravens and browns under. But the jets and giants I lean over

[WinningIsKeY]

Hit Hou/IND under BIG. Never at any point was i worried... i wish they were ALL like that lol. BOL this weekend again to all. Happy Holidays

[GenosPicks]

Yo dude.. gave you a little love in today's Geno's takes podcast Thread!!!

uh oh... i like Denver too...

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/nfl-football...dcast-a-22613/

[WinningIsKeY]

Thanks for the recognition Geno! Much respect to you for being an active Sbr member! Best of luck this weekend, and have a nice holiday my friend

[Nivas the guru]

Looks solid. Do you like det/sd over?

[WinningIsKeY]

Looks solid. Do you like det/sd over?

Over looks like the right play here as both teams rely HEAVILY on their passing attacks. 52 is a really sparp number here, so a no play for me.


I have detected another NICE spot this week. Carolina will pound the leagues punching bag this week!All the makings here of a field day for Newton and co. Tampa bay has looked embarrassing this NFL season, and have to try to go into Carolina and beat an offense that has played very competitive.
With only two games left, these players will be playing hard to build on next year. Carolina will play far more motivated than TB, and with PRIDE. This Tampa team allows gaping holes to open on d, and have been transparent on offense. Carolina wins by 14+ . Carolina 31-10

Bol to all

[WinningIsKeY]

BIG lean with ten/Jacksonville under 40 here. Divisional foes that will be HIGHLY dependent on their running games. These teams are not explosive offensively , and I see a close defensive game here. Tennesee is a respectable defensive unit , and play well at home! Jacksonville's defense will play a better game picking themselves up from their lackluster performance last week. No real " big play" guys besides Jones- Drew , who will carry his fair share times 20+ . Stagnant offenses in a - division matchup(last night 19-16) I see a 24-10 win by Tennessee here!

Bol to all Happy Holidays!

[WinningIsKeY]

Big play opportunity ! I lean hard on gb/chi under 44 in this matchup. Chicago will not produce offense efficiently at all ..10 Pts max. Hanie has no chance so they will run more than anything Sunday night. The packers will play hard , but questions arise to me like, to what degree? Will starters come out early? Either way this is still a divisional game, defenses will attack both run and man to man physically. Big plays may arise from gb on the offensive side but this looks like an UNDER to me!

Let's get this $$$

[WinningIsKeY]

Best of luck to all! Happy holidays.. Let's win back all the spent money lol !

[GunShard]

Look at the ATS trend between the Raiders and Chiefs. The road team/underdog always cover the spread in their past 9 encounters.

covers.com/pageloader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nfl/matchups/g1_summary_11.html

If this trend still stands. Then the Raiders will cover the spread.

[thejus21]

Any leans on New England Over/Under 50?

[WinningIsKeY]

Still like kc in this spot given oakland has many issues I don't see them getting their emotions together for this road match. Kc not my biggest play , but I like it.

Thejus if I had to bet the total I like the under . Miami will run and go short on passes to generate offense. There defense is playing tough as well , keeping this one close.over seems like a sucker bet. I see a play on Miami + the points