Originally Posted by
doin
When looking at the last 9 games in this series, the home team has won 5 games compared to 4 wins for the road team. Average points scored per game for the home team in the Dallas/Tampa Bay series is 18.8 ppg while the visitor has put up 14.6 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 4.2 favoring the home team.
The exact advantage spanning the last 9 games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 4.2 ppg. That represents a value number of 11.2 when measured against the offered line of 7.0, suggesting a wager on Tampa Bay makes the most sense - at least, when looking at betting against the number according to the historical series trends.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 9 games between the Cowboys and the Buccaneers is 33.4 per game. That creates a differential of 13.6 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 47.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
When looking at the last 5 games in this series while Tampa Bay has been the home team, the Buccaneers have won 2 games compared to 3 wins for the Cowboys. Average points scored per game by Tampa Bay in this situation is is 19.6 ppg while Dallas has put up 18.4 ppg, creating an average margin of victory of 1.2 favoring the Buccaneers.
The exact advantage spanning the last games represents a median average advantage for the home team in this series of 1.2 ppg. That represents a value number of 8.2 when meassured against the offered line of 7.0, suggesting a wager on the Buccaneers makes the most sense. At least, that's the way it looks when you ponder a bet against the line, looking at this wager in the vacuum of this series situation.
The average Total points scored spanning the last 5 games between the Cowboys and the Buccaneers is 38 per game. That creates a differential of 9 against the line, suggesting a bet of Under 47.0 may hold the greatest value. At least in relation to the series history.
reprinted with out permission from procappers.com
SBR Top-Rated Sportsbooks
Reply With Quote