1. #1
    No coincidences
    Baseball at The Corner
    No coincidences's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-10
    Posts: 76,300
    Betpoints: 16541

    This week's leans

    Haven't had a chance to look at everything, but I know for a fact I'll be on Tennessee, Arizona and Dallas.


  2. #2
    No coincidences
    Baseball at The Corner
    No coincidences's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-10
    Posts: 76,300
    Betpoints: 16541

    Tennessee +3.5
    Arizona +4
    Dallas -3
    (as long as the hook stays at the sharp shops)

    What I'm feeling so far. I'll add more later.

  3. #3
    therealdealau
    therealdealau's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-12-10
    Posts: 3,227
    Betpoints: 1069

    Love the play on Tennesee and Dallas, whats the angle/thoughts on Arizona? Thoughts on Miami/Jets game?

  4. #4
    GSWarriorsFTW
    GSWarriorsFTW's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-30-11
    Posts: 14

    Dallas always likes to play with my emotions for some reason

  5. #5
    Vitooch
    Dayman
    Vitooch's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-26-11
    Posts: 3,470
    Betpoints: 159

    Gutsy picks, BOL.

  6. #6
    NeverBackDown
    NeverBackDown's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-30-11
    Posts: 543


  7. #7
    letsgo
    letsgo's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-27-10
    Posts: 2,204
    Betpoints: 30330

    49ers seem to own the Cards.

  8. #8
    Holtgetsback
    Holtgetsback's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-04-10
    Posts: 4,655
    Betpoints: 1402

    Arizona?? What's SF this year? 12-0 vs the spread??

    and you're only getting 4 points??

    Interested to hear your reasoning

  9. #9
    No coincidences
    Baseball at The Corner
    No coincidences's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-10
    Posts: 76,300
    Betpoints: 16541

    Quote Originally Posted by letsgo View Post
    49ers seem to own the Cards.
    Quote Originally Posted by Holtgetsback View Post
    Arizona?? What's SF this year? 12-0 vs the spread??

    and you're only getting 4 points??

    Interested to hear your reasoning
    I really like Arizona's form right now. Defense and special teams are playing well. Running the ball. They're a QB away from being a very dangerous squad.

    I realize that SF has been on an incredible run both overall and ATS, but I think the Cardinals keep it tight and I'd gladly take the points and the home dog here in a divisional game.

    Also considering the Bears at +3.5, even though backing a team without a QB on the road appears to be suicide. Tebow's facing a legitimate defense for the first time in a while -- it'll be interesting to see how he does. Just wish Forte was playing.

  10. #10
    burchfield
    burchfield's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-23-11
    Posts: 402
    Betpoints: 42

    If Forte was playing the line would probly be alot different

  11. #11
    YouHave2outs
    YouHave2outs's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-02-11
    Posts: 4,448
    Betpoints: 198

    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    I really like Arizona's form right now. Defense and special teams are playing well. Running the ball. They're a QB away from being a very dangerous squad.

    I realize that SF has been on an incredible run both overall and ATS, but I think the Cardinals keep it tight and I'd gladly take the points and the home dog here in a divisional game.

    I'm not convinced.

    I really like San Francisco's form right now. They are playing well in all phases of the game. They're a QB away from being right on par, or even better than, the very best teams in the league.

    I realize Arizona has been playing better as of late, that Willis is likely to be out, and that it is a divisional game. But I'll gladly take the far superior team giving up so few points.

    See what I did

  12. #12
    LolsMcwinsey
    LOL
    LolsMcwinsey's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-08-10
    Posts: 2,660
    Betpoints: 3893

    LOL at arizona

  13. #13
    No coincidences
    Baseball at The Corner
    No coincidences's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-10
    Posts: 76,300
    Betpoints: 16541

    Sincerely,
    Everyone who was on Dallas last week

    I was big on Arizona last week. They were my No. 1 listed play. Not quite as convinced this time around, I do believe they have a legitimate chance of covering.

  14. #14
    Seaton420
    Seaton420's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-26-09
    Posts: 303

    Quote Originally Posted by Holtgetsback View Post
    Arizona?? What's SF this year? 12-0 vs the spread??

    and you're only getting 4 points??

    Interested to hear your reasoning

    He cant help himself. he sucks and i would say 90% of his games he takes the points..Total Dbag

  15. #15
    manicart
    manicart's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-10-10
    Posts: 829
    Betpoints: 289

    what was your record last week?

  16. #16
    p19101
    Giants!
    p19101's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-17-11
    Posts: 1,419
    Betpoints: 24

    Dallas? Really? I feel Giants being the best bet this week, ML that is.

  17. #17
    Jutzu
    Jutzu's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-24-10
    Posts: 949
    Betpoints: 520

    Arizona won't even score over 13 points and the 49ers will score atleast 20

  18. #18
    bigsmitty
    bigsmitty's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-12-10
    Posts: 3,026
    Betpoints: 370

    Good luck with your picks NC but I would advise you to check out my post about the 49ers being able to set a franchise record on defense for least points allowed per game-dating back to their 1976 team. I think that bit of trivia will equal a ferocious team-wide attitude. At any rate, do your thing just a heads up. Cheers

  19. #19
    No coincidences
    Baseball at The Corner
    No coincidences's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-10
    Posts: 76,300
    Betpoints: 16541

    Oakland +11.5

  20. #20
    No coincidences
    Baseball at The Corner
    No coincidences's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-10
    Posts: 76,300
    Betpoints: 16541

    Quote Originally Posted by manicart View Post
    what was your record last week?
    Quote Originally Posted by Seaton420 View Post
    He cant help himself. he sucks and i would say 90% of his games he takes the points..Total Dbag
    12-5.

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nfl-bettin...rd-lot-p3.html

    Following up 4-1:

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nominated-...s-tonight.html

    3-1:

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nfl-bettin...-plays-p2.html

    6-2:

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nfl-bettin...s-week-p2.html

    6-3:

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nfl-bettin...day-leans.html

  21. #21
    lunchbawks
    NB#
    lunchbawks's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-31-10
    Posts: 12,873
    Betpoints: 173

    Input on Falcons/ Panthers?

  22. #22
    YouHave2outs
    YouHave2outs's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-02-11
    Posts: 4,448
    Betpoints: 198

    i like dallas as well nc....dunno why anyone would request your record. your threads are usually on the front page, and they are all in the black

  23. #23
    Goat Milk
    Goat Milk's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-24-10
    Posts: 25,838
    Betpoints: 10176

    If you put up your "leans" and they do good, you count them as wins. 6-3 in your last week for your leans. if they do bad, they weren't plays anyway they were just leans.

  24. #24
    jihadvillager
    jihadvillager's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-25-11
    Posts: 2,134
    Betpoints: 6232

    You loving Dallas now that it moved to 4.5? Would be nice to see tenn go to 3

  25. #25
    No coincidences
    Baseball at The Corner
    No coincidences's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-10
    Posts: 76,300
    Betpoints: 16541

    Quote Originally Posted by jihadvillager View Post
    You loving Dallas now that it moved to 4.5? Would be nice to see tenn go to 3

  26. #26
    NeverBackDown
    NeverBackDown's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-30-11
    Posts: 543


  27. #27
    jihadvillager
    jihadvillager's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-25-11
    Posts: 2,134
    Betpoints: 6232

    Wonder if Dallas still good at 4.5 only have tenn locked so far

  28. #28
    No coincidences
    Baseball at The Corner
    No coincidences's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-10
    Posts: 76,300
    Betpoints: 16541

    OK, here's what I'm looking at as of now:

    1) Tennessee +3.5
    2) Arizona +4 (if the Titans don't cover, I'll probably double up on this from what I planned on betting -- I doubt very much both the Saints and Niners cover tomorrow)
    3) Oakland +12.5
    4) Dallas -4.5 (would be No. 1 had it not passed over the 4, but I still think it's solid)
    5) Chicago +3.5
    6) Washington +8
    7) Philly +3
    8) Carolina +3
    9) Jacksonville +3

    I'll likely play the top five.


    Haven't locked anything in yet, but that's how I'd rank them at the moment.

  29. #29
    D3 Mighty Ducks
    D3 Mighty Ducks's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-17-09
    Posts: 11,933
    Betpoints: 782

    Quote Originally Posted by lunchbawks View Post
    Input on Falcons/ Panthers?
    Going to be a close game. I can see Cam Newton having himself a hell of a game tomorrow. I know the stats show the Falcons has a top Rush defense but Newton will still run all over the field. Newton can beat you both on the ground and air, its next to impossible to stop him. That's unless he turns it over which he hasn't done in the last 2 weeks. The line says it all for this game. I expect it to be a close game and so do the books. Therefore I see somewhat value on Carolina ML at +120. That's a very short price on Carolina ML. Than again this game could get very ugly somewhere in the 2nd half if the Panthers defense doesn't show up. That defense is banged up and awful. If the Falcons are able to stabilize their run game with Turner, Snelling and Jacquizz Rodgers than Atlanta will cover the -3. When the Falcons play their game to their gameplan its to run the ball and put together 14 plays 8 minute scoring drives. I'm a huge Falcons fan and I've watched every single down from them this year, they have that same approach to every game. And when it works, it works.

    I would recommend to pass on this game I think there are a lot better games out there to bet on. Good luck nonetheless man.

  30. #30
    D3 Mighty Ducks
    D3 Mighty Ducks's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-17-09
    Posts: 11,933
    Betpoints: 782

    Quote Originally Posted by No coincidences View Post
    OK, here's what I'm looking at as of now:

    1) Tennessee +3.5
    2) Arizona +4 (if the Titans don't cover, I'll probably double up on this from what I planned on betting -- I doubt very much both the Saints and Niners cover tomorrow)
    3) Oakland +12.5
    4) Dallas -4.5 (would be No. 1 had it not passed over the 4, but I still think it's solid)
    5) Chicago +3.5
    6) Washington +8
    7) Philly +3
    8) Carolina +3
    9) Jacksonville +3

    I'll likely play the top five.


    Haven't locked anything in yet, but that's how I'd rank them at the moment.
    I like almost all of them I must say.

    I'm a little weary on the Raiders +12.5 however. I really don't think this Oakland defense would be up to this task in Lambeau field. No one is stopping that high power offense, especially not the Raiders. Its Packers -12.5 or pass for me.

  31. #31
    PAULYPOKER
    I slipped Tricky Dick a hit of LSD!
    PAULYPOKER's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-08
    Posts: 36,585

    4) Dallas -4.5 (would be No. 1 had it not passed over the 4, but I still think it's solid)

    That is why it should be #1,c'mon ,coin you know whats up..........

  32. #32
    No coincidences
    Baseball at The Corner
    No coincidences's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-10
    Posts: 76,300
    Betpoints: 16541

    I really, really want to take the Chiefs, but the move from a 9.5 open to 10.5 concerns me.

  33. #33
    No coincidences
    Baseball at The Corner
    No coincidences's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-10
    Posts: 76,300
    Betpoints: 16541

    Quote Originally Posted by PAULYPOKER View Post
    4) Dallas -4.5 (would be No. 1 had it not passed over the 4, but I still think it's solid)

    That is why it should be #1,c'mon ,coin you know whats up..........
    Yeah, I figure they'll still be fine and win by at least 6, but a 4-point victory is always a possibility now.

    Really wish I'd just locked it in at -3.5 earlier this week.

  34. #34
    PAULYPOKER
    I slipped Tricky Dick a hit of LSD!
    PAULYPOKER's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-08
    Posts: 36,585

    It should,this is Jets or a no play............

  35. #35
    D3 Mighty Ducks
    D3 Mighty Ducks's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-17-09
    Posts: 11,933
    Betpoints: 782

    Do you find it weird that the Vikings/Lions game doesn't have a ML? Detroit -9.5 points which usually is a -475 for the favorite and +395 for the underdog.

12 Last
Top